ATL: IOTA - Remnants - Discussion

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Nancy Smar
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#861 Postby Nancy Smar » Mon Nov 16, 2020 1:49 am

URNT12 KNHC 160645
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL312020
A. 16/06:15:30Z
B. 13.45 deg N 080.75 deg W
C. 700 mb 2526 m
D. 936 mb
E. 200 deg 11 kt
F. CLOSED
G. C16
H. 111 kt
I. 100 deg 6 nm 06:13:30Z
J. 210 deg 121 kt
K. 107 deg 8 nm 06:13:00Z
L. 121 kt
M. 307 deg 8 nm 06:18:30Z
N. 033 deg 134 kt
O. 307 deg 8 nm 06:18:30Z
P. 8 C / 3046 m
Q. 21 C / 3051 m
R. 5 C / NA
S. 12345 / 07
T. 0.02 / 1.5 nm
U. AF304 0531A IOTA OB 14
MAX FL WIND 134 KT 307 / 8 NM 06:18:30Z
RAGGED EYEWALL W/INTENSE LTG ALL QUADS
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#862 Postby Cunxi Huang » Mon Nov 16, 2020 1:51 am

2 pixels of WMG. :eek:

Image
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#863 Postby ElectricStorm » Mon Nov 16, 2020 1:52 am

No freaking way... 903mb/137kts on dropsonde?
Has to be wrong right? At least in terms of pressure
Last edited by ElectricStorm on Mon Nov 16, 2020 1:54 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#864 Postby Owasso » Mon Nov 16, 2020 1:54 am

Weather Dude wrote:No freaking way... 903mb/137kts on dropsonde?
Has to be wrong right?


It looks like it failed before it hit the surface, it only goes down to 903mb.
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#865 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Nov 16, 2020 1:54 am

Weather Dude wrote:No freaking way... 903mb/137kts on dropsonde?
Has to be wrong right?


I agree that dropsonde probably had major errors.
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#866 Postby Cunxi Huang » Mon Nov 16, 2020 1:55 am

Weather Dude wrote:No freaking way... 903mb/137kts on dropsonde?
Has to be wrong right?

It's clearly wrong, it didn't reach the actual sea level.
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#867 Postby Extratropical94 » Mon Nov 16, 2020 1:55 am

Weather Dude wrote:No freaking way... 903mb/137kts on dropsonde?
Has to be wrong right?


137kt at the 903 mb level looks correct. However, that's roughly 1000 feet above ground. Unfortunately the surface data is missing for this drop
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#868 Postby Owasso » Mon Nov 16, 2020 1:55 am

Image
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#869 Postby NotoSans » Mon Nov 16, 2020 1:58 am

If the eye fully clears out Iota will be a category 5, and given the current trends it has a legit chance of doing so.
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#870 Postby Owasso » Mon Nov 16, 2020 1:58 am

 https://twitter.com/MikeAdcockWx/status/1328229271794544640


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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#871 Postby psyclone » Mon Nov 16, 2020 1:59 am

Another late season monster. Whatever quality deficit the season was showing earlier has most definitely been canceled. The southwest Caribbean is the typical last cocoon of deep favorability late in the season...but it frequently skates by untapped. Not this year.
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#872 Postby Cunxi Huang » Mon Nov 16, 2020 2:01 am

 https://twitter.com/CharlieFurWx/status/1328231318824443904


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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#873 Postby EquusStorm » Mon Nov 16, 2020 2:01 am

I'm just sitting here jaw dropped with nothing left to say about this season, we are in legitimately unrealistic and uncharted territory here that no longer makes any sense and all I can do is stare in absolute bewilderment
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#874 Postby ElectricStorm » Mon Nov 16, 2020 2:03 am

Next recon now on the map. Should be taking off shortly.
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ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#875 Postby Sanibel » Mon Nov 16, 2020 2:05 am

Bombing...Good shot at category 5...
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#876 Postby Ryxn » Mon Nov 16, 2020 2:06 am

Only the fifth year in history that there has been FIVE CAT 4+ Hurricanes after 1933, 1961, 1999, and 2005. Only second time there has been five Category 4 (excluding 5) Hurricanes with the other year being 1999.

Crazy times...

1933: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1933_At ... ane_season

1961: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1961_At ... ane_season

1999: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1999_At ... ane_season

2005: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2005_At ... ne_season#

2020: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_At ... ne_season#
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#877 Postby Yellow Evan » Mon Nov 16, 2020 2:16 am

Constraints aside this is worthy of a DT of T7.0 at this point. Don't think I've ever seen W so thick on an Atlantic storm before (in Dvorak ehanchement).
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#878 Postby kevin » Mon Nov 16, 2020 2:18 am

Okay so I was away for a while and I told to myself 'expect a high end cat 2 or a low end cat 3 when you get back, probably 950 mb'. And now I read the posts and see a 935 mbar cat 4 with a 10+ mbar pressure drop in between passes. Out of everything 2020 has thrown at us this is the most surreal thing yet. If it keeps strenghtening the next 2 recon missions be historic. And unfortunately this means that the disaster in Nicaragua and Honduras might become even more destructive than we thought.
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#879 Postby ClarCari » Mon Nov 16, 2020 2:45 am

Jus so no one starts freaking out, Tropical Tidbits hasn’t updated for almost an hour but the NHC Recon page is still updating the new flight!
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Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#880 Postby Nancy Smar » Mon Nov 16, 2020 2:47 am

Get a little more sleep... hit a bird on takeoff and slightly delayed.
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