#28 Postby LarryWx » Fri Oct 30, 2020 2:55 am
Folks,
Well, the 0Z EPS shows that we will likely be in for a wild run these next 2 weeks. First, the threat to CA remains very real mainly through day 12 from Invest 96L. But then mainly on days 9-15, the threat to the CONUS is highest and it may be mainly from a second TC. The NE US strong ridging once again causes some unusual movement for early November. First, one member hits SE LA as a H early on 11/9 moving NW to NNW! That one was down to 935 mb in the NW Car and only weakened only to 952 when just offshore. FL becomes the focus for 3 other members. After moving N, one member gets blocked and then turns NW into St. Augustine on 11/9! Another member moves N out of the Caribbean but then gets blocked and turns NW and W into far S FL as a H on 11/10. Then it goes into the far SE Gulf and very slowly recurves back into Ft. Myers as a H on 11/13. A 4th member moves N out of the Car before becoming blocked and turning NNW and going into Vero as a H on 11/11.
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