Texas Winter 2020-2021

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InfernoFlameCat
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#341 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Sat Dec 26, 2020 8:24 pm

Its all about the positioning of the Bermuda high on where the storm develops. If it is stronger then we will see a storm positioned over Texas and stall with the cold air catching on. If it is weaker then the storm will shove it out and outrun the cold air with only rain for yall. If the storm is farther East and strong, then significant amounts of snow are possible for the southeast. The Plains and the North East will get snow regardless. Also the stronger the Greenland high, the more cold air is squeezed south towards yall. That looks to be very strong right now with large low pressure systems (The European windstorms) keeping it there and allowing it to build. All in all this could bring around at least an inch across a wide swath of the great plains including the central swath of Texas to perhaps South Dakota. This is the most likely scenario; however, I will be looking for signs that may push the storm East to me. :grrr: :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#342 Postby EnnisTx » Sat Dec 26, 2020 8:36 pm

:spam:
InfernoFlameCat wrote:Its all about the positioning of the Bermuda high on where the storm develops. If it is stronger then we will see a storm positioned over Texas and stall with the cold air catching on. If it is weaker then the storm will shove it out and outrun the cold air with only rain for yall. If the storm is farther East and strong, then significant amounts of snow are possible for the southeast. The Plains and the North East will get snow regardless. Also the stronger the Greenland high, the more cold air is squeezed south towards yall. That looks to be very strong right now with large low pressure systems (The European windstorms) keeping it there and allowing it to build. All in all this could bring around at least an inch across a wide swath of the great plains including the central swath of Texas to perhaps South Dakota. This is the most likely scenario; however, I will be looking for signs that may push the storm East to me. :grrr: :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#343 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Sat Dec 26, 2020 10:40 pm

EnnisTx wrote::spam:
InfernoFlameCat wrote:Its all about the positioning of the Bermuda high on where the storm develops. If it is stronger then we will see a storm positioned over Texas and stall with the cold air catching on. If it is weaker then the storm will shove it out and outrun the cold air with only rain for yall. If the storm is farther East and strong, then significant amounts of snow are possible for the southeast. The Plains and the North East will get snow regardless. Also the stronger the Greenland high, the more cold air is squeezed south towards yall. That looks to be very strong right now with large low pressure systems (The European windstorms) keeping it there and allowing it to build. All in all this could bring around at least an inch across a wide swath of the great plains including the central swath of Texas to perhaps South Dakota. This is the most likely scenario; however, I will be looking for signs that may push the storm East to me. :grrr: :lol:

Wdym
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#344 Postby Brent » Sat Dec 26, 2020 11:13 pm

:spam: snow south and east of Dallas sounds correct

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#345 Postby Haris » Sat Dec 26, 2020 11:19 pm

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#346 Postby Brent » Sat Dec 26, 2020 11:47 pm

:spam: :double:

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Midnight NYE snowstorm in Dallas

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#347 Postby Cerlin » Sun Dec 27, 2020 12:21 am

GFS usually picks up these snowstorms within 5 days. That’s how it worked for Oklahoma’s snowstorms. If the GFS starts to pick it up in the next 24 hours, I’d say NYE has some legitimacy.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#348 Postby Brent » Sun Dec 27, 2020 12:58 am

Cerlin wrote:GFS usually picks up these snowstorms within 5 days. That’s how it worked for Oklahoma’s snowstorms. If the GFS starts to pick it up in the next 24 hours, I’d say NYE has some legitimacy.


The GEFS already has a pretty good signal it appears

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Thursday morning

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#349 Postby Brent » Sun Dec 27, 2020 1:27 am

:double: :double: :double: major snowstorm on the Euro :spam:
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:double: :double: :double:

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#350 Postby BTAYLOR5021 » Sun Dec 27, 2020 1:39 am

Nice...snow is within the 5 day forecast on weather.com Dfw.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#351 Postby Cpv17 » Sun Dec 27, 2020 2:13 am



Well I’m definitely curious to see what the eps says now lol
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#352 Postby Ntxw » Sun Dec 27, 2020 2:14 am

Keep improving on the upper levels, the moisture will come.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#353 Postby bubba hotep » Sun Dec 27, 2020 2:25 am

I wonder how FWD handles this? Mention it in discussion, low pops NE and punt to the day shift?
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#354 Postby orangeblood » Sun Dec 27, 2020 8:23 am

Ntxw wrote:Keep improving on the upper levels, the moisture will come.


Latest 6Z Euro ENS just got much stronger with the ULL...at this rate, this axis of the heaviest snow will end up across the panhandle. Really impressive storm appears likely somewhere across the southern plains attm

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NAM also trending towards Euro suite...GFS is playing catch up

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#355 Postby gpsnowman » Sun Dec 27, 2020 10:51 am

The Thursday temps keep dropping bit by bit with each forecast I see. Are we in for a snowy surprise???? Looks like an all-nighter could be in store for snow weenies like myself. :D
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#356 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Sun Dec 27, 2020 10:55 am

Just looked at the sounding for Houston on NYE. GFS has green for precip, but that would be snow falling out of the sky.

I'm in AZ with family currently and heading to CO to hit the slopes. Crossing my fingers for you guys.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#357 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Sun Dec 27, 2020 10:58 am

Is that snow I see in the 00z Gfs run for HOUSTON!!!
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#358 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Sun Dec 27, 2020 11:13 am

Appears that a dual storm will form with the first bringing snow in North Texas and the plains with the second drawing in cold air to bring snow to South East Texas.
This is the storm y´ :D all have been waiting for.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#359 Postby Cerlin » Sun Dec 27, 2020 11:16 am

Of all the weeks to be out of town... :roll:
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#360 Postby rwfromkansas » Sun Dec 27, 2020 11:24 am

Okay, I am getting legit interested for the first time in years. I
wish the bullseye would be over DFW but usually it will be to the northwest. Just give me an inch. Lol.
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