Texas Winter 2020-2021

Winter Weather Discussion

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CentralTxAggie
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#7301 Postby CentralTxAggie » Thu Feb 18, 2021 12:40 pm

Portastorm wrote:How It Started
------------------
OMG! It's snowing here in Austin. Moderate snow coming down ... this is awesome!!!

How It's Going
-----------------
Ah sh*t, it's snowing again. :-(

https://www.kvue.com/article/news/local ... 55bebd28ee
check out the Twitter link :double:
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No forecasts from this lurker, but I will tell you what is going on outside my window. :)

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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#7302 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Feb 18, 2021 12:55 pm

It's already 24°F outside, the snow is now perfect for snowmen & snowball fights! :lol:
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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JDawg512
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#7303 Postby JDawg512 » Thu Feb 18, 2021 12:55 pm

I'm over it...

Image

Never thought I'd use this bitmoji and it actually be relevant to the situation, but here we are...
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I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.

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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#7304 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Feb 18, 2021 1:00 pm

JDawg512 wrote:I'm over it...

https://s8.directupload.net/images/210218/odvxijls.jpg

Never thought I'd use this bitmoji and it actually be relevant to the situation, but here we are...

Basically my house in Oklahoma too, except try more cold . . .
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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CentralTxAggie
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#7305 Postby CentralTxAggie » Thu Feb 18, 2021 1:04 pm

CentralTxAggie wrote:
Portastorm wrote:How It Started
------------------
OMG! It's snowing here in Austin. Moderate snow coming down ... this is awesome!!!

How It's Going
-----------------
Ah sh*t, it's snowing again. :-(

https://www.kvue.com/article/news/local ... 55bebd28ee
check out the Twitter link :double:

the water situation in New Braunfels. RV park advises us to get swimming pool water for flushing.
http://herald-zeitung.com/community_ale ... b91cb.html
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No forecasts from this lurker, but I will tell you what is going on outside my window. :)

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wxman57
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#7306 Postby wxman57 » Thu Feb 18, 2021 1:15 pm

Do y'all want me to seal my Canadian cold air wall now? I opened it up before I flew to Darwin.
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#7307 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Feb 18, 2021 1:19 pm

wxman57 wrote:Do y'all want me to seal my Canadian cold air wall now? I opened it up before I flew to Darwin.

Yes! Please come back this weekend & help us thaw out!


My suggestion: Build a "Arctic Wall" to keep away the Extreme cold from us & divert it East for next year . . . :firedevil:
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

aggiecutter
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#7308 Postby aggiecutter » Thu Feb 18, 2021 1:28 pm

There are still some good people in the world. BTW, Huff was a starting safety on the 2006 Texas National Championship Team:

Michael Huff
@Huffy247
1h
If you’re in Austin and need a hot meal and can safely make it to
@DonJuanTaco
I’ve paid for 1,000 tacos in advance. Let’s feed as many people as we can and only take what you need. 2300 E Cesar Chavez st Austin, TX 78702.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#7309 Postby Quixotic » Thu Feb 18, 2021 1:31 pm

So for once, JB was not using hyperbole. Our infrastructure has been tested and found lacking.
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bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#7310 Postby bubba hotep » Thu Feb 18, 2021 1:31 pm

aggiecutter wrote:There are still some good people in the world. BTW, Huff was a starting safety on the 2006 Texas National Championship Team:

Michael Huff
@Huffy247
1h
If you’re in Austin and need a hot meal and can safely make it to
@DonJuanTaco
I’ve paid for 1,000 tacos in advance. Let’s feed as many people as we can and only take what you need. 2300 E Cesar Chavez st Austin, TX 78702.


That's really cool
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#7311 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Feb 18, 2021 1:34 pm

Do y'all have any early ideas on what will storm season be like?

I have a very bad feeling about Storm Season 2021 in Oklahoma :sick:
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#7312 Postby gboudx » Thu Feb 18, 2021 1:46 pm

Quixotic wrote:So for once, JB was not using hyperbole. Our infrastructure has been tested and found lacking.


I was thinking about that last night. I don't care for Bastardi but he deserves credit for this one. Of course "broken clocks being right...", and "even a blind squirrel...", can apply as well. :lol:
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aggiecutter
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#7313 Postby aggiecutter » Thu Feb 18, 2021 1:49 pm

Iceresistance wrote:Do y'all have any early ideas on what will storm season be like?

I have a very bad feeling about Storm Season 2021 in Oklahoma :sick:


La Nina's are notorious for extreme weather events. If I'm not mistaken, the Joplin and Tuscaloosa Tornadoes(that occurred in the same year) was during a La Nina. The devastating Ice Storm in December of 2000 that crippled NE Texas, Oklahoma, and Arkansas for weeks was during a La Nina. I was without power for 10 days during that Ice Storm. Some people didn't have power for a month, as the Electrical Power infrastructure had to be rebuilt.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#7314 Postby cheezyWXguy » Thu Feb 18, 2021 1:53 pm

Iceresistance wrote:Do y'all have any early ideas on what will storm season be like?

I have a very bad feeling about Storm Season 2021 in Oklahoma :sick:

This guy has a pretty good video comparing analogs for the upcoming season. He’s not a professional, but I think he’s worth a watch.

https://youtu.be/a21jRvGH_Xo
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021, early thoughts on Storm Season 2021

#7315 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Feb 18, 2021 2:15 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:Do y'all have any early ideas on what will storm season be like?

I have a very bad feeling about Storm Season 2021 in Oklahoma :sick:

This guy has a pretty good video comparing analogs for the upcoming season. He’s not a professional, but I think he’s worth a watch.

https://youtu.be/a21jRvGH_Xo

Well, I searched on Youtube for "2021 Severe Weather season Preditions" & found this from Direct Weather:

Image

Please note it's Preliminary forecast released last month . . . (And why did put February 2021 as Above Average is because they got the data from the CPC, but it was WAY below Average LOL :lol:)

Link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=71rVqW1Vl38&t
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021, early thoughts on Storm Season 2021

#7316 Postby Ntxw » Thu Feb 18, 2021 2:21 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
cheezyWXguy wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:Do y'all have any early ideas on what will storm season be like?

I have a very bad feeling about Storm Season 2021 in Oklahoma :sick:

This guy has a pretty good video comparing analogs for the upcoming season. He’s not a professional, but I think he’s worth a watch.

https://youtu.be/a21jRvGH_Xo

Well, I searched on Youtube for "2021 Severe Weather season Preditions" & found this from Direct Weather:

https://s2.gifyu.com/images/Screenshot-2021-02-18-at-1.12.31-PM.png

Please note it's Preliminary forecast released last month . . . (And why did put February 2021 as Above Average is because they got the data from the CPC, but it was WAY below Average LOL :lol:)

Link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=71rVqW1Vl38&t


A lot will depend on the Gulf also. Despite 2011 having the Feb cold blasts, SE ridge created a hot gulf that set up the clash.

SE ridge is poised to takeover next few weeks so lets see if it heats up. When mid to late March and it is anomalously warm there, we'll know.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#7317 Postby hriverajr » Thu Feb 18, 2021 2:27 pm

Snow starting to let up in Del Rio. I have 11.5 inches... Not sure if another .5 will fall (compaction needs to be figured in) Anyway it has been awesome. Almost worth the 4 days without power and the 2 days without water.
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utpmg
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#7318 Postby utpmg » Thu Feb 18, 2021 2:30 pm

Periodic flurries at my house, but virtually no accumulation. Perhaps generous would be "light dusting."
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HockeyTx82
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#7319 Postby HockeyTx82 » Thu Feb 18, 2021 2:31 pm

bubba hotep wrote:
HockeyTx82 wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:One last hard freeze warning for DFW, 00z Euro gets the area down to single digits but the 12z GFS/NAMs are much warmer.

https://pbs.twimg.com/card_img/1362441248179589123/_eIuIaZi?format=jpg&name=small


So now we trust the Euro.......


I didn't say that, I simple stated what the models were showing.


I know, just being funny. Thought I put the :wink:
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#7320 Postby Portastorm » Thu Feb 18, 2021 2:52 pm

CentralTxAggie wrote:
Portastorm wrote:How It Started
------------------
OMG! It's snowing here in Austin. Moderate snow coming down ... this is awesome!!!

How It's Going
-----------------
Ah sh*t, it's snowing again. :-(

https://www.kvue.com/article/news/local ... 55bebd28ee
check out the Twitter link :double:


Yeah ... terrible. I've gone two days now with no water. Using melted snow to help flush toilets. Fortunately I keep a good supply of drinking water anyhow so that's okay. City has a boil water notice but you can't boil what you don't have. Fortunately many folks are now getting power back today. Hopefully we all get water soon.
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Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.


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