Texas Spring 2021

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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#181 Postby Iceresistance » Sat Mar 20, 2021 7:38 am

Marginal risk for DFW Next Monday . . .

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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

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All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

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Haris
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#182 Postby Haris » Sun Mar 21, 2021 5:42 pm

Anyone there?
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Weather geek and a storm spotter in West Austin. Not a degreed meteorologist. Big snow fan. Love rain and cold! Despise heat!
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#183 Postby Iceresistance » Sun Mar 21, 2021 5:46 pm

Forgot to update the Marginal risk for Tomorrow here! :lol:


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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#184 Postby BigD938 » Sun Mar 21, 2021 7:19 pm

Iceresistance wrote:Forgot to update the Marginal risk for Tomorrow here! :lol:


https://s4.gifyu.com/images/day2otlk_1730ffd5deed091a17c9.gif



What time is this gonna be starting tomorrow?
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#185 Postby rwfromkansas » Sun Mar 21, 2021 9:07 pm

Hard to get excited about marginal. Just want some rain!
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#186 Postby Brent » Mon Mar 22, 2021 12:03 am

I moved to Oklahoma and this thread died :lol:

but in all seriousness... it looks like an evening event for both DFW and here
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#187 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Mar 22, 2021 7:26 am

Brent wrote:I moved to Oklahoma and this thread died :lol:

but in all seriousness... it looks like an evening event for both DFW and here


You may HAVE to go back to DFW for this one . . . :lol: :lol: :lol:

Image

Also, Storm Season 2021 forum: viewtopic.php?f=24&t=121693
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#188 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Mar 22, 2021 8:13 am

Central Texas is now under the Slight Risk

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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#189 Postby rwfromkansas » Mon Mar 22, 2021 11:32 am

Wow, the Texas Tech WRF is now a paid subscription? What the heck. I don't use it often, but I usually do for storms. They don't even list prices on their site, which means....it's expensive.
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#190 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Mar 22, 2021 11:35 am

rwfromkansas wrote:Wow, the Texas Tech WRF is now a paid subscription? What the heck. I don't use it often, but I usually do for storms. They don't even list prices on their site, which means....it's expensive.

You can use COD Meteorology: I LOVE the site

https://weather.cod.edu/forecast/
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#191 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Mar 22, 2021 12:18 pm

Mesoscale Discussion #227

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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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captainbarbossa19
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#192 Postby captainbarbossa19 » Mon Mar 22, 2021 12:44 pm

I hope April will be wetter than this month because so far, rainfall has been quite scarce. Most models show an inch of rain or less for the next 10 days for my area. However, I am not too concerned yet about the pattern because it is not unusual for March to be very dry in SE TX.
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#193 Postby Cpv17 » Mon Mar 22, 2021 1:57 pm

captainbarbossa19 wrote:I hope April will be wetter than this month because so far, rainfall has been quite scarce. Most models show an inch of rain or less for the next 10 days for my area. However, I am not too concerned yet about the pattern because it is not unusual for March to be very dry in SE TX.


Yeah, models aren’t showing much especially south of I-10. Looks like most of the rain will be north or east of Southeast Texas over the next week or two.
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#194 Postby Quixotic » Mon Mar 22, 2021 3:17 pm

Current messy area will limit severe threat tonight for DFW. I'd be surprised if we got much of anything.
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Yukon Cornelius
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#195 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Mon Mar 22, 2021 3:33 pm

It’s been raining here all day and super windy. I’ve only picked up 0.27”however it looks like a line of some possibly severe stuff could come through a little later.
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#196 Postby rwfromkansas » Mon Mar 22, 2021 3:40 pm

I am shocked I got almost .50 so far. But, I think that's the kiss of death for severe tonight.
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bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#197 Postby bubba hotep » Mon Mar 22, 2021 5:32 pm

Latest HRRR shows a pretty stout line of storms moving through DFW later, I would expect a watch to be hoisted at some point tonight.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#198 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Mar 22, 2021 6:35 pm

Thunderstorm Watch #45, also includes DFW

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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#199 Postby bubba hotep » Mon Mar 22, 2021 8:37 pm

Getting absolutely hammered here in MBY!
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
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Re: Texas Spring 2021

#200 Postby bubba hotep » Mon Mar 22, 2021 8:38 pm

Getting the green hue of some power flashes.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
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