Texas Spring 2021

U.S. & Caribbean Weather Discussions and Severe Weather Events

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
weatherdude1108
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4228
Joined: Tue Dec 13, 2011 1:04 pm
Location: Northwest Austin/Cedar Park, TX

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#561 Postby weatherdude1108 » Sun May 02, 2021 9:30 am

Haris wrote:Well, looks like most of south central texas finally cashed in with 3-7” widespread. I believe San Antonio has seen around 8” officially this past week.

Here in W Austin, I’m ending the week with 4.7” about. :ggreen:


I got 4.5" total. Very nice!
1 likes   
The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
South Texas Storms
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4225
Joined: Thu Jun 24, 2010 12:28 am
Location: Houston, TX

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#562 Postby South Texas Storms » Sun May 02, 2021 9:33 am

Haris wrote:Well, looks like most of south central texas finally cashed in with 3-7” widespread. I believe San Antonio has seen around 8” officially this past week.

Here in W Austin, I’m ending the week with 4.7” about. :ggreen:


Yep, best rain event we've seen in years here! I'm thankful!
0 likes   

User avatar
Cpv17
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4976
Joined: Wed Dec 07, 2016 2:24 pm
Location: Wharton/El Campo, TX

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#563 Postby Cpv17 » Sun May 02, 2021 11:38 am

weatherdude1108 wrote:
Haris wrote:Well, looks like most of south central texas finally cashed in with 3-7” widespread. I believe San Antonio has seen around 8” officially this past week.

Here in W Austin, I’m ending the week with 4.7” about. :ggreen:


I got 4.5" total. Very nice!


I finished with 11.85”.
2 likes   

User avatar
storm_in_a_teacup
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 421
Joined: Wed Aug 16, 2017 5:01 pm
Location: Huntsville, Alabama (originally from Houston)
Contact:

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#564 Postby storm_in_a_teacup » Sun May 02, 2021 11:46 am

I’m just happy the amount of thunder and lightning was minimal in my area...meant I actually got some sleep at night!

(I’m probably a minority among all the weather nerds on this site but I’m mostly interested in storms because they scare me :oops:)
0 likes   
I know I can't straddle the atmosphere...just a tiny storm in your teacup, girl.

User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9288
Age: 21
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#565 Postby Iceresistance » Sun May 02, 2021 1:14 pm

storm_in_a_teacup wrote:I’m just happy the amount of thunder and lightning was minimal in my area...meant I actually got some sleep at night!

(I’m probably a minority among all the weather nerds on this site but I’m mostly interested in storms because they scare me :oops:)


I sometimes can't sleep at night because the storms drive me crazy!
0 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

gto67
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 72
Age: 77
Joined: Sat Dec 07, 2013 6:25 pm
Location: Weimar, TX

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#566 Postby gto67 » Sun May 02, 2021 1:25 pm

We got 7" in the Weimar area. Most tanks are full. Hay cutting will start soon.
1 likes   

User avatar
TeamPlayersBlue
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3445
Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 1:44 am
Location: Denver/Applewood, CO

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#567 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Sun May 02, 2021 8:04 pm

Cpv17 wrote:
weatherdude1108 wrote:
Haris wrote:Well, looks like most of south central texas finally cashed in with 3-7” widespread. I believe San Antonio has seen around 8” officially this past week.

Here in W Austin, I’m ending the week with 4.7” about. :ggreen:


I got 4.5" total. Very nice!


I finished with 11.85”.


That should hold you over for a bit :D

You were around the sweetspot it seems. I got around 4" or so. Plenty though.
1 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
Cpv17
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4976
Joined: Wed Dec 07, 2016 2:24 pm
Location: Wharton/El Campo, TX

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#568 Postby Cpv17 » Sun May 02, 2021 8:50 pm

TeamPlayersBlue wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:
weatherdude1108 wrote:
I got 4.5" total. Very nice!


I finished with 11.85”.


That should hold you over for a bit :D

You were around the sweetspot it seems. I got around 4" or so. Plenty though.


I think the bullseye was down around the Sweeny area. They got about 15”.
0 likes   

cstrunk
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 635
Joined: Sat Jul 04, 2020 10:38 am
Location: Longview, TX

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#569 Postby cstrunk » Mon May 03, 2021 9:50 am

I ended up around 3.25" in Longview from Friday through Sunday morning. I'm loving this spring.
1 likes   

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5837
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#570 Postby bubba hotep » Mon May 03, 2021 9:59 am

I think we will see some upgrades from SPC for North Texas based on the 12z models. Unless they think the models are weakening the cap too much.
1 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

rwfromkansas
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2627
Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:47 am
Location: North Fort Worth

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#571 Postby rwfromkansas » Mon May 03, 2021 10:45 am

Well that escalated quickly. I went to bed yesterday not even paying attention to today.
0 likes   

User avatar
cheezyWXguy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6108
Joined: Mon Feb 13, 2006 12:29 am
Location: Dallas, TX

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#572 Postby cheezyWXguy » Mon May 03, 2021 11:13 am

The HRRR and NAM are consistently depicting storms around 8-10pm tonight that would justify an expansion of the slight risk into most of dfw
0 likes   

User avatar
captainbarbossa19
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 1092
Age: 27
Joined: Wed Aug 21, 2019 11:09 pm
Location: Beaumont, TX

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#573 Postby captainbarbossa19 » Mon May 03, 2021 11:13 am

cstrunk wrote:I ended up around 3.25" in Longview from Friday through Sunday morning. I'm loving this spring.


Glad everyone got rain! Sadly, my area is suffering greatly this spring. Most of the rain fell to my west and north over the weekend. I did not even get an inch. I am not sure why my area keeps getting missed, but things are about to get rough if it does not start raining more soon.
0 likes   

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5837
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#574 Postby bubba hotep » Mon May 03, 2021 11:44 am

DFW bumped to ENH Image
0 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5837
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#575 Postby bubba hotep » Mon May 03, 2021 11:52 am

Looks like the upgrade was mostly for large hail but the 10% Tor hatch does include the northern burbs of DFW.
0 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9288
Age: 21
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#576 Postby Iceresistance » Mon May 03, 2021 11:56 am

bubba hotep wrote:DFW bumped to ENH Image



Also want to mention 30% HATCHED Hail & Wind threat for DFW & 10% HATCHED Tornado threat just to the North
(But, where is the GIF for highlighted areas for the Tornado, Wind & Hail threats? Or does that not exist?)

(And btw, I've noticed hot-linking on the GIFs from you, I'd use Gifyu (Or Imgur) to prevent the S2K Bandwidth from being wrecked . . .)
0 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5837
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#577 Postby bubba hotep » Mon May 03, 2021 12:15 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:DFW bumped to ENH https://s3.gifyu.com/images/TX_swody1.png



Also want to mention 30% HATCHED Hail & Wind threat for DFW & 10% HATCHED Tornado threat just to the North
(But, where is the GIF for highlighted areas for the Tornado, Wind & Hail threats? Or does that not exist?)

(And btw, I've noticed hot-linking on the GIFs from you, I'd use Gifyu (Or Imgur) to prevent the S2K Bandwidth from being wrecked . . .)


Pivotal Weather has the zoomed images.

Image
0 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9288
Age: 21
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#578 Postby Iceresistance » Mon May 03, 2021 12:23 pm

bubba hotep wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:DFW bumped to ENH Image



Also want to mention 30% HATCHED Hail & Wind threat for DFW & 10% HATCHED Tornado threat just to the North
(But, where is the GIF for highlighted areas for the Tornado, Wind & Hail threats? Or does that not exist?)

(And btw, I've noticed hot-linking on the GIFs from you, I'd use Gifyu (Or Imgur) to prevent the S2K Bandwidth from being wrecked . . .)


Pivotal Weather has the zoomed images.

Image


Thanks! :)
0 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5837
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#579 Postby bubba hotep » Mon May 03, 2021 12:42 pm

FWD going from 20% of storms in my point forecast to 70% of svr storms. Never easy to forecast when you have a strongly capped but explosive parameter space.
0 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22784
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Spring 2021

#580 Postby Ntxw » Mon May 03, 2021 1:04 pm

Could be an unpleasant surprise for the metroplex if things go right. Timing is pretty good for overperform peak hours, it's hot, and dews are up there around 70. Front will break the cap. Wind profiles aren't great for tors but hail parameters up there.
3 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

  Help support Storm2K!
Help Support Storm2K


Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: snownado and 8 guests