ATL: ETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[NDG]

Definitely a TS now, steady winds of 40 mph being reported in Cayman Islands, pressure down to 1000mb

07 Nov 8:37 am 75 75 100 ESE 40 0.62 Hvy Rain FEW014,OVC120 29.52

[shansgonefishin]

Feels like TS conditions here in Grand Cayman. Power line has just come down a mile down the road from home

[NDG]

Recon just found what looks like a circulation WAY outside of the convective mass.

That was when the recon was descending, those west winds were way up at H50, when it descended it reported NE winds.

[NDG]

I think that Eta moving parallel to the deep layer shear it has helped it become better organized this morning, definitely that TS look on satellite.

[Blown Away]

Tropical Tidbits website crash?

[toad strangler]

Tropical Tidbits website crash?

It has for me

[boca]

Tropical Tidbits website crash?

It’s up and running.

[Iceresistance]

AF308 got called off because it was not needed since AF309 is inside Eta!

[Iceresistance]

Definitely a TS now, steady winds of 40 mph being reported in Cayman Islands, pressure down to 1000mb

07 Nov 8:37 am 75 75 100 ESE 40 0.62 Hvy Rain FEW014,OVC120 29.52

NHC has not confirmed this, they are currently depending on Recon

[TheProfessor]

The north side of the storm should have the weaker winds due to the ENE motion, the fact that the Georgetown station is reporting 40 mph sustained winds from the ESE is impressive.

[Iceresistance]

Is recon finding sub-circulations?

[1900hurricane]

 https://twitter.com/1900hurricane/status/1325079543300894721

[NDG]

Is recon finding sub-circulations?

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/recon_AF309-1029A-ETA_zoom.png

Maybe an old vorticity, pressure is much lower over the Cayman Islands than where the recon is.

[NDG]

https://twitter.com/1900hurricane/status/1325079543300894721

That does appears to be the circulation on image just west of the Cayman Islands, winds just switched to the SW there.

[wxman57]

Definitely a TS now, steady winds of 40 mph being reported in Cayman Islands, pressure down to 1000mb

07 Nov 8:37 am 75 75 100 ESE 40 0.62 Hvy Rain FEW014,OVC120 29.52

NHC has not confirmed this, they are currently depending on Recon

There is no need for a confirmation. The international airport on Grand Cayman is reporting TS winds:

MWCR 071337Z 12035KT 1000 +RA FEW014CB OVC120 24/24 Q1000 RMK WIND SP/DIR EST

[Iceresistance]

Definitely a TS now, steady winds of 40 mph being reported in Cayman Islands, pressure down to 1000mb

07 Nov 8:37 am 75 75 100 ESE 40 0.62 Hvy Rain FEW014,OVC120 29.52

NHC has not confirmed this, they are currently depending on Recon

There is no need for a confirmation. The international airport on Grand Cayman is reporting TS winds:

MWCR 071337Z 12035KT 1000 +RA FEW014CB OVC120 24/24 Q1000 RMK WIND SP/DIR EST

Still nothing from the NHC, likely waiting more on Recon than reports right now, I so wished they put an update on Eta right now.

[Cat5James]

They will wait 30 minutes for the upgrade... but its coming

[Weatherboy1]

Is it just me or does this have the look of a rapidly organizing system here? Certainly don’t expect it to get up to hurricane strength. But satellite presentation is markedly better than anything we’ve seen since ETA moved off CA coast

[Dean4Storms]

Recon is reporting a LLC @ 1005mb well west (82.5W) of the one near Cayman but think the one near Grand Cayman is the one taking over under deep convection. We will see.

[Iceresistance]

Recon is finding 33 Knots SE to the supposed LLC in the CDO