jaguars_22 wrote:It’s a naked swirl! I’m calling no development! Maybe a shower or two for central Texas
Probably not development, but I don’t think it’s as naked as you’re saying jags. If you watched the visible transition heading into dusk, there are plenty of clouds that aren’t picked up or reflected on IR. If you look at the LIX (Slidell) radar, https://radar.weather.gov/?settings=v1_ ... J1ZX0%3D#/
you can see the eastern swath heading up toward Houma angling toward Baton Rouge which has a flash flood warning for the whole metro. I feel like it’s a combination of the really strong high pressure building in from the Atlantic and the feed ahead of the upper low over the plains that’s been slow to move out this week. That all sort of converged and then the low formed to the west of the high and south of the plains low.
FWIW, we haven’t had any rain at all in Pensacola the last few days. I got hit by like 2 drops a few days ago, but I think we’ve been more under the influence of the western periphery of the high. Strong SE winds (heavy surf advisories the last several days) but not any of the active weather.