CARIBBEAN & W. ATL. FIRING UP THIS A.M........

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

CARIBBEAN & W. ATL. FIRING UP THIS A.M........

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Tue Nov 04, 2003 5:37 am

and shear doesn't seem that impressive.......

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/IR4/20.jpg
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

#2 Postby dixiebreeze » Tue Nov 04, 2003 5:39 am

Here's another cool look at the areas of interest:

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseasthurrir.html
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
stormchazer
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2462
Joined: Fri Aug 29, 2003 12:00 pm
Location: Lakeland, Florida
Contact:
Contact stormchazer

#3 Postby stormchazer » Tue Nov 04, 2003 6:40 am

dixiebreeze wrote:Here's another cool look at the areas of interest:

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseasthurrir.html


From this mornings TWO:

A WESTWARD-MOVING AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED OVER THE
EAST-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO
BE SLOW.
0 likes   
The posts or stuff said are NOT an official forecast and my opinion alone. Please look to the NHC and NWS for official forecasts and products.

Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged

Opinions my own.
Top
rainstorm

#4 Postby rainstorm » Tue Nov 04, 2003 6:46 am

thanks dixie!!
0 likes   
Top
caneman

#5 Postby caneman » Tue Nov 04, 2003 9:31 am

I'm becoming more interested in this feature in the extreme South Central Carrib. Anybody else?
0 likes   
Top
Steve H.
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2149
Joined: Sat Oct 19, 2002 9:06 am
Location: Palm Bay, Florida

#6 Postby Steve H. » Tue Nov 04, 2003 10:05 am

Definitely bares watching. Also the GOM low is building convection this morning. AN area of interest should also be a developing circulation moving WSW located at 20N/52W. Seems to be riding the ridge and is developing a circulation. Warm and steamy here in central Florida today. Bet JB is salivating the morning as the SW Atlantic and Caribbean Still look ripe for development......need more sloar flares :wink:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
JCT777
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6251
Joined: Mon Oct 14, 2002 9:21 am
Location: Spring Mount, PA
Contact:
Contact JCT777

#7 Postby JCT777 » Tue Nov 04, 2003 11:48 am

No more solar flares! They could ruin my winter. :x :wink:

But things are looking interesting in the tropics. Much more interesting than at this time last year.
0 likes   
Top
ColdFront77

#8 Postby ColdFront77 » Tue Nov 04, 2003 7:58 pm

It sure was quiet last year at this time.

Hurricane Lili (including it's depression stages) lasted from Saturday, September 21st to Friday, October 4th, 2002 and Tropical Depression #14 formed on Monday, October 14th, which dissipated on Wednesday, October 16th, 2002.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Stormsfury
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10549
Age: 53
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 6:27 pm
Location: Summerville, SC

#9 Postby Stormsfury » Tue Nov 04, 2003 8:06 pm

Steve H. wrote:Definitely bares watching. Also the GOM low is building convection this morning. AN area of interest should also be a developing circulation moving WSW located at 20N/52W. Seems to be riding the ridge and is developing a circulation. Warm and steamy here in central Florida today. Bet JB is salivating the morning as the SW Atlantic and Caribbean Still look ripe for development......need more sloar flares :wink:


Check USA Weather Discussion ... 486 release possibly the largest known solar flare earlier today with prelim data indicating an Class X20 flare ...

JCT777 wrote:No more solar flares! They could ruin my winter.

But things are looking interesting in the tropics. Much more interesting than at this time last year.


Well, at least we're NOT in a SOLAR MAXIMUM like we were in 2001.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
*StOrmsPr*
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 198
Joined: Thu May 01, 2003 7:39 pm
Location: Humacao,Puerto Rico
Contact:
Contact *StOrmsPr*

#10 Postby *StOrmsPr* » Tue Nov 04, 2003 8:24 pm

i know it may be nothing but what about that convection area east of the islands ?

any comments about it??? i know is already to late for something to develop there!



http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/IR4/20.jpg
0 likes   
Top
Rainband

#11 Postby Rainband » Tue Nov 04, 2003 8:29 pm

Looks like it has rotation but what do I know :) :wink:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
*StOrmsPr*
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 198
Joined: Thu May 01, 2003 7:39 pm
Location: Humacao,Puerto Rico
Contact:
Contact *StOrmsPr*

#12 Postby *StOrmsPr* » Tue Nov 04, 2003 8:33 pm

Rainband wrote:Looks like it has rotation but what do I know :) :wink:


LOL Rainband we are in the same boat then :wink: !!
0 likes   
Top
Rainband

#13 Postby Rainband » Tue Nov 04, 2003 8:34 pm

*StOrmsPr* wrote:
Rainband wrote:Looks like it has rotation but what do I know :) :wink:


LOL Rainband we are in the same boat then :wink: !!
Looks interesting to say the least :wink:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
stormchazer
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2462
Joined: Fri Aug 29, 2003 12:00 pm
Location: Lakeland, Florida
Contact:
Contact stormchazer

#14 Postby stormchazer » Tue Nov 04, 2003 9:19 pm

*StOrmsPr* wrote:i know it may be nothing but what about that convection area east of the islands ?

any comments about it??? i know is already to late for something to develop there!



http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/IR4/20.jpg


Does not look like nothing.
0 likes   
The posts or stuff said are NOT an official forecast and my opinion alone. Please look to the NHC and NWS for official forecasts and products.

Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged

Opinions my own.
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 43 guests