ATL: ETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[kevin]

Forget about me saying this might be one of the most anticipated recons of the season a few pages ago. This is one of the most anticipated recons of the century.

[gatorcane]

At this intensity, steering is trending to be near zero.
Seems western velocity vector has almost diminished.
May stall.

https://i.imgur.com/wOeN00k.gif

A deep system like this will head more SW influenced more by the 500MB high over the Gulf, which is exactly what is happening.

[cycloneye]

Look what we have here.

[NotoSans]

Forget about me saying this might be one of the most anticipated recons of the season. This is one of the most anticipated recons of the century.

Patricia'15 would be more anticipated I'd argue.

[supercane4867]

If it stalls, waters in the region should be deep enough to avoid immediate upwelling

[ClarCari]

So recent microwave imagery suggests EWRC is very unlikely to happen before recon arrives as the core is extremely well dense and organized. This is further backed up by lightning around the center and increasing Cold Cloud Tops around the center in the CDO.

In Layman’s terms, recon will find a MONSTER!

[HurricaneEnzo]

941
URNT15 KNHC 021934
AF305 0329A ETA HDOB 01 20201102
192530 3024N 08855W 0262 ///// 0250 +259 -025 000000 000 /// /// 23
192600 3024N 08855W 0264 ///// 0250 +290 -026 000000 000 /// /// 23
192630 3024N 08855W 0264 ///// 0250 +290 -025 000000 000 /// /// 23
192700 3024N 08855W 0264 ///// 0250 +285 -027 000000 000 /// /// 23
192730 3024N 08855W 0264 ///// 0250 +286 -031 000000 000 /// /// 23
192800 3024N 08855W 0264 ///// 0250 +290 -030 000000 000 /// /// 23
192830 3024N 08855W 0264 ///// 0251 +283 -030 000000 000 /// /// 23
192900 3024N 08855W 0264 ///// 0250 +280 -029 000000 000 /// /// 23
192930 3024N 08855W 0264 ///// 0250 +284 -027 000000 000 /// /// 23
193000 3024N 08855W 0264 ///// 0250 +288 -027 000000 000 /// /// 23
193030 3024N 08855W 0264 ///// 0251 +290 -026 000000 000 /// /// 23
193100 3024N 08855W 0264 ///// 0260 +290 -024 000000 000 /// /// 23
193130 3024N 08855W 0264 ///// 0263 +290 -022 000000 000 /// /// 23
193200 3024N 08855W 0263 ///// 0261 +290 -021 000000 000 /// /// 23
193230 3024N 08855W 0263 ///// 0259 +290 -020 000000 000 /// /// 23
193300 3024N 08855W 0264 ///// 0255 +290 -019 000000 000 /// /// 23
193330 3024N 08855W 0264 ///// 0252 +290 -016 000000 000 /// /// 23
193400 3024N 08855W 0264 ///// 0255 +290 -015 000000 000 /// /// 23
193430 3024N 08855W 0264 ///// 0257 +285 -017 000000 000 /// /// 23
193500 3024N 08855W 0264 ///// 0260 +285 -018 000000 000 /// /// 23
$$

Fingers Crossed Everyone!!!

Give her all shes got captain!

[Chemmers]

Think the recon will find sub 930 when the arrival and might even be below 900 when they leave

[crimi481]

If steering currents are weak - what is the mechanism that will steer it north - and when?

[chaser1]

Think the recon will find sub 930 when the arrival and might even be below 900 when they leave

I'll go with a 914mb for lowest measured pressure

[Kingarabian]

Forget about me saying this might be one of the most anticipated recons of the season. This is one of the most anticipated recons of the century.

Patricia'15 would be more anticipated I'd argue.

For sure. Also ADT has this @ 6.2 with SAB @ 6.0. Good opportunity to see how it verifies with real time recon.

[SouthFLTropics]

God be with that recon flight. This will definitely be the biggest test of the year so far for them. Rough ride ahead.

[Chemmers]

Almost a full pink ring now not seem that in years

[TorSkk]

Cloud tops getting colder with a full CDG ring

[ElectricStorm]

Praying that all goes well with recon. It's gonna be a rough ride

[AutoPenalti]

Jesus, that CDG ring is immaculate.

[wx98]

FINALLY a plane is in the air.

[HurricaneEnzo]

FINALLY a plane is in the air.

Now we just pray for their safety and NO communications issues when they reach the storm.

[ElectricStorm]

Cloud tops getting colder with a full CDG ring

Now that is something we haven't seen in the Atlantic in a LONG time

[Iceresistance]

And we have liftoff!