
ATL: IOTA - Remnants - Discussion
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
Really improving on IR right now. Hopefully recon will be there long enough to capture the peak
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- wxman57
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
Weather Dude wrote:I'm interested to see what the winds in the NW quad will be. They were the strongest earlier and the other quads have gotten a bit stronger since the previous mission. It could be a case of the winds catching up before the pressure falls again as satellite presentation continues to look better
Plane flew through NW quadrant first, found 115kts SFMR there. 132kts SE quadrant. NE quadrant should have strongest winds - that's next.
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- skyline385
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
TorSkk wrote:Really improving on IR right now. Hopefully recon will be there long enough to capture the peak
I believe it may peak at or just before landfall. Next mission should capture the peak. This one probably not.
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- wxman57
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
skyline385 wrote:The eye looks bigger and clearer than before?
Eye isn't larger. Plane reports circular 12nm across. Top of eye is always wider. Was partly obscured earlier.
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
This thing is still getting better by the frame!


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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
I am blown away by the rare combination of the date, sat presentation and location.
Last edited by sponger on Mon Nov 16, 2020 1:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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- ColdMiser123
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
The winds are maximized in the quadrant where the directional motion of the storm adds onto the wind generated by the storm itself, it looks to me like Iota took a wobble more north of due west, so the strongest winds might be shifting closer toward the NE quadrant, where they typically are for storms moving with both a westerly and northerly component.
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
ColdMiser123 wrote:The winds are maximized in the quadrant where the directional motion of the storm adds onto the wind generated by the storm itself, it looks to me like Iota took a wobble more north of due west, so the strongest winds might be shifting closer toward the NE quadrant, where they typically are for storms moving with both a westerly and northerly component.
Yeah I see that Iota took a bump to the WNW. That's closer to a populated area too I believe...
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
Easily the best it's looked its entire life: a circular <-75C CDO with a very clear, well-defined 15-20C eye. I'm surprised recon hasn't recorded any further strengthening so far.


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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
aspen wrote:Easily the best it's looked its entire life: a circular <-75C CDO with a very clear, well-defined 15-20C eye. I'm surprised recon hasn't recorded any further strengthening so far.
https://i.imgur.com/BEHRgJB.png
Maybe the next pass will show it
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
Extreme close up of the eye of Iota
Eye temperture is at +22C

Eye temperture is at +22C

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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
917.2 holding steady
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Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
September: It's peak season and they said this year was gonna be super favorable. Where are all the high-end hurricanes?
November: I got you.
November: I got you.
Last edited by SconnieCane on Mon Nov 16, 2020 1:46 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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- skyline385
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ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
Looks like winds have slightly dropped down? Not gonna matter much with the storm surge that's gonna follow...
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- wxman57
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
skyline385 wrote:Looks like winds have slightly dropped down? Not gonna matter much with the storm surge that's gonna follow...
Can't really confirm that. Pressure is the same. Keep in mind that the max winds likely cover only a very small area in one quadrant - they're not all around the center. It's easy to miss the pocket of max wind.
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
It has been interesting how the SW eyewall has been stronger than the NE eyewall.
Still no sign of a secondary outer eyewall forming, unfortunately.
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URNT15 KNHC 161839
AF304 0731A IOTA HDOB 32 20201116
183030 1342N 08212W 6970 02794 9648 +108 -027 131103 104 082 004 00
183100 1341N 08213W 6968 02762 9599 +117 -028 131110 113 085 003 00
183130 1340N 08214W 6968 02720 9529 +142 -026 133118 121 094 000 00
183200 1339N 08215W 6964 02674 9472 +145 -021 131123 125 098 000 00
183230 1338N 08216W 6968 02597 9387 +156 -014 132124 127 102 001 00
183300 1337N 08217W 6952 02543 9323 +142 -004 131104 123 102 005 00
183330 1336N 08218W 6970 02464 9243 +165 +003 137063 089 093 004 00
183400 1334N 08219W 6963 02452 9198 +191 +011 138035 048 049 001 00
183430 1333N 08220W 6966 02434 9174 +202 +022 142020 033 031 001 00
183500 1332N 08222W 6970 02420 9172 +194 +034 187006 016 023 000 00
183530 1331N 08223W 6970 02421 9178 +185 +047 304015 021 028 000 03
183600 1329N 08225W 6965 02437 9198 +174 +055 302042 055 046 002 00
183630 1328N 08226W 6963 02473 9255 +152 +061 302082 093 116 022 00
183700 1326N 08226W 6960 02552 9373 +106 +061 294124 129 128 046 00
183730 1325N 08227W 6982 02602 9468 +096 +047 295119 127 120 039 00
183800 1324N 08228W 6956 02690 9522 +099 +029 301112 115 106 026 00
183830 1323N 08229W 6957 02729 9560 +100 +016 302110 112 104 004 00
183900 1322N 08230W 6961 02760 9606 +101 +002 307104 107 100 006 00
183930 1321N 08231W 6969 02786 9654 +093 -007 310099 102 093 010 00
184000 1320N 08232W 6971 02820 9701 +082 -014 307104 106 088 026 00
$$
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Still no sign of a secondary outer eyewall forming, unfortunately.
613
URNT15 KNHC 161839
AF304 0731A IOTA HDOB 32 20201116
183030 1342N 08212W 6970 02794 9648 +108 -027 131103 104 082 004 00
183100 1341N 08213W 6968 02762 9599 +117 -028 131110 113 085 003 00
183130 1340N 08214W 6968 02720 9529 +142 -026 133118 121 094 000 00
183200 1339N 08215W 6964 02674 9472 +145 -021 131123 125 098 000 00
183230 1338N 08216W 6968 02597 9387 +156 -014 132124 127 102 001 00
183300 1337N 08217W 6952 02543 9323 +142 -004 131104 123 102 005 00
183330 1336N 08218W 6970 02464 9243 +165 +003 137063 089 093 004 00
183400 1334N 08219W 6963 02452 9198 +191 +011 138035 048 049 001 00
183430 1333N 08220W 6966 02434 9174 +202 +022 142020 033 031 001 00
183500 1332N 08222W 6970 02420 9172 +194 +034 187006 016 023 000 00
183530 1331N 08223W 6970 02421 9178 +185 +047 304015 021 028 000 03
183600 1329N 08225W 6965 02437 9198 +174 +055 302042 055 046 002 00
183630 1328N 08226W 6963 02473 9255 +152 +061 302082 093 116 022 00
183700 1326N 08226W 6960 02552 9373 +106 +061 294124 129 128 046 00
183730 1325N 08227W 6982 02602 9468 +096 +047 295119 127 120 039 00
183800 1324N 08228W 6956 02690 9522 +099 +029 301112 115 106 026 00
183830 1323N 08229W 6957 02729 9560 +100 +016 302110 112 104 004 00
183900 1322N 08230W 6961 02760 9606 +101 +002 307104 107 100 006 00
183930 1321N 08231W 6969 02786 9654 +093 -007 310099 102 093 010 00
184000 1320N 08232W 6971 02820 9701 +082 -014 307104 106 088 026 00
$$
;
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion
Yeah I didn’t expect to see 140 knots that pass so not surprised. The RFQ is still the NW so that should be stronger than the NE side. I was surprised by the SE eyewall being the strongest so far.
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