Texas Winter 2020-2021

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Cerlin
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#301 Postby Cerlin » Wed Dec 23, 2020 10:07 pm

Haven’t seen any evidence of flurries anywhere but I’ll keep a lookout!
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#302 Postby wxman57 » Wed Dec 23, 2020 10:32 pm

starsfan65 wrote:
Texas Snowman wrote:
wxman57 wrote:
12Z GFS indicates warm air advection across Texas on the 1st with a high in the low 60s and a low near 50 that night.. Euro has temps near 60 in the afternoon dropping to the low to mid 40s that Friday night. You can uncross your fingers. This isn't the type of pattern that brings snow to TX. Zonal flow through the first week of January with no significant cold air intrusions. Occasional cold air confined to the Great Lakes & New England. No cold lasting very long with the fast zonal flow.


A Winter Weather Christmas Carol:

Wxman57: “Bah, humbug!”

Texas Winter Weather Lovers: “I am sorry, with all my heart, to find you so resolute... But I have made the trial in homage to Winter, and I'll keep my snow and cold weather loving humour to the last. So A Merry Christmas, Wxman57!"


Wxman57: “Bah, humbug, and good afternoon!”

( :lol: I hope the Ghosts of Christmas Weather Past, Present, and Future all pay you a visit this week, kind sir, and help your heat miserly heart turn around as completely as old Ebeneezer Scrooge’s did! :wink:)
I hope the heat miser is proved wrong next week!!!


I really do like snow - it's the only good use for cold air. Those who have followed my posts here for years know that when I really see a chance of snow, I identify the possibility and hope it comes true. However, the pattern across the U.S. over the next 2-3 weeks doesn't look good for snow south of the TX panhandle. Cold shots too brief with significant warm-ups between the cold. Air drying quickly with each frontal passage. Would need the upper lows to track farther south.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#303 Postby Brent » Wed Dec 23, 2020 10:34 pm

wxman57 wrote:
starsfan65 wrote:
Texas Snowman wrote:
A Winter Weather Christmas Carol:

Wxman57: “Bah, humbug!”

Texas Winter Weather Lovers: “I am sorry, with all my heart, to find you so resolute... But I have made the trial in homage to Winter, and I'll keep my snow and cold weather loving humour to the last. So A Merry Christmas, Wxman57!"


Wxman57: “Bah, humbug, and good afternoon!”

( :lol: I hope the Ghosts of Christmas Weather Past, Present, and Future all pay you a visit this week, kind sir, and help your heat miserly heart turn around as completely as old Ebeneezer Scrooge’s did! :wink:)
I hope the heat miser is proved wrong next week!!!


I really do like snow - it's the only good use for cold air. Those who have followed my posts here for years know that when I really see a chance of snow, I identify the possibility and hope it comes true. However, the pattern across the U.S. over the next 2-3 weeks doesn't look good for snow south of the TX panhandle. Cold shots too brief with significant warm-ups between the cold. Air drying quickly with each frontal passage. Would need the upper lows to track farther south.


yeah a low in Kansas does us no good actually that would be closer to severe weather than winter weather
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#304 Postby wxman57 » Wed Dec 23, 2020 10:36 pm

Cerlin wrote:Haven’t seen any evidence of flurries anywhere but I’ll keep a lookout!


Freezing level is about 2000-3000 ft up but the air aloft is dry as a bone.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#305 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Wed Dec 23, 2020 10:53 pm

Radar shows snow in extreme north west Texas.
Unless you live in Middle water Texas, there isn´t any snow.
Edit, some snow is near north central Texas as well. Not widespread but localized flurries possible. Snow band about 50 miles East of Lubbock Texas. :D
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#306 Postby Texas Snow » Wed Dec 23, 2020 11:27 pm

InfernoFlameCat wrote:Radar shows snow in extreme north west Texas.
Unless you live in Middle water Texas, there isn´t any snow.
Edit, some snow is near north central Texas as well. Not widespread but localized flurries possible. Snow band about 50 miles East of Lubbock Texas. :D


The dew point depression is so great at my house there is no way they could make it down without sublimating. Couple that with the fact I won’t be up that late means I’ll just wait for the next possible flizzard. :cry:
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#307 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Thu Dec 24, 2020 9:34 am

It’s always great when the temp bust if for colder rather than the usual warmer. Forecast was for 27 last night, got down to 18.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#308 Postby Cpv17 » Thu Dec 24, 2020 11:26 am

Yukon Cornelius wrote:It’s always great when the temp bust if for colder rather than the usual warmer. Forecast was for 27 last night, got down to 18.


That’s a bit much, dontcha think? 9 degree bust? Never heard of that one.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#309 Postby bubba hotep » Thu Dec 24, 2020 11:29 am

00z Euro & EPS bring a lot of rain to a good portion of Texas over the next two weeks.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#310 Postby bubba hotep » Thu Dec 24, 2020 11:50 am

Cpv17 wrote:
Yukon Cornelius wrote:It’s always great when the temp bust if for colder rather than the usual warmer. Forecast was for 27 last night, got down to 18.


That’s a bit much, dontcha think? 9 degree bust? Never heard of that one.


We had a pretty big temp bust low up this way a week or so ago, don't remember the exact date. If I had to guess for what Yukon experienced, winds died down sooner than expected and temps plummeted with very dry air in place.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#311 Postby bubba hotep » Thu Dec 24, 2020 12:15 pm

If it makes anyone feel better, our potential winter storm next week has trended towards a major cutter on the GFS and is now bringing rain to Chicago and eventually the NE lol
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#312 Postby Texas Snow » Thu Dec 24, 2020 1:04 pm

Cpv17 wrote:
Yukon Cornelius wrote:It’s always great when the temp bust if for colder rather than the usual warmer. Forecast was for 27 last night, got down to 18.


That’s a bit much, dontcha think? 9 degree bust? Never heard of that one.


Based on his many reported busts over the years I think Yukon is in a colder outlier and should probably subtract temp from the official forecast. Or try a new thermometer :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#313 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Thu Dec 24, 2020 1:49 pm

Texas Snow wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:
Yukon Cornelius wrote:It’s always great when the temp bust if for colder rather than the usual warmer. Forecast was for 27 last night, got down to 18.


That’s a bit much, dontcha think? 9 degree bust? Never heard of that one.


Based on his many reported busts over the years I think Yukon is in a colder outlier and should probably subtract temp from the official forecast. Or try a new thermometer :lol:

I run two calibrated thermometers, one on my ambient weather station and another wet/dry bulb setup. I live in the middle of nowhere with zero concrete. My temps usually run 5-8 degrees colder than Wichita Falls, which is the nearest town, which is about 20 min away.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#314 Postby DonWrk » Thu Dec 24, 2020 5:02 pm

Since I don't live far from the OK border near the Red River, I always look at at the Oklahoma mesonet maps. Sure wish Texas had some pretty maps like they do. Forecast here was for a low of 26 and I believe my weather station got down to 25.

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#315 Postby Ntxw » Fri Dec 25, 2020 12:13 pm

Merry Christmas my fellow friends! We may not have any snow or significant cold this year on this cherished holiday but I'm sure it has taken a new meaning given our current environment to be happy and humble. Stay safe and stay happy!

Perhaps 2021 will be a new day and give us new possibilities of snow and cold!
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#316 Postby weatherdude1108 » Fri Dec 25, 2020 12:43 pm

MERRY CHRISTMAS ALL!
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#317 Postby gpsnowman » Fri Dec 25, 2020 12:54 pm

Merry Christmas to all Storm2kers. Snow and cold would be nice but no complaints with the weather today. A beautiful day in store for all of us!!! Enjoy!!
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#318 Postby bubba hotep » Fri Dec 25, 2020 1:00 pm

Merry Christmas! So far, no Christmas miracles on the 12z models lol
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#319 Postby Cerlin » Fri Dec 25, 2020 2:52 pm

Merry Christmas to all! A somewhat rare Christmas freeze this morning was super exciting!
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#320 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Fri Dec 25, 2020 3:32 pm

Merry Christmas fellas!! I appreciate you guys more than you know! Have a great day!
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