Texas Winter 2020-2021

Winter Weather Discussion

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orangeblood
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#241 Postby orangeblood » Sat Dec 19, 2020 11:50 am

That is one nice looking Greenland Block showing up on the models....time for the southern US to get in on the action

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#242 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Sat Dec 19, 2020 12:49 pm

Yessir.
As long as that sits there and the pacific storm train continues snow will be much more present, very atypical of a usual La Nina :ggreen:
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#243 Postby CaptinCrunch » Sat Dec 19, 2020 5:35 pm

And the models had this weekend with drizzle and mid 50's. It was close to 60 today and Sunday has a high of 63 for DFW. Even the Christmas Day now shows a high in the lower 60's compared to a few days ago when it showed mid to low 50's.

This coming week looks pretty quiet with that brief shot of cooler weather Christmas Eve then a gradual warming trend through the weekend. :cry:
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#244 Postby starsfan65 » Sat Dec 19, 2020 6:31 pm

CaptinCrunch wrote:And the models had this weekend with drizzle and mid 50's. It was close to 60 today and Sunday has a high of 63 for DFW. Even the Christmas Day now shows a high in the lower 60's compared to a few days ago when it showed mid to low 50's.

This coming week looks pretty quiet with that brief shot of cooler weather Christmas Eve then a gradual warming trend through the weekend. :cry:
are you serious?
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#245 Postby Brent » Sat Dec 19, 2020 7:40 pm

starsfan65 wrote:
CaptinCrunch wrote:And the models had this weekend with drizzle and mid 50's. It was close to 60 today and Sunday has a high of 63 for DFW. Even the Christmas Day now shows a high in the lower 60's compared to a few days ago when it showed mid to low 50's.

This coming week looks pretty quiet with that brief shot of cooler weather Christmas Eve then a gradual warming trend through the weekend. :cry:
are you serious?


Yeah trends are not good for us the fun is gonna be east of us again I'm afraid
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#246 Postby starsfan65 » Sat Dec 19, 2020 7:52 pm

Brent wrote:
starsfan65 wrote:
CaptinCrunch wrote:And the models had this weekend with drizzle and mid 50's. It was close to 60 today and Sunday has a high of 63 for DFW. Even the Christmas Day now shows a high in the lower 60's compared to a few days ago when it showed mid to low 50's.

This coming week looks pretty quiet with that brief shot of cooler weather Christmas Eve then a gradual warming trend through the weekend. :cry:
are you serious?


Yeah trends are not good for us the fun is gonna be east of us again I'm afraid

GFS is playing games with us.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#247 Postby Brent » Sat Dec 19, 2020 10:03 pm

starsfan65 wrote:
Brent wrote:
starsfan65 wrote:are you serious?


Yeah trends are not good for us the fun is gonna be east of us again I'm afraid

GFS is playing games with us.


Wouldn't be the first time remember all the snow the GFS has had lol
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#248 Postby TropicalTundra » Sun Dec 20, 2020 2:33 am

Image

Sometimes I can’t understand the GFS
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#249 Postby CaptinCrunch » Sun Dec 20, 2020 9:23 am

NWS FTW

]The primary impact of Wednesday`s front appears to be strong gusty
winds both ahead and behind the front, so it would be prudent for
those with outdoor events Wednesday to plan for this.
Expect
falling temperatures behind the front with clearing skies through
the overnight hours. A trailing shortwave should move through late
Wednesday into Thursday, reinforcing the cold and (very) dry air
brought in by Wednesday`s cold front. Continued cold advection
will support gusty north winds Thursday...meaning Christmas Eve
should feel pretty chilly with highs in the 40s and wind chills
in the 30s.
A high center should then settle into East Texas
Thursday night and finally relax the gusty winds. Clear skies,
very dry air, and light winds will promote strong radiational
cooling and allow for sub freezing temperatures across the region
on Christmas morning.
Slightly warmer air filters into the area
from the west on Christmas Day, allowing highs to top out in the
upper 50s to low 60s. :cry:

Texas` next weather producer is currently over the Central Pacific
as a cut off low and is projected to slowly meander east this
upcoming week. The GFS deterministic/ensemble guidance keeps the
trough farther north which would provide a better chance of rain
over North Central Texas. The ECMWF deterministic/ensemble
guidance keeps it over the Rio Grande Valley which would provide
little to no chance of rain for us. As this trough eventually gets
absorbed into an active southern branch of the jet early this
week, we will get much a better idea of the track and timing of
this system by the time it reaches our are next weekend.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#250 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Sun Dec 20, 2020 10:48 am

Well this bodes well for me but unfortunate for you.
If the storm holds on longer though you could get some flurries from its leftovers before it restrengthens to the East.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#251 Postby bubba hotep » Sun Dec 20, 2020 2:37 pm

This is an intriguing setup. Does the West Coast ridge amplify up into Canada dumping air down the Front Range as that SW low gets cranking? It would be awesome if the 240hr panel tomorrow had that low digging and the ridge amping but it probably won't even have this system.

Image
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#252 Postby Cerlin » Sun Dec 20, 2020 2:48 pm

I’m having to be in Ohio from the 30th to the 3rd...so I’m going to selfishly hope the pattern waits until January 4th :lol:

That being said, the setup looks really nice from January onward where it looks like multiple shots of cold air are possible with ample moisture. Of course that is very much subject to change.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#253 Postby Brent » Sun Dec 20, 2020 11:08 pm

Cerlin wrote:I’m having to be in Ohio from the 30th to the 3rd...so I’m going to selfishly hope the pattern waits until January 4th :lol:


Given our track record I really don't think you have anything to worry about :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#254 Postby bubba hotep » Mon Dec 21, 2020 11:39 am

Bastardi is mentioning that the upcoming pattern reminds him of Feb 2010.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#255 Postby gpsnowman » Mon Dec 21, 2020 11:49 am

bubba hotep wrote:Bastardi is mentioning that the upcoming pattern reminds him of Feb 2010.

That would be nice. He was with Accuweather then and if I recall he correctly called that storm from DFW to Atlanta. An I20 special so to speak.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#256 Postby Brent » Mon Dec 21, 2020 1:05 pm

gpsnowman wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:Bastardi is mentioning that the upcoming pattern reminds him of Feb 2010.

That would be nice. He was with Accuweather then and if I recall he correctly called that storm from DFW to Atlanta. An I20 special so to speak.


It's the CMC but :lol: :spam:

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#257 Postby Ralph's Weather » Mon Dec 21, 2020 1:17 pm

Brent wrote:
gpsnowman wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:Bastardi is mentioning that the upcoming pattern reminds him of Feb 2010.

That would be nice. He was with Accuweather then and if I recall he correctly called that storm from DFW to Atlanta. An I20 special so to speak.


It's the CMC but :lol: :spam:

Almost 30" for Denton haha. I'd take a foot in Lindale been almost 11 years since we got a foot in Feb 2010.
Maybe a repeat of New Year's 2000 is in the works.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#258 Postby gpsnowman » Mon Dec 21, 2020 1:34 pm

Brent wrote:
gpsnowman wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:Bastardi is mentioning that the upcoming pattern reminds him of Feb 2010.

That would be nice. He was with Accuweather then and if I recall he correctly called that storm from DFW to Atlanta. An I20 special so to speak.


It's the CMC but :lol: :spam:

https://i.ibb.co/TTfywdp/gem-all-tx-total-snow-10to1-9416000.png

My goodness. Like George Costanza once said, "I think it moved."
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#259 Postby Cpv17 » Mon Dec 21, 2020 1:36 pm

Ralph's Weather wrote:
Brent wrote:
gpsnowman wrote:That would be nice. He was with Accuweather then and if I recall he correctly called that storm from DFW to Atlanta. An I20 special so to speak.


It's the CMC but :lol: :spam:

Almost 30" for Denton haha. I'd take a foot in Lindale been almost 11 years since we got a foot in Feb 2010.
Maybe a repeat of New Year's 2000 is in the works.


You’re from Lindale? Cool! Didn’t know that. Heck of a football team they had this year.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#260 Postby TropicalTundra » Mon Dec 21, 2020 1:57 pm

Jesus... :eek:

Image

Image
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