Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

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Iceresistance
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#281 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Mar 12, 2021 5:23 pm

Small but potental Storm with Supercell characteristics just South of Amarillo on I-27

EDIT: Also featuring a hook on radar
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#282 Postby ElectricStorm » Fri Mar 12, 2021 5:56 pm

Iceresistance wrote:Small but potental Storm with Supercell characteristics just South of Amarillo on I-27

EDIT: Also featuring a hook on radar

It appears that one is north of the warm front so it probably won't produce. Could get some big hail with that one though.
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#283 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Mar 12, 2021 5:59 pm

Weather Dude wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:Small but potental Storm with Supercell characteristics just South of Amarillo on I-27

EDIT: Also featuring a hook on radar

It appears that one is north of the warm front so it probably won't produce. Could get some big hail with that one though.

It's already starting to weaken, but the cells near Lubbock, TX have some high potental . . .
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Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#284 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Mar 12, 2021 6:14 pm

TORNADO WARNING North of Lubbock, TX
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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

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Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#285 Postby ElectricStorm » Fri Mar 12, 2021 6:22 pm

Iceresistance wrote:TORNADO WARNING North of Lubbock, TX

That warning was way too late... Was already on the ground when it was issued. It seems to have lifted now though.
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#286 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Mar 12, 2021 6:24 pm

Weather Dude wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:TORNADO WARNING North of Lubbock, TX

That warning was way too late... Was already on the ground when it was issued. It seems to have lifted now though.

Likely ramped up very quickly without warning . . .
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Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#287 Postby ElectricStorm » Fri Mar 12, 2021 6:30 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
Weather Dude wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:TORNADO WARNING North of Lubbock, TX

That warning was way too late... Was already on the ground when it was issued. It seems to have lifted now though.

Likely ramped up very quickly without warning . . .

It ramped up relatively quickly but there was strong rotation for quite a while before the warning was issued.
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#288 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Mar 12, 2021 6:36 pm

Severe Thunderstorm warning in Sayre, OK for Quarter Sized hail & 60 mph winds . . .
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Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#289 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Mar 12, 2021 6:47 pm

Mesoscale Discussion #157

40% of a T-Storm Watch in SW Oklahoma

Image
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

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All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#290 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Mar 12, 2021 7:18 pm

PDS Severe Thunderstorm Warning NE of Lubbock, TX for BASEBALL SIZED HAIL
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#291 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Mar 12, 2021 7:22 pm

Tornado Warning on Supercell #2 (Just east of Supercell #1) south of Folydada, TX
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#292 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Mar 12, 2021 7:30 pm

CONFIRMED Tornado on Supercell #2 SE of Folydale, TX
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#293 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Mar 12, 2021 8:15 pm

Supercell #3 SW of Lubbock, TX is showing a very well-defined hook that should be tornado-warned . . .
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#294 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Mar 12, 2021 8:25 pm

Tornado Warning near Roaring Springs, TX on the merged Supercell
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#295 Postby Keldeo1997 » Fri Mar 12, 2021 10:06 pm

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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#296 Postby ElectricStorm » Sat Mar 13, 2021 1:07 am

It's gonna be a dangerous one out there...
Image

Honestly unless something drastically changes in the morning, I'll be shocked if they don't upgrade to moderate at some point. Keeping it enhanced for now makes sense though, until they actually see what's going on in real time tomorrow.
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#297 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sat Mar 13, 2021 9:36 am

Weather Dude wrote:It's gonna be a dangerous one out there...
https://i.imgur.com/kdInWnV.gif

Honestly unless something drastically changes in the morning, I'll be shocked if they don't upgrade to moderate at some point. Keeping it enhanced for now makes sense though, until they actually see what's going on in real time tomorrow.

Good call, moderate posted.
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#298 Postby ElectricStorm » Sat Mar 13, 2021 10:13 am

15 hatched... Hope everyone stays safe out there, it's gonna be a big one
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#299 Postby Brandon8181 » Sat Mar 13, 2021 1:09 pm

Sitting in Silverton TX on the SW portion of the MDT risk area waiting for things to blow up.
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#300 Postby ElectricStorm » Sat Mar 13, 2021 1:15 pm

Brandon8181 wrote:Sitting in Silverton TX on the SW portion of the MDT risk area waiting for things to blow up.

Good luck out there. Likely to be a huge number of chasers...
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