Texas Winter 2020-2021

[Cpv17]

What an odd radar depiction

https://i.ibb.co/JtkDwT3/gfs-mslp-pcpn-frzn-scus-16.png

All you have to do is look at the temps aloft. The GFS has this wrong. That would most likely be snow up on the northern side of that precip. It’s a common mistake with the GFS. Also, it has a warm bias. You can usually shed a few degrees off what the GFS is predicting.

[rwfromkansas]

Weird the GFS shows so much rain. 540 line well south.

[Brent]

CMC looking amazing for DFW

Not so much to the south

[bubba hotep]

What an odd radar depiction

https://i.ibb.co/JtkDwT3/gfs-mslp-pcpn-frzn-scus-16.png

It's the warmest of the bunch at the surface. Precip shield on most of the guidance has trended to be pretty similar. 0z GFS-P below with slightly cooler surface temps.

https://i.imgur.com/FkzuDUL.png

Yea, steady north trend continues on the GFS-P, while the GFS was a wobble back south. Also, signature of convective banding showing up in the QPF fields

00z GFS-P

[bubba hotep]

When do Watches get hoisted?

[Ntxw]

When do Watches get hoisted?

Friday afternoon betting the farm. Hello Canadian!

[Brent]

Oh Canada

[Ntxw]

Oh Canada

https://i.ibb.co/8XmMk96/gem-asnow-scus-21.png

Feb 2010 you know it.

[Cpv17]

Oh Canada

https://i.ibb.co/8XmMk96/gem-asnow-scus-21.png

That would be one for the ages lol the size of that is massive!!

[Ntxw]

Just FYI also DFW has not seen >1" of snow officially in the Month of January since 2003.

[HockeyTx82]

It's been too warm, won't stick......

Plus, I have not seen TxDOT doing de-icing runs on the roads

[bubba hotep]

Just FYI also DFW has not seen >1" of snow officially in the Month of January since 2003.

That will get broken. Also, this system will push all time records in some places

[orangeblood]

All great trends for DFW but the one I was looking for to really get this snow train going were the GEFS members....they’re now on board with a big shift north across I-20.

[Brent]

It's been too warm, won't stick......

Plus, I have not seen TxDOT doing de-icing runs on the roads

all those times they de-iced and nothing happened

[bubba hotep]

All great trends for DFW but the one I was looking for to really get this snow train going were the GEFS members....they’re now on board with a big shift north across I-20.

Good grief. It seems like the new GEFS has a bit of a low bias when it comes to snow totals, so that is impressive.

[orangeblood]

It's been too warm, won't stick......

Plus, I have not seen TxDOT doing de-icing runs on the roads

all those times they de-iced and nothing happened

Maybe DFW can finally get a decent Return on their snow removal investment, post Super Bowl debacle

[Haris]

Y’all enjoy and deserve it for sure. It’s gonna be too painful to watch from here. I’m out

Maybe I’ll drive if it gets close

[Ntxw]

Y’all enjoy and deserve it for sure. It’s gonna be too painful to watch from here. I’m out

Maybe I’ll drive if it gets close

If it does pan out that way, I would definitely make the the trip if you can. Especially since it is a weekend. Us folks here in DFW know too well when it's oh so close and instead it's Abilene, or WF, and OKC.

[bubba hotep]

Y’all enjoy and deserve it for sure. It’s gonna be too painful to watch from here. I’m out

Maybe I’ll drive if it gets close

It's still early and things could shift back south. Wait for the Hi-Res runs before folding up shop and advancing northward.

[Texas Snow]

Maybe DFW can finally get a decent Return on their snow removal investment, post Super Bowl debacle

Ouch. True but ouch.

With this last piece of positive news on a wonderful trend day for me, I am heading to bed. Too many late nights in my future model watching.

Besides, I’ve been through this so many times the last several years, I go to bed excited and wake up to a bad news or a bad trend opposite of when I went to bed. Perhaps this will be different but I expect tomorrow morning I’ll wake up to see a cold light rain for DFW.

Good night all.