ATL: IOTA - Remnants - Discussion

[shiny-pebble]

It does look like it *may* have gone through an eyewall meld, the eye was wobbling and rotating around, but now a slightly larger eye is clearing out and tops are cooling again

[ElectricStorm]

Well this was a weak pass

It had 2 passes of 140kt+ SFMR before that so one pass doesn’t mean much

Yeah. I think upgrading to Cat 5 is the right call. Even if it only lasts for a single advisory, to me it definitely has enough evidence for 140kts

[wx98]

Looks like at the current rate of motion we have about 8 or 9 hours until landfall.

[FireRat]

Man it really is hard to believe we're talking about a Cat 5 hurricane during the 2nd half of November!!

I'm confident that this really is a 5, a sub 920 mb pressure should be Cat 5... Andrew was 922 mb for comparison. A 917 is likely Cat 5... hopefully they do make the call, because I'm really getting worried that 2020 will try even harder for that C5 with Kappa at this rate next week

Give 2020 the bone already!!

[Iceresistance]

Still at 920 MB



Is that an error on the N eyewall drop?

[aspen]

Still at 920 MB

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/recon_AF303-0631A-IOTA_dropsonde12_20201116-1412.png

Is that an error on the N eyewall drop?

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/recon_AF303-0631A-IOTA_dropsonde13_20201116-1414.png

Look at those 155 kt winds just a little bit above the surface. It’s possible they could start mixing down if/when the eye fully clears out.

[Owasso]

...IOTA BECOMES A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE...
...FORECAST TO BRING CATASTROPHIC WINDS, LIFE-THREATENING STORM
SURGE, AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL TO CENTRAL AMERICA...

SUMMARY OF 1000 AM EST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.5N 82.0W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM W OF ISLA DE PROVIDENCIA COLOMBIA
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM ESE OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH...260 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...917 MB...27.08 INCHES

[ClarCari]

Aight Season’s over now. 2020 got it’s Cat. 5.

I’m going to bed now!

[FireRat]

The fact that this could be "Hurricane Iota" is something I never would have imagined. We'll see if the "I curse" also applies to Greek letters.

sometimes you just gotta really wonder if there's something more to these coincidences! The I-curse continues... with the storm whose name, if I'm not mistaken, literally means the letter 'I'.

[Owasso]

Forecast to peak at 145kt.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 16/1500Z 13.5N 82.0W 140 KT 160 MPH
12H 17/0000Z 13.7N 83.2W 145 KT 165 MPH
24H 17/1200Z 14.0N 84.8W 75 KT 85 MPH...INLAND
36H 18/0000Z 14.1N 86.5W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
48H 18/1200Z 13.9N 88.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
60H 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED

[kevin]

There it is, it tried multiple times but it looks like 2020 simply would not quit until it got its cat 5. And maybe this isn't even its peak, let's see what the next recon finds in 3 - 4 hours. If it were up to me I'd be all for a rapid collapse of Iota before landfall, but I'm afraid that Iota might just keep going. This is gonna cause so much destruction in CA.

[FireRat]

Ok 2020, you did it!!.... now please weaken Iota for Central America's sake, and abort any future plans with Kappa.

Man, I'm in awe, what a hell of a November we're having!! This is truly historic folks.

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Let's try not to come off as too celebratory here. We're all excited that 2020 produced a Category 5, but a lot of people are in serious danger from this storm right now.

[supercane4867]

Aight Season’s over now. 2020 got it’s Cat. 5.

I’m going to bed now!

Well, except she's not done yet

[LarryWx]

https://i.imgur.com/2qoUsVm.gif

absence of radar data from San Andres is a bummer

Would you or anyone else mind providing a link to this and/or other radars in Nicaragua, Honduras, or Guatemala? Thank you in advance.

[EquusStorm]

Unreal. Didn't think I'd live to see the day when that happened again but here we are. Absolutely ridiculous season.

[Ryxn]

Aight Season’s over now. 2020 got it’s Cat. 5.

I’m going to bed now!

Same, I stayed up all night and almost all morning for this. At least it was not anticlimactic

[Iceresistance]

https://i.imgur.com/2qoUsVm.gif

absence of radar data from San Andres is a bummer

Would you or anyone else mind providing a link to this and/or other radars in Nicaragua, Honduras, or Guatemala? Thank you in advance.

But most of the radars there are gone

[kevin]

I mean just look at this timeline, it's just surreal. 4 out of the last 6 storms were major hurricanes.

[KWT]

I mean just look at this timeline, it's just surreal. 4 out of the last 6 storms were major hurricanes.

https://i.imgur.com/uO6CpkK.png

As Phil K said, this season bruteforced its way to hyperactive status.

It feels like with Laura, Delta, Eta and now Iota that it also brute forced its way to a cat-5 through sheer numbers.

Definately looks more like a WPAC season, especially with the late season flurry of hurricanes which you often see in the WPAC.