When will the last storm of the 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season form?

AlphaToOmega · #1 Postby **AlphaToOmega** » Sun Jun 27, 2021 10:43 am

Options:
- Before October
- Early October
- Late October
- Early November
- Late November
- Early December
- Late December

Please make this a poll

Monsoonjr99 · #2 Postby **Monsoonjr99** » Sun Jun 27, 2021 1:08 pm

Seems a bit early for such a poll, but I'd go with early November.

Category5Kaiju · #3 Postby **Category5Kaiju** » Tue Jun 29, 2021 12:51 am

Hmm, Idk this seems to be a hard question; I guess it's perhaps it's the timing of this poll given we still have like 5 months left until the end of hurricane season, but if I had to pick I'd go with mid-November. The background state of La Nina making a comeback (even if it is weak) as a possibility makes me believe that activity will last for a bit.

AlphaToOmega · #4 Postby **AlphaToOmega** » Wed Aug 11, 2021 7:18 am

Bumping this thread

#5 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Aug 11, 2021 9:05 am

Made this question as a poll that will close for voting on September 30th at 10:02 AM EDT.

AlphaToOmega · #6 Postby **AlphaToOmega** » Wed Aug 11, 2021 6:27 pm

There has not been a December storm in the Atlantic since 2013. Maybe below-average subtropical wind shear in December, which is shown by the CFS and CanSIPS, could make that happen.

CFLHurricane · #7 Postby **CFLHurricane** » Wed Aug 11, 2021 6:56 pm

I’m dreaming of a Christmas Hurricane… :froze:

AlphaToOmega · #8 Postby **AlphaToOmega** » Sat Aug 14, 2021 7:54 am

I think it is odd that post-season storms were common from the late 1990s to the early 2010s (Nicole 1998, Olga 2001, Odette 2003, Peter 2003, Owen 2004, Epsilon 2005, Zeta 2005, Olga 2007, and 14L 2013), yet there has not been a single post-season storm since 2013. What happened? Are seasons starting and ending earlier than they used to?

Category5Kaiju · #9 Postby **Category5Kaiju** » Sat Aug 14, 2021 10:59 am

CFLHurricane wrote:I’m dreaming of a Christmas Hurricane…

And Alex in 2022 to form on January 1 8-)

AlphaToOmega · #10 Postby **AlphaToOmega** » Sat Aug 14, 2021 12:21 pm

CFLHurricane wrote:I’m dreaming of a Christmas Hurricane…

You can try and will one into existence. I am not a lawyer, but I believe modifying the weather without government approval is illegal in the United States.

Teban54 · #11 Postby **Teban54** » Sat Aug 14, 2021 2:48 pm

Category5Kaiju wrote:
CFLHurricane wrote:I’m dreaming of a Christmas Hurricane…

And Alex in 2022 to form on January 1

Seriously though, the name Alex seems to have been used for a lot of weird storms recently. Cat 3 in the subtropics in 2004, June Cat 2 in the BOC of all places with an anomalously low major-like pressure in 2010, and a freaking January hurricane in 2016... At this point I would feel really disappointed if Alex 2022 comes from your typical pre-season subtropical slop as most A storms have been these seasons.

#12 Postby **AnnularCane** » Sat Aug 14, 2021 3:06 pm

Teban54 wrote:
Category5Kaiju wrote:
CFLHurricane wrote:I’m dreaming of a Christmas Hurricane…

And Alex in 2022 to form on January 1

Seriously though, the name Alex seems to have been used for a lot of weird storms recently. Cat 3 in the subtropics in 2004, June Cat 2 in the BOC of all places with an anomalously low major-like pressure in 2010, and a freaking January hurricane in 2016... At this point I would feel really disappointed if Alex 2022 comes from your typical pre-season subtropical slop as most A storms have been these seasons.

Yeah, with the exception of 1998, Alex has always been an interesting one. That should be allowed to continue.