ATL: IOTA - Remnants - Discussion

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ElectricStorm
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#981 Postby ElectricStorm » Mon Nov 16, 2020 6:51 am

Ryxn wrote:
Weather Dude wrote:...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS ALMOST IN THE CORE OF IOTA...
...IOTA EXPECTED TO BRING CATASTROPHIC WINDS, LIFE-THREATENING
STORM SURGE, AND EXTREME RAINFALL IMPACTS TO CENTRAL AMERICA...


SUMMARY OF 700 AM EST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.5N 81.6W
ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM NW OF ISLA DE PROVIDENCIA COLOMBIA
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM SE OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...245 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...925 MB...27.32 INCHES


Meet Iota, the STRONGEST storm of the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season in terms of wind speed....already.

Likely already the strongest in all categories.

I'd say with an update like that without recon, the NHC likely fully expects a Cat 5...
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#982 Postby supercane4867 » Mon Nov 16, 2020 6:51 am

135kt in intermediate advisory shows that NHC is very certain recon will find a CAT5
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#983 Postby somethingfunny » Mon Nov 16, 2020 6:52 am

NHC just assessed Iota as close to Cat5 as they could go while waiting for recon to confirm anything stronger.
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#984 Postby underthwx » Mon Nov 16, 2020 6:52 am


Iota is the most perfect looking hurricane I have ever seen....I feel bad saying that, because of what the storm has in store for CA....I mean the people of CA no disrespect by saying how perfect Iota looks, I'm sure they will disagree, and my heart and my mind are with them...with Iota fixin to arrive...I hope they are all safe....
Last edited by underthwx on Mon Nov 16, 2020 6:55 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#985 Postby Owasso » Mon Nov 16, 2020 6:53 am

Image

Here we go then.. Possibly the most important recon pass of the year
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#986 Postby NotoSans » Mon Nov 16, 2020 6:54 am

Most anticipated recon since the anticlimactic one into Eta just two weeks ago.
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#987 Postby aspen » Mon Nov 16, 2020 6:54 am

Odds are the intensification rate has slowed somewhat, because 10.8 mb/hr from the last pass until now would put Iota at 865-870 mbar. That’s not happening. However, even if it dropped by half, we would be dealing with a system comparable in intensity to Maria, Mitch, and Katrina....on NOVEMBER 16th. What the absolute hell, 2020?!
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#988 Postby GCANE » Mon Nov 16, 2020 6:56 am

Very pronounced stadium eye on vis.
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#989 Postby supercane4867 » Mon Nov 16, 2020 6:57 am

I'm going with 155kt/910mb on the first pass
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#990 Postby Chemmers » Mon Nov 16, 2020 6:59 am

I am going with 150 knot and 905mb
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#991 Postby supercane4867 » Mon Nov 16, 2020 7:00 am

The monster is awakening

Image
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#992 Postby Owasso » Mon Nov 16, 2020 7:02 am

I'll go a bit conservative and go with 916mb/140kt.
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#993 Postby aspen » Mon Nov 16, 2020 7:03 am

I’m going with a possibly conservative 140 kt/905 mbar.
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#994 Postby underthwx » Mon Nov 16, 2020 7:04 am

supercane4867 wrote:The monster is awakening

https://i.imgur.com/WNbVDN3.png

Unbelievable...
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#995 Postby NDG » Mon Nov 16, 2020 7:04 am

There has not been any communications with the island of Providencia since 2 AM, this was their plead to their residents to shelter right after Iota was upgraded to Cat 4.

 https://twitter.com/thearchipielago/status/1328242887159656448


Last edited by NDG on Mon Nov 16, 2020 7:05 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#996 Postby shiny-pebble » Mon Nov 16, 2020 7:05 am

Holy **** what did I just wake up to I was expecting to wake up to a low end cat 4...
Pardon my French...
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#997 Postby Chris90 » Mon Nov 16, 2020 7:05 am

I said a couple hours ago I expected 908mb/150-155kts for the first pass. I'm going all in on 155kts now. I do think there's a chance it's already sub-900 though.
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#998 Postby supercane4867 » Mon Nov 16, 2020 7:05 am

shiny-pebble wrote:Holy **** what did I just wake up to I was expecting to wake up to a low end cat 4...
Pardon my French...

It's officially a high-end CAT4. No where near low end
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#999 Postby supercane4867 » Mon Nov 16, 2020 7:06 am

Eye temp warming significantly

Image
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1000 Postby Ryxn » Mon Nov 16, 2020 7:07 am

912 millibars
145 knots
And all of my 7 hours of sleep.

....thanks Iota.
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