Texas Winter 2020-2021

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rwfromkansas
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#7041 Postby rwfromkansas » Tue Feb 16, 2021 7:20 pm

Snow building to the west and getting closer. Not a huge batch yet, but from the timing it should get bigger overnight.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#7042 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Feb 16, 2021 7:23 pm

You can really see the DFW Dry Slot on the southern end, even though there is snow developing in SW Fort Worth . . .

Image
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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#7043 Postby Ntxw » Tue Feb 16, 2021 7:32 pm

Iceresistance wrote:2-3 inch per hour snowfall over Amarillo right now


I expect the band that starts building out from DFW to NE Texas this evening to be just as intense.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#7044 Postby gpsnowman » Tue Feb 16, 2021 7:33 pm

Ntxw wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:2-3 inch per hour snowfall over Amarillo right now


I expect the band that starts building out from DFW to NE Texas this even to be just as intense.

About what time do you anticipate the band to come across DFW?
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#7045 Postby Ntxw » Tue Feb 16, 2021 7:37 pm

gpsnowman wrote:
Ntxw wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:2-3 inch per hour snowfall over Amarillo right now


I expect the band that starts building out from DFW to NE Texas this even to be just as intense.

About what time do you anticipate the band to come across DFW?


Close to midnight. The current stuff to the west is going to clip the northern tier counties. But after that is the main feature.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#7046 Postby gpsnowman » Tue Feb 16, 2021 7:38 pm

Ntxw wrote:
gpsnowman wrote:
Ntxw wrote:
I expect the band that starts building out from DFW to NE Texas this even to be just as intense.

About what time do you anticipate the band to come across DFW?


Close to midnight. The current stuff to the west is going to clip the northern tier counties. But after that is the main feature.

Excellent. Could be an all nighter!!!
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#7047 Postby gpsnowman » Tue Feb 16, 2021 7:48 pm

Weather Channel was just in Amarillo and it is dumping big time. If our band dumps that much then watch out!!
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#7048 Postby bubba hotep » Tue Feb 16, 2021 7:49 pm

gpsnowman wrote:
Ntxw wrote:
gpsnowman wrote:About what time do you anticipate the band to come across DFW?


Close to midnight. The current stuff to the west is going to clip the northern tier counties. But after that is the main feature.

Excellent. Could be an all nighter!!!


No sleeping on this one. Who knows when it will snow again lol

However, the same large scale features the drove this outbreak will be lingering for much of March.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#7049 Postby Ntxw » Tue Feb 16, 2021 7:52 pm

The disturbed cloud deck in southwest Texas is the area to watch. It will move E/NE and blossom to be our event along I-35 on east.

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#7050 Postby Haris » Tue Feb 16, 2021 7:57 pm

Nasty ice storm tonight for Austin and not even funny! Better exit quick but models keep coming S
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#7051 Postby Ntxw » Tue Feb 16, 2021 8:02 pm

LIght snow spreading through Tarrant and Dallas counties. mPings reflect it as well.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#7052 Postby EnnisTx » Tue Feb 16, 2021 8:19 pm

EnnisTx wrote:Finally have power back after 42 hours. Just came back to check on things and house was 39 degrees, slowly warming and no pipe issues!


Edit: got the house warmed to 61° and the power just dropped again. Hoping this is just the rolling type this time.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#7053 Postby bubba hotep » Tue Feb 16, 2021 8:24 pm

Ntxw wrote:LIght snow spreading through Tarrant and Dallas counties. mPings reflect it as well.


Light snow here in southern Collin County, approaching a dusting on car tops.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#7054 Postby gboudx » Tue Feb 16, 2021 8:29 pm

From Lindner:

Winter Storm Warning in effect along and north of US 59 through tonight

Cold temperatures especially at night will continue to result in infrastructure and human hardships

Hard freeze likely Friday morning

Discussion:
Coastal low is forming south of Matagorda Bay and will progress NE across our coastal waters tonight into Wednesday. This will result in a quick return of moisture into the slowly modifying arctic cold dome over the region. Current dewpoints remain very low across the region and with surface temperatures in the low to mid 30’s, as light drizzle and rainfall begins to fall, temperatures will fall and dewpoints will rise. This will result in the freezing line along and north of a line from roughly Matagorda Bay to Wharton to Pearland to Winnie. During the night this freezing line will begin to move northward slowly as warmer air from the Gulf of Mexico attempts to move inland. How far north this freezing line progresses is important as to what areas receive freezing rain and ice accumulation and what areas see plain rain.

Current thinking is that the freezing line will slowly progress northward through the morning hours on Wednesday with freezing rain and ice transitioning to rain. Expect the greatest ice accumulations to be found along and north of US 59/I-10 where temperatures will remain colder for the longest period of time.

Minor ice accumulations will be possible generally south of US 59 with accumulations of .10 to .25 of an inch generally north of US 59. Isolated amounts of .25-.50 will be possible mainly far to the north of Houston where a devastating ice storm is looking likely.

These ice accumulations will likely result in some tree damage and power line damage over the region and hamper efforts to restore power generation.

Temperatures on Wednesday after mid to late morning will rise above freezing and any ice should begin to melt. Temperatures will fall below freezing again Wednesday night and Thursday morning and any water left on roadways will likely freeze again.

One final disturbance will cross the area early Thursday and there may be some light precipitation and will need to keep an eye on this feature on the next 24 hours. As this disturbance passes, another shot of cold arctic air will spread into the region resulting in another night of very cold temperatures on Friday morning where temperatures will likely fall into the upper 10’s to mid-20’s yet again over the area.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#7055 Postby HockeyTx82 » Tue Feb 16, 2021 8:34 pm

So what are the latest HRRR models?

Fox 4 WAPP not impressed with my area
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#7056 Postby bubba hotep » Tue Feb 16, 2021 8:43 pm

HockeyTx82 wrote:So what are the latest HRRR models?

Fox 4 WAPP not impressed with my area


00z HRRR is gorgeous for DFW.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#7057 Postby Captmorg70 » Tue Feb 16, 2021 8:44 pm

HockeyTx82 wrote:So what are the latest HRRR models?

Fox 4 WAPP not impressed with my area


We’ve been barely missing good snow. Under other circumstances I’d be pretty unhappy. But with no power, I’m kinda glad it’s missing our area
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#7058 Postby somethingfunny » Tue Feb 16, 2021 8:44 pm

I have a dusting of pure graupel here in East Dallas. It's pretty cool!
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#7059 Postby HockeyTx82 » Tue Feb 16, 2021 8:46 pm

bubba hotep wrote:
HockeyTx82 wrote:So what are the latest HRRR models?

Fox 4 WAPP not impressed with my area


00z HRRR is gorgeous for DFW.


What time are we thinking? Not that I plan on staying up. I was bed ridden all day with a stomach bug.

My wife had to deal with the kids all day. This really sucks.

Also heard our towns water pump broke so we are slowly losing pressure.

Small town woes, power has been up almost 15 hours.
Last edited by HockeyTx82 on Tue Feb 16, 2021 8:47 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#7060 Postby HockeyTx82 » Tue Feb 16, 2021 8:47 pm

Captmorg70 wrote:
HockeyTx82 wrote:So what are the latest HRRR models?

Fox 4 WAPP not impressed with my area


We’ve been barely missing good snow. Under other circumstances I’d be pretty unhappy. But with no power, I’m kinda glad it’s missing our area


Odd. Your the second person thag said they don't have power here. Ours came on middle of the night, been on since. I just assumed everyone was good.
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