ATL: IOTA - Remnants - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
Nancy Smar
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1081
Age: 24
Joined: Wed Aug 16, 2017 10:03 pm

Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#861 Postby Nancy Smar » Mon Nov 16, 2020 1:49 am

URNT12 KNHC 160645
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL312020
A. 16/06:15:30Z
B. 13.45 deg N 080.75 deg W
C. 700 mb 2526 m
D. 936 mb
E. 200 deg 11 kt
F. CLOSED
G. C16
H. 111 kt
I. 100 deg 6 nm 06:13:30Z
J. 210 deg 121 kt
K. 107 deg 8 nm 06:13:00Z
L. 121 kt
M. 307 deg 8 nm 06:18:30Z
N. 033 deg 134 kt
O. 307 deg 8 nm 06:18:30Z
P. 8 C / 3046 m
Q. 21 C / 3051 m
R. 5 C / NA
S. 12345 / 07
T. 0.02 / 1.5 nm
U. AF304 0531A IOTA OB 14
MAX FL WIND 134 KT 307 / 8 NM 06:18:30Z
RAGGED EYEWALL W/INTENSE LTG ALL QUADS
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Cunxi Huang
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 329
Age: 27
Joined: Thu Sep 26, 2013 12:17 pm
Location: San Jose, CA
Contact:
Contact Cunxi Huang

Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#862 Postby Cunxi Huang » Mon Nov 16, 2020 1:51 am

2 pixels of WMG. :eek:

Image
2 likes   
06 SuTY SAOMAI | 09 TY LINFA | 10 TY FANAPI | 10 SuTY MEGI | 16 SuTY MERANTI | 19 SuTY LEKIMA | 24 C2 FRANCINE
DO NOT use my posts for life and death decisions. For official information, please refer to products from your RSMC and national weather agency.
Top
User avatar
ElectricStorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5044
Age: 24
Joined: Tue Aug 13, 2019 11:23 pm
Location: Skiatook, OK / Norman, OK

Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#863 Postby ElectricStorm » Mon Nov 16, 2020 1:52 am

No freaking way... 903mb/137kts on dropsonde?
Has to be wrong right? At least in terms of pressure
Last edited by ElectricStorm on Mon Nov 16, 2020 1:54 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
B.S Meteorology, University of Oklahoma '25

Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
Top
User avatar
Owasso
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 309
Joined: Sat Aug 22, 2020 11:14 pm
Location: Chicago, Illinois

Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#864 Postby Owasso » Mon Nov 16, 2020 1:54 am

Weather Dude wrote:No freaking way... 903mb/137kts on dropsonde?
Has to be wrong right?


It looks like it failed before it hit the surface, it only goes down to 903mb.
0 likes   
Top
CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#865 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Nov 16, 2020 1:54 am

Weather Dude wrote:No freaking way... 903mb/137kts on dropsonde?
Has to be wrong right?


I agree that dropsonde probably had major errors.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Cunxi Huang
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 329
Age: 27
Joined: Thu Sep 26, 2013 12:17 pm
Location: San Jose, CA
Contact:
Contact Cunxi Huang

Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#866 Postby Cunxi Huang » Mon Nov 16, 2020 1:55 am

Weather Dude wrote:No freaking way... 903mb/137kts on dropsonde?
Has to be wrong right?

It's clearly wrong, it didn't reach the actual sea level.
0 likes   
06 SuTY SAOMAI | 09 TY LINFA | 10 TY FANAPI | 10 SuTY MEGI | 16 SuTY MERANTI | 19 SuTY LEKIMA | 24 C2 FRANCINE
DO NOT use my posts for life and death decisions. For official information, please refer to products from your RSMC and national weather agency.
Top
User avatar
Extratropical94
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3538
Age: 30
Joined: Wed Oct 20, 2010 6:36 am
Location: Hamburg, Germany
Contact:
Contact Extratropical94

Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#867 Postby Extratropical94 » Mon Nov 16, 2020 1:55 am

Weather Dude wrote:No freaking way... 903mb/137kts on dropsonde?
Has to be wrong right?


137kt at the 903 mb level looks correct. However, that's roughly 1000 feet above ground. Unfortunately the surface data is missing for this drop
0 likes   
54° 11' 59'' N, 9° 9' 20'' E
Boomer Sooner!
Go Broncos! Go Cards! Go Niners!
- Daniel
Top
User avatar
Owasso
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 309
Joined: Sat Aug 22, 2020 11:14 pm
Location: Chicago, Illinois

Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#868 Postby Owasso » Mon Nov 16, 2020 1:55 am

Image
0 likes   
Top
NotoSans
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1380
Age: 25
Joined: Sun Sep 27, 2015 1:15 am
Location: Toronto
Contact:
Contact NotoSans

Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#869 Postby NotoSans » Mon Nov 16, 2020 1:58 am

If the eye fully clears out Iota will be a category 5, and given the current trends it has a legit chance of doing so.
2 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
Owasso
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 309
Joined: Sat Aug 22, 2020 11:14 pm
Location: Chicago, Illinois

Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#870 Postby Owasso » Mon Nov 16, 2020 1:58 am

 https://twitter.com/MikeAdcockWx/status/1328229271794544640


0 likes   
Top
psyclone
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4762
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:04 pm
Location: palm harbor fl

Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#871 Postby psyclone » Mon Nov 16, 2020 1:59 am

Another late season monster. Whatever quality deficit the season was showing earlier has most definitely been canceled. The southwest Caribbean is the typical last cocoon of deep favorability late in the season...but it frequently skates by untapped. Not this year.
5 likes   
Top
User avatar
Cunxi Huang
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 329
Age: 27
Joined: Thu Sep 26, 2013 12:17 pm
Location: San Jose, CA
Contact:
Contact Cunxi Huang

Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#872 Postby Cunxi Huang » Mon Nov 16, 2020 2:01 am

 https://twitter.com/CharlieFurWx/status/1328231318824443904


2 likes   
06 SuTY SAOMAI | 09 TY LINFA | 10 TY FANAPI | 10 SuTY MEGI | 16 SuTY MERANTI | 19 SuTY LEKIMA | 24 C2 FRANCINE
DO NOT use my posts for life and death decisions. For official information, please refer to products from your RSMC and national weather agency.
Top
User avatar
EquusStorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1649
Age: 34
Joined: Thu Nov 07, 2013 1:04 pm
Location: Jasper, AL
Contact:
Contact EquusStorm

Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#873 Postby EquusStorm » Mon Nov 16, 2020 2:01 am

I'm just sitting here jaw dropped with nothing left to say about this season, we are in legitimately unrealistic and uncharted territory here that no longer makes any sense and all I can do is stare in absolute bewilderment
8 likes   
Colors of lost purpose on the canvas of irrelevance

Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
Top
User avatar
ElectricStorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5044
Age: 24
Joined: Tue Aug 13, 2019 11:23 pm
Location: Skiatook, OK / Norman, OK

Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#874 Postby ElectricStorm » Mon Nov 16, 2020 2:03 am

Next recon now on the map. Should be taking off shortly.
0 likes   
B.S Meteorology, University of Oklahoma '25

Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
Top
Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10375
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#875 Postby Sanibel » Mon Nov 16, 2020 2:05 am

Bombing...Good shot at category 5...
1 likes   
Top
User avatar
Ryxn
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 314
Age: 25
Joined: Fri Sep 08, 2017 4:50 pm
Location: Toronto, Canada

Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#876 Postby Ryxn » Mon Nov 16, 2020 2:06 am

Only the fifth year in history that there has been FIVE CAT 4+ Hurricanes after 1933, 1961, 1999, and 2005. Only second time there has been five Category 4 (excluding 5) Hurricanes with the other year being 1999.

Crazy times...

1933: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1933_At ... ane_season

1961: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1961_At ... ane_season

1999: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1999_At ... ane_season

2005: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2005_At ... ne_season#

2020: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_At ... ne_season#
4 likes   
Top
User avatar
Yellow Evan
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 16143
Age: 27
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2011 12:48 pm
Location: Henderson, Nevada/Honolulu, HI
Contact:
Contact Yellow Evan

Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#877 Postby Yellow Evan » Mon Nov 16, 2020 2:16 am

Constraints aside this is worthy of a DT of T7.0 at this point. Don't think I've ever seen W so thick on an Atlantic storm before (in Dvorak ehanchement).
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
kevin
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2586
Age: 26
Joined: Wed Aug 28, 2019 4:35 am

Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#878 Postby kevin » Mon Nov 16, 2020 2:18 am

Okay so I was away for a while and I told to myself 'expect a high end cat 2 or a low end cat 3 when you get back, probably 950 mb'. And now I read the posts and see a 935 mbar cat 4 with a 10+ mbar pressure drop in between passes. Out of everything 2020 has thrown at us this is the most surreal thing yet. If it keeps strenghtening the next 2 recon missions be historic. And unfortunately this means that the disaster in Nicaragua and Honduras might become even more destructive than we thought.
0 likes   
Top
ClarCari
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 579
Joined: Thu Aug 13, 2020 11:02 am

Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#879 Postby ClarCari » Mon Nov 16, 2020 2:45 am

Jus so no one starts freaking out, Tropical Tidbits hasn’t updated for almost an hour but the NHC Recon page is still updating the new flight!
4 likes   
Top
User avatar
Nancy Smar
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1081
Age: 24
Joined: Wed Aug 16, 2017 10:03 pm

Re: ATL: IOTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#880 Postby Nancy Smar » Mon Nov 16, 2020 2:47 am

Get a little more sleep... hit a bird on takeoff and slightly delayed.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2020”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 9 guests