Texas Winter 2020-2021

[Cpv17]

18z Euro with another tick west with 4 - 6" of rain for DFW. It looks like out south of Midland towards Rankin could be the jackpot. Good grief, this is a really crazy track and with some colder air in place we would be talking the biggest snowstorm ever for DFW.

Instead we get days of rain as much as we really need it I'm not looking forward to it this is gonna be a big what could have been

And honestly I don’t really see anything exciting on the models after this event.

[rwfromkansas]

Jealous of those who live in Midland. I did for several years. They always get these things or Lubbock. Just shocked at how far west this is trending. Wow. I thought we would get something.

[Lagreeneyes03]

18z Euro with another tick west with 4 - 6" of rain for DFW. It looks like out south of Midland towards Rankin could be the jackpot. Good grief, this is a really crazy track and with some colder air in place we would be talking the biggest snowstorm ever for DFW.

Pretty much the worst weather imaginable. "Just a cold rain" But, this wasn't supposed to be a winter weather year anyways. Man the models sure were off...

[cheezyWXguy]

18z Euro with another tick west with 4 - 6" of rain for DFW. It looks like out south of Midland towards Rankin could be the jackpot. Good grief, this is a really crazy track and with some colder air in place we would be talking the biggest snowstorm ever for DFW.

Instead we get days of rain as much as we really need it I'm not looking forward to it this is gonna be a big what could have been

And honestly I don’t really see anything exciting on the models after this event.

Same but that doesn’t mean much. The evolution of this storm really didn’t look like anything too special until yesterday, and the lack of continuity in the long range is about as encouraging as it is discouraging, imo

[Brent]

Jealous of those who live in Midland. I did for several years. They always get these things or Lubbock. Just shocked at how far west this is trending. Wow. I thought we would get something.

I do find it slightly ironic when we wanted a west shift to get rain from the hurricanes we couldn't get one but now

[orangeblood]

Interesting eastward shift on the 0Z ICON model this evening, hopefully the start of a trend reversal

[bubba hotep]

Breckenridge gets NAMed!

[bubba hotep]

Interesting eastward shift on the 0Z ICON model this evening, hopefully the start of a trend reversal

So far on the 00z GFS some minor positive changes with the northern stream s/w and the SE ridge. Does it make any difference?

[cheezyWXguy]

Interesting eastward shift on the 0Z ICON model this evening, hopefully the start of a trend reversal

So far on the 00z GFS some minor positive changes with the northern stream s/w and the SE ridge. Does it make any difference?

I wish. Temps in 40s through the event for dfw. Nam follows suit. Icon looks better though, for what that’s worth

[Brent]

Breckenridge gets NAMed!

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/namconus/2020122900/namconus_asnow_scus_29.png

that cutoff is brutal lol

of course last run a lot of that wasn't snow further east if you look at the frames only a couple frames are semi-interesting for the metro as the precip ends

[EnnisTx]

Breckenridge gets NAMed!

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/namconus/2020122900/namconus_asnow_scus_29.png

that cutoff is brutal lol


of course last run a lot of that wasn't snow further east if you look at the frames only a couple frames are semi-interesting for the metro as the precip ends

I know it's selfish of me, but where I'm at would be in the 3 inch zone.

[Brent]

Euro hits a wall with the snow before the metro again

[Texas Snow]

Euro hits a wall with the snow before the metro again

https://i.ibb.co/JtJnx9s/sn10-acc-us-sc-12.png

Welp.

[Brent]

Euro hits a wall with the snow before the metro again

https://i.ibb.co/JtJnx9s/sn10-acc-us-sc-12.png

Welp.

It's not over yet but I am not very optimistic unfortunately the NAM is likely way overdone

[TeamPlayersBlue]

This is the most nino La nina ive ever seen hahaha. Pattern is quirky.

[Ralph's Weather]

Forecast snow totals for West Texas are wild. 6" for Midland and up to a foot south of there.

[Ralph's Weather]

What do y'all think the chances this ends up a bit further east? A due north track of the low does not match climatology, but there are always outliers and this may be one. I would bet on a further east track which could bring snow closer to I-35 north of I-10.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

https://twitter.com/antmasiello/status/ ... 5892074496

Fantastic read. Must follow.

[harp]

https://twitter.com/antmasiello/status/1343822175892074496

Fantastic read. Must follow.

. Can you interpret this please?

[TeamPlayersBlue]

https://twitter.com/antmasiello/status/1343822175892074496

Fantastic read. Must follow.

. Can you interpret this please?

It's very intense, but in the thread he is trying to decipher what the pattern will look like in Jan and Feb based off of past experiences.