ATL: ETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4021 Postby underthwx » Tue Nov 10, 2020 5:26 pm

Is ETA moving more NNE, versus N?...
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4022 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Nov 10, 2020 5:27 pm

underthwx wrote:Is ETA moving more NNE, versus N?...



I would say more ENE to NE lol.

if it does not turn..

Key west will get into the CDO and heavier bads in a few hours.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4023 Postby Dean4Storms » Tue Nov 10, 2020 5:30 pm

Seeing gravity waves in the visible, this might be a hurricane already.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4024 Postby Kazmit » Tue Nov 10, 2020 5:30 pm

It feels like this storm has been around eternally.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4025 Postby xironman » Tue Nov 10, 2020 5:31 pm

lol, fun to track recon with just the obs and dropsondes.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4026 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Nov 10, 2020 5:32 pm

xironman wrote:lol, fun to track recon with just the obs and dropsondes.

Do we have Recon right now?
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4027 Postby StPeteMike » Tue Nov 10, 2020 5:33 pm

Dean4Storms wrote:Seeing gravity waves in the visible, this might be a hurricane already.

Couldn’t agree more.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4028 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Nov 10, 2020 5:35 pm

When is ASCAT coming to Eta?
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4029 Postby robbielyn » Tue Nov 10, 2020 5:36 pm

Dean4Storms wrote:Seeing gravity waves in the visible, this might be a hurricane already.

there was one spaghetti model that took it to key west then back to cuba then over to the yucatán through bay of campeche
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4030 Postby xironman » Tue Nov 10, 2020 5:37 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
xironman wrote:lol, fun to track recon with just the obs and dropsondes.

Do we have Recon right now?


Somewhat, using ChrisInTampa's tool

http://tropicalatlantic.com/recon/
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4031 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Nov 10, 2020 5:42 pm

xironman wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:
xironman wrote:lol, fun to track recon with just the obs and dropsondes.

Do we have Recon right now?


Somewhat, using ChrisInTampa's tool

http://tropicalatlantic.com/recon/


What about TropicalTidbits?
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4032 Postby xironman » Tue Nov 10, 2020 5:45 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
xironman wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:Do we have Recon right now?


Somewhat, using ChrisInTampa's tool

http://tropicalatlantic.com/recon/


What about TropicalTidbits?


I think he focuses on the high density obs to start a session. This plane seems only to be communicating RECC obs and dropsondes. Though I would not mind getting an eyewall and center drop.

Image
Last edited by xironman on Tue Nov 10, 2020 5:47 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4033 Postby Cat5James » Tue Nov 10, 2020 5:46 pm

No shot Eta is moving N... and the more intensifies, the more East it goes... the next 24 hours will be very interesting... I honestly can not believe we are still tracking this storm and Florida is looking at another direct strike
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4034 Postby xironman » Tue Nov 10, 2020 5:51 pm

Eyewall drop? 997, not bad.

Surface and Standard Isobaric Surfaces
Level Geo. Height Air Temp. Dew Point Wind Direction Wind Speed
1000mb -26m (-85 ft) This level does not exist in this area of the storm above the surface level.
997mb (29.44 inHg) Surface (Sea Level) 26.0°C (78.8°F) 23.5°C (74°F) 95° (from the E) 42 knots (48 mph)
925mb 657m (2,156 ft) 21.0°C (69.8°F) 20.9°C (70°F) 105° (from the ESE) 51 knots (59 mph)
850mb 1,390m (4,560 ft) 19.6°C (67.3°F) 17.3°C (63°F) 110° (from the ESE) 33 knots (38 mph)
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4035 Postby Camerooski » Tue Nov 10, 2020 5:54 pm

Does anyone know where exactly Eta's center is? Has it relocated under that heavy convective activity nearing 84W or is it near 85W?
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4036 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Nov 10, 2020 5:55 pm

xironman wrote:Eyewall drop? 997, not bad.

Surface and Standard Isobaric Surfaces
Level Geo. Height Air Temp. Dew Point Wind Direction Wind Speed
1000mb -26m (-85 ft) This level does not exist in this area of the storm above the surface level.
997mb (29.44 inHg) Surface (Sea Level) 26.0°C (78.8°F) 23.5°C (74°F) 95° (from the E) 42 knots (48 mph)
925mb 657m (2,156 ft) 21.0°C (69.8°F) 20.9°C (70°F) 105° (from the ESE) 51 knots (59 mph)
850mb 1,390m (4,560 ft) 19.6°C (67.3°F) 17.3°C (63°F) 110° (from the ESE) 33 knots (38 mph)



Not even close to the center.

Image
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4037 Postby underthwx » Tue Nov 10, 2020 5:58 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:
xironman wrote:Eyewall drop? 997, not bad.

Surface and Standard Isobaric Surfaces
Level Geo. Height Air Temp. Dew Point Wind Direction Wind Speed
1000mb -26m (-85 ft) This level does not exist in this area of the storm above the surface level.
997mb (29.44 inHg) Surface (Sea Level) 26.0°C (78.8°F) 23.5°C (74°F) 95° (from the E) 42 knots (48 mph)
925mb 657m (2,156 ft) 21.0°C (69.8°F) 20.9°C (70°F) 105° (from the ESE) 51 knots (59 mph)
850mb 1,390m (4,560 ft) 19.6°C (67.3°F) 17.3°C (63°F) 110° (from the ESE) 33 knots (38 mph)



Not even close to the center.

https://i.ibb.co/g9NZTbQ/Capture.png

So... observations from the center are needed Aric?
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4038 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Nov 10, 2020 5:59 pm

underthwx wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:
xironman wrote:Eyewall drop? 997, not bad.

Surface and Standard Isobaric Surfaces
Level Geo. Height Air Temp. Dew Point Wind Direction Wind Speed
1000mb -26m (-85 ft) This level does not exist in this area of the storm above the surface level.
997mb (29.44 inHg) Surface (Sea Level) 26.0°C (78.8°F) 23.5°C (74°F) 95° (from the E) 42 knots (48 mph)
925mb 657m (2,156 ft) 21.0°C (69.8°F) 20.9°C (70°F) 105° (from the ESE) 51 knots (59 mph)
850mb 1,390m (4,560 ft) 19.6°C (67.3°F) 17.3°C (63°F) 110° (from the ESE) 33 knots (38 mph)



Not even close to the center.

https://i.ibb.co/g9NZTbQ/Capture.png

So... observations from the center are needed Aric?


This is all we have so far.. lol.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4039 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Nov 10, 2020 5:59 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:
xironman wrote:Eyewall drop? 997, not bad.

Surface and Standard Isobaric Surfaces
Level Geo. Height Air Temp. Dew Point Wind Direction Wind Speed
1000mb -26m (-85 ft) This level does not exist in this area of the storm above the surface level.
997mb (29.44 inHg) Surface (Sea Level) 26.0°C (78.8°F) 23.5°C (74°F) 95° (from the E) 42 knots (48 mph)
925mb 657m (2,156 ft) 21.0°C (69.8°F) 20.9°C (70°F) 105° (from the ESE) 51 knots (59 mph)
850mb 1,390m (4,560 ft) 19.6°C (67.3°F) 17.3°C (63°F) 110° (from the ESE) 33 knots (38 mph)



Not even close to the center.

https://i.ibb.co/g9NZTbQ/Capture.png



If there was the sea-level pressure of 997 MB & not even close to the center of Eta . . .
Last edited by Iceresistance on Tue Nov 10, 2020 6:04 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4040 Postby xironman » Tue Nov 10, 2020 6:00 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:
xironman wrote:Eyewall drop? 997, not bad.

Surface and Standard Isobaric Surfaces
Level Geo. Height Air Temp. Dew Point Wind Direction Wind Speed
1000mb -26m (-85 ft) This level does not exist in this area of the storm above the surface level.
997mb (29.44 inHg) Surface (Sea Level) 26.0°C (78.8°F) 23.5°C (74°F) 95° (from the E) 42 knots (48 mph)
925mb 657m (2,156 ft) 21.0°C (69.8°F) 20.9°C (70°F) 105° (from the ESE) 51 knots (59 mph)
850mb 1,390m (4,560 ft) 19.6°C (67.3°F) 17.3°C (63°F) 110° (from the ESE) 33 knots (38 mph)



Not even close to the center.

https://i.ibb.co/g9NZTbQ/Capture.png


Yeah, it is hard to keep up without the high density obs, but better than waiting hours for an ASCAT to miss it.
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