Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

[Iceresistance]

This is a very inactive severe storm season

To y'all down in Dixie Alley, but the Tornado Alley part is only getting started, Ponder, TX had 4 inch hail last night . . .

[InfernoFlameCat]

This is a very inactive severe storm season

To y'all down in Dixie Alley, but the Tornado Alley part is only getting started, Ponder, TX had 4 inch hail last night . . .

hail... What about tornadoes?

[Iceresistance]

This is a very inactive severe storm season

To y'all down in Dixie Alley, but the Tornado Alley part is only getting started, Ponder, TX had 4 inch hail last night . . .

hail... What about tornadoes?

There was one in SE Texas last night, but the parameters for one such event is too far out right now, appears to start around this coming weekend . . .

[Cpv17]

This is a very inactive severe storm season

I completely agree. And just about all the tornadoes that have formed have been on the weak side.

[Iceresistance]

Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Lawton, OK

[Iceresistance]

Most of Texas is now under a Slight Risk . . .

[Iceresistance]

I found this sounding on the 18z GFS at +126 hours near Tecumseh, OK



Not in the fantasy range anymore, it's near the target dates for the next potential outbreak zone for the Southern Plains . . . (May 16th-21st)

[ElectricStorm]

OKC met hinting at an uptick in severe weather next week
https://mobile.twitter.com/MikeMorganKF ... 6514983942

Also I'm sure most of you know but just in case you don't, this is the "this is May 3 all over again" guy

[Iceresistance]

OKC met hinting at an uptick in severe weather next week
https://mobile.twitter.com/MikeMorganKF ... 6514983942

Also I'm sure most of you know but just in case you don't, this is the "this is May 3 all over again" guy

Yes, Maniac Mike from KFOR News 4

He was not kidding about the May 20th, 2013 tornado, it had a very similar track to the 5/3/1999 monster . . .

[Iceresistance]

The WPC is showing a LOT of rainfall from Texas to Kansas & Missouri in the next 7 days!

[ElectricStorm]

OKC met hinting at an uptick in severe weather next week
https://mobile.twitter.com/MikeMorganKF ... 6514983942

Also I'm sure most of you know but just in case you don't, this is the "this is May 3 all over again" guy

I'm not a pro by any means but I think he said this a bit prematurely... Early next week doesn't really look very impressive with a weakening cutoff low moving through. That could lead to heavy rain though which would explain the AA precip prediction from CPC.

That being said however it's still over a week out and he very well could end up being right if things change. But I'm just not seeing anything that really makes early next week look like a significant tornado event right now. SPC mentions the possibility of increased severe risk after that though

Also I have a lot of respect for this guy (as well as all pro mets) so he very well may be right.

[cheezyWXguy]

OKC met hinting at an uptick in severe weather next week
https://mobile.twitter.com/MikeMorganKF ... 6514983942

Also I'm sure most of you know but just in case you don't, this is the "this is May 3 all over again" guy

I'm not a pro by any means but I think he said this a bit prematurely... Next week doesn't really look very impressive with a weakening cutoff low moving through. That could lead to heavy rain though which would explain the AA precip prediction from CPC.

That being said however it's still over a week out and he very well could end up being right if things change. But I'm just not seeing anything that really makes next week look like a significant tornado event right now.

Also I have a lot of respect for this guy (as well as all pro mets) so he very well may be right

Isn’t he also the one who told people to get in their cars and drive away from the tornado during Moore and El Reno?

Also, 5/18-5/21 has my interest on the 12z gfs

[ElectricStorm]

OKC met hinting at an uptick in severe weather next week
https://mobile.twitter.com/MikeMorganKF ... 6514983942

Also I'm sure most of you know but just in case you don't, this is the "this is May 3 all over again" guy

I'm not a pro by any means but I think he said this a bit prematurely... Next week doesn't really look very impressive with a weakening cutoff low moving through. That could lead to heavy rain though which would explain the AA precip prediction from CPC.

That being said however it's still over a week out and he very well could end up being right if things change. But I'm just not seeing anything that really makes next week look like a significant tornado event right now.

Also I have a lot of respect for this guy (as well as all pro mets) so he very well may be right

Isn’t he also the one who told people to get in their cars and drive away from the tornado during Moore and El Reno?

Also, 5/18-5/21 has my interest on the 12z gfs

Me might be but I'm not entirely sure on that one. Ice might know though. I haven't watched much of his coverage since I'm not in their area.

[Iceresistance]

I'm not a pro by any means but I think he said this a bit prematurely... Next week doesn't really look very impressive with a weakening cutoff low moving through. That could lead to heavy rain though which would explain the AA precip prediction from CPC.

That being said however it's still over a week out and he very well could end up being right if things change. But I'm just not seeing anything that really makes next week look like a significant tornado event right now.

Also I have a lot of respect for this guy (as well as all pro mets) so he very well may be right

Isn’t he also the one who told people to get in their cars and drive away from the tornado during Moore and El Reno?

Also, 5/18-5/21 has my interest on the 12z gfs

Me might be but I'm not entirely sure on that one. Ice might know though. I haven't watched much of his coverage since I'm not in their area.

Yes, I've heard about that story on 5/31/2013, I get KOCO 5, KWTV News 9 (You get KOTV News 6 sister station in Tulsa), KFOR News 4 & KOKH Fox 25 news . . .

(On Bolded words): That had my interest for a few days! I've chosen those days as the target dates for another severe weather outbreak sequence potential not long after Yesterday's storm left . . .

EDIT: Do you mean 6z GFS? The 12z GFS barely started!

[Iceresistance]

I found this 12z NAM sounding near Tecumseh, OK at the end of the run . . .

[InfernoFlameCat]

neat. I got 4 inches of rain just now today and was only supposed to receive 1-2 max.

[Iceresistance]

neat. I got 4 inches of rain just now today and was only supposed to receive 1-2 max.

I got .6 inches when I expected 1 inch, maybe you stole the rainfall . . .

[ElectricStorm]

Yeah mid to late next week looks a lot more interesting than the first round for sure.

[Iceresistance]

The setup for next week is looking odd, but it does not take much to get going on what it looks like . . .

SCP of a 0, & there is a tornado threat near Tecumseh, OK at +132 hours . . .

[Iceresistance]

Tulsa is now under a Marginal risk for Saturday, but I'm not!