Pressures falling, is GOM system developing?

[Stormcenter]

Check out these bouy readings off the West of Florida. It looks like
something MAY be trying to get organized based on readings.

http://seaboard.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_p ... tion=42013

[Stormcenter]

It's looking better and better on radar.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... ktbw.shtml

[Rainband]

[Steve H.]

Anybody know if JB has tropical prognostications today??

[ameriwx2003]

JB isn't so pumped up about this storm anymore.He said Tropical Storm conditions may happen in the second landfall area tomorrow night from Boothville to Mobile. He was counting on the system going thru the Florida straits and intensyfing over the warm waters and then taking a slower arc of a track with more time to strengthen. Since it crossed Florida instead; JB seems to have lost his love for this system, for now at least :):

[vbhoutex]

There is not enough information available, at least publicly, at this point to determine for sure if we have a developing tropical system. Pressures are definitely falling all over the Eastern GOM and it is not the normal afternoon fall we are seeing. A lot more convection needs to develop for the system to really kick. IMO, we COULD have a TS strength non-tropical low pressure area or possibly a true tropical storm(minimal by definition) when it approaches landfall within the next 36-48 hours with the former the more likely to occur.

[Rainband]

Will will see. All the news reports and TWC show the low moving towards the nw and fading.

[Stormcenter]

Please don't put too much weight on ANYTHING the Weather Channel forecasts.

[Rainband]

Please don't put too much weight on ANYTHING the Weather Channel forecasts.

I DONT. But my loclas are hardly ever wrong

[Stormcenter]

It sure does have an impressive satellite representation on visible. The
cloud pattern seems to be expanding.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[vbhoutex]

As I said above, and as alluded to in the Special Tropical
Weather statement, this disturbance, and that is all it is at this time, has got to generate a LOT MORE CONVECTION AND WRAP IT AROUND ITS' CENTER for it to become anything more than a disturbance. I am not minimizing the impact it could have with possible TS force winds in some squalls, but it certainly doesn't warrant any designation at this time.

[Stormcenter]

Well said vbhoutex. I agree 100% with your comments.

[Rainband]

They are just covering their butts in case anything develops. But The chances are slim.

[stormchazer]

They are just covering their butts in case anything develops. But The chances are slim.

....especially the way the environment is evolving. I think it has been as good as it ever is going to get.

[ColdFront77]

When the chances are slim for tropical development, the National Hurricane Center/Storm Prediction Center will say so in their Tropical Weather Outlook.