When will the first hurricane of 2021 season form in the North Atlantic?

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Sun Jun 20, 2021 1:22 pm

This is an important poll for the members to participate and will close on June 30th at 2:22 PM. There are 8 options to vote.

#2 Postby **toad strangler** » Sun Jun 20, 2021 1:25 pm

Ooops hit wrong response :lol:

#3 Postby **cycloneye** » Sun Jun 20, 2021 1:46 pm

toad strangler wrote:Ooops hit wrong response

I enabled a tool in the poll for you to change the vote.

Stormybajan · #4 Postby **Stormybajan** » Sun Jun 20, 2021 2:18 pm

Oh boy, this is a big one. I think ill have to use all days before voting 8-)

#5 Postby **AtlanticWind** » Sun Jun 20, 2021 2:22 pm

Went first week of July , MDR looks like it will be active early

aspen · #6 Postby **aspen** » Sun Jun 20, 2021 3:05 pm

The CAG/Gulf system might have the potential to become a hurricane, but I’m going to be a bit conservative and say late July like 2020.

CyclonicFury · #7 Postby **CyclonicFury** » Sun Jun 20, 2021 3:13 pm

Going to go against the others, August 1-10 is my vote. July doesn't have a hurricane every year.

Ubuntwo · #8 Postby **Ubuntwo** » Sun Jun 20, 2021 5:49 pm

IMO July will be semi-active with a couple high end tropical storms, just not quite hitting the hurricane threshold. Put down early August for the first bonafide cane.

ElectricStorm · #9 Postby **ElectricStorm** » Sun Jun 20, 2021 5:50 pm

I put mid July but I wouldn't be surprised if we dont see one until early to mid August

Shell Mound · #10 Postby **Shell Mound** » Mon Jun 21, 2021 12:21 am

1–10 August in the Gulf of Mexico

#11 Postby **tolakram** » Mon Jun 21, 2021 7:02 am

August 21st, and I still think the season will be hyperactive.

It does seem like we'll see the first hurricane a lot earlier, but I think that every year.

#12 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jun 21, 2021 7:48 am

Good voting going on as all of the 8 options have recieved votes so keep voting until the poll closes on June 30 at 2:22 PM EDT.

TallyTracker · #13 Postby **TallyTracker** » Mon Jun 21, 2021 10:11 am

While I feel like named storm numbers may be above average this year, I think hurricane numbers may be close to average. Just a hunch. Not expecting the first hurricane until August.

#14 Postby **captainbarbossa19** » Mon Jun 21, 2021 3:53 pm

I am thinking sometime around August 20th. The hurricane will develop from an AEW.

#15 Postby **chaser1** » Mon Jun 21, 2021 8:40 pm

Hurricane Danny - Clearwater, Florida July 3rd
compact, max winds 75 mph - 986 mb

Category5Kaiju · #16 Postby **Category5Kaiju** » Tue Jun 29, 2021 12:46 am

The wave behind 95L according to quite a few models looks interesting, I'd say early July if I were to look at this specifically. What name it will get should it form? My bet is either Elsa or Fred.

#17 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Jun 30, 2021 8:09 am

Those members who have not voted yet in this poll have until today at 2:22 PM EDT when it closes.

kevin · #18 Postby **kevin** » Wed Jun 30, 2021 9:52 am

I think 97L (future Elsa) has a good shot of making it to hurricane status looking at the recent models so I'm gonna go with July 1 - 10.

Stormybajan · #19 Postby **Stormybajan** » Wed Jun 30, 2021 10:03 am

I'm going to be bold here and say 97L (Future Elsa) will be our first Hurricane so July 1-10

#20 Postby **captainbarbossa19** » Wed Jun 30, 2021 10:12 am

My vote may be way off with potential Elsa developing now.