Texas Spring 2021

U.S. & Caribbean Weather Discussions and Severe Weather Events

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
rwfromkansas
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2627
Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:47 am
Location: North Fort Worth

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#601 Postby rwfromkansas » Mon May 03, 2021 3:43 pm

The front dryline doesn’t appear truly stationary but has slowed a lot. I think all of DFW is at risk.
0 likes   

User avatar
EnnisTx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 896
Joined: Sat Dec 26, 2015 4:06 pm
Location: Albany, Texas
Contact:

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#602 Postby EnnisTx » Mon May 03, 2021 3:58 pm

Tornado Watch 133< Previous WW Public|Counties|Probabilities|Aviation|Warnings|Initial RADAR 

HazardTornadoesEF2+ TornadoesLikelihoodModerateModerateSevere Wind65 kt+ WindHighModerateSevere Hail2"+ HailModerateModerate
Note:  The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL3 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 133 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 350 PM CDT Mon May 3 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southeast Oklahoma North-central Texas * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 350 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3.5 inches in diameter likely SUMMARY...Intense supercells are expected to initiate along the dryline in north-central Texas and the surface front in southeast Oklahoma by about 6 PM CDT. Very large hail will be the primary initial threat, but tornadoes and significant severe winds will be possible as well. Supercells should grow upscale into one or more clusters with an increasing risk of damaging winds this evening. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 10 miles northeast of Muskogee OK to 40 miles southwest of Waco TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. &&
1 likes   

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5837
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#603 Postby bubba hotep » Mon May 03, 2021 4:02 pm

Image
0 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

User avatar
EnnisTx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 896
Joined: Sat Dec 26, 2015 4:06 pm
Location: Albany, Texas
Contact:

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#604 Postby EnnisTx » Mon May 03, 2021 4:19 pm

Small returns popping up on radar out West.
0 likes   

User avatar
cheezyWXguy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6108
Joined: Mon Feb 13, 2006 12:29 am
Location: Dallas, TX

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#605 Postby cheezyWXguy » Mon May 03, 2021 4:31 pm

EnnisTx wrote:Small returns popping up on radar out West.

Already getting stronger. This is like 2 hours ahead of the HRRR
0 likes   

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5837
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#606 Postby bubba hotep » Mon May 03, 2021 4:37 pm

These first attempts might not take hold depending on if they can ger surface based as they push off that boundary but the dryline/front is clearly evident on radar..
0 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5837
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#607 Postby bubba hotep » Mon May 03, 2021 4:48 pm

bubba hotep wrote:These first attempts might not take hold depending on if they can ger surface based as they push off that boundary but the dryline/front is clearly evident on radar..


Nope, these are the real deal.
3 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

User avatar
Quixotic
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 729
Joined: Tue Feb 14, 2017 12:27 am
Location: Frisco

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#608 Postby Quixotic » Mon May 03, 2021 4:54 pm

Can't believe that one in Parker hasn't been warned yet.
0 likes   

rwfromkansas
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2627
Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:47 am
Location: North Fort Worth

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#609 Postby rwfromkansas » Mon May 03, 2021 5:23 pm

They developed quickly.
0 likes   

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5837
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#610 Postby bubba hotep » Mon May 03, 2021 5:38 pm

Image
0 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

HockeyTx82
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2540
Joined: Tue Oct 27, 2009 11:17 am
Location: Ponder, TX

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#611 Postby HockeyTx82 » Mon May 03, 2021 5:41 pm

I guess the line forming is a good thing...... less Tornado more smaller hail and wind?
0 likes   
Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.

Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22784
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#612 Postby Ntxw » Mon May 03, 2021 5:46 pm

HockeyTx82 wrote:I guess the line forming is a good thing...... less Tornado more smaller hail and wind?


Yeah the quicker they line up the more likely it shifts to some hail and high wind threat. The southernmost end likely has more tornadic threat.
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

  Help support Storm2K!
Help Support Storm2K

User avatar
cheezyWXguy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6108
Joined: Mon Feb 13, 2006 12:29 am
Location: Dallas, TX

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#613 Postby cheezyWXguy » Mon May 03, 2021 5:48 pm

Ntxw wrote:
HockeyTx82 wrote:I guess the line forming is a good thing...... less Tornado more smaller hail and wind?


Yeah the quicker they line up the more likely it shifts to some hail and high wind threat. The southernmost end likely has more tornadic threat.


Agreed. I have a bad feeling about that storm near granbury if it doesn’t get washed out by anything to the south
0 likes   

User avatar
EnnisTx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 896
Joined: Sat Dec 26, 2015 4:06 pm
Location: Albany, Texas
Contact:

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#614 Postby EnnisTx » Mon May 03, 2021 6:02 pm

Ntxw wrote:
HockeyTx82 wrote:I guess the line forming is a good thing...... less Tornado more smaller hail and wind?


Yeah the quicker they line up the more likely it shifts to some hail and high wind threat. The southernmost end likely has more tornadic threat.


The storm headed towards Tarrant County looks like the best bet for become tornadic.
0 likes   

User avatar
ElectricStorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5044
Age: 24
Joined: Tue Aug 13, 2019 11:23 pm
Location: Skiatook, OK / Norman, OK

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#615 Postby ElectricStorm » Mon May 03, 2021 6:04 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:
Ntxw wrote:
HockeyTx82 wrote:I guess the line forming is a good thing...... less Tornado more smaller hail and wind?


Yeah the quicker they line up the more likely it shifts to some hail and high wind threat. The southernmost end likely has more tornadic threat.


Agreed. I have a bad feeling about that storm near granbury if it doesn’t get washed out by anything to the south

Good call. It's confirmed now
0 likes   
B.S Meteorology, University of Oklahoma '25

Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.

User avatar
Texas Snowman
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 6179
Joined: Fri Jan 25, 2008 11:29 am
Location: Denison, Texas

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#616 Postby Texas Snowman » Mon May 03, 2021 6:12 pm

462
WFUS54 KFWD 032302
TORFWD
TXC221-251-032330-
/O.NEW.KFWD.TO.W.0009.210503T2302Z-210503T2330Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
602 PM CDT Mon May 3 2021

The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
Northwestern Johnson County in north central Texas...
Northeastern Hood County in north central Texas...

* Until 630 PM CDT.

* At 601 PM CDT, trained spotters have reported a tornado near
Granbury, moving east at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado and golf ball size hail.

SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.

* The tornado will be near...
Godley around 630 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to an
interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid
windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move
to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying
debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3245 9779 3255 9767 3255 9749 3246 9749
3238 9775
TIME...MOT...LOC 2301Z 248DEG 10KT 3244 9772

TORNADO...OBSERVED
HAIL...1.75IN

$$


--
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22784
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#617 Postby Ntxw » Mon May 03, 2021 6:15 pm

There's a good hook on the storm passing SW Denton county near Justin. This one may get a tor warning soon if one isn't already imminent or on the ground.
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K


User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5837
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#618 Postby bubba hotep » Mon May 03, 2021 6:17 pm

Image
0 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5837
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#619 Postby bubba hotep » Mon May 03, 2021 6:19 pm

It looked like things were going to quickly line out but now it's looking like we might be getting 3 dominate supercells or clusters. That will be problematic if they don't trend back towards a line here soon.
1 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

User avatar
cheezyWXguy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6108
Joined: Mon Feb 13, 2006 12:29 am
Location: Dallas, TX

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#620 Postby cheezyWXguy » Mon May 03, 2021 6:26 pm

Weather Dude wrote:
cheezyWXguy wrote:
Ntxw wrote:
Yeah the quicker they line up the more likely it shifts to some hail and high wind threat. The southernmost end likely has more tornadic threat.


Agreed. I have a bad feeling about that storm near granbury if it doesn’t get washed out by anything to the south

Good call. It's confirmed now

Friend out in granbury actually saw it. Sounds like it didn’t last long though.
0 likes   


Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google Adsense [Bot], Majestic-12 [Bot], mmmmsnouts and 9 guests