ATL: ZETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1981 Postby Airboy » Wed Oct 28, 2020 3:57 pm

Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind: 115 kts (132.3 mph)
Flying east side
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1982 Postby NotoSans » Wed Oct 28, 2020 3:57 pm

Center drop was 971mb and last reported winds were 15kt at 968mb, so landfall pressure is likely at 970mb.
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1983 Postby Steve » Wed Oct 28, 2020 3:57 pm

tiger_deF wrote:Zeta is firing one last burst dark pink burst of convection to the North as it makes landfall within the next 10 minutes


HWRF 00z. It stayed into the Northshore and Mississippi. Because this is a daytime landfall, don't be surprised with some dmax burst going into the evevning IMHO.

Edit - just looked at it. HWRF victory on that aspect of the system. Let's see if those pinks don't hold into the evening.
Last edited by Steve on Wed Oct 28, 2020 4:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1984 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Oct 28, 2020 3:57 pm

FL winds of 112 knots! :eek:
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1985 Postby LSU2001 » Wed Oct 28, 2020 3:58 pm

Steve wrote:
LSU2001 wrote:
Steve wrote:
Means the city will probably get some of the center. Wild.


I agree Steve y’all are probably gonna get stronger winds than Katrina on this track. Well eye wall just got here. I estimate wind gust right now is 75-80 wow hit quick!


Yeah, that's kind of what I expected. I just came in to take off my converses because my porch faces east, and that's where it's coming from. Getting it good here, but not to TS yet though a couple gusts into the 30's.


Be patient if what I am getting heads your way y’all are gonna get some strong winds
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1986 Postby ElectricStorm » Wed Oct 28, 2020 3:59 pm

115 kt FL wind... That's the second one of those following the 119 from earlier. Upgrade?
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1987 Postby Ian2401 » Wed Oct 28, 2020 3:59 pm

Iceresistance wrote:FL winds of 112 knots! :eek:

that has gotta support cat 3 no?
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1988 Postby cheezyWXguy » Wed Oct 28, 2020 3:59 pm

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:Well, if this isn't a Category 3, we now know for sure Sally was not.

Not necessarily, after a boost in velocities and FL winds earlier, winds in both departments have come down slightly and the eyewall isn’t nearly as complete. Intensity has likely plateaued and may have dropped slightly up to landfall. Data from the last pass makes me think it could go either way with the landfall intensity, just like with Sally. On the other hand, Sally was still strengthening during landfall. Gonna be exciting to read the PSA reports on both
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1989 Postby NotoSans » Wed Oct 28, 2020 3:59 pm

NHC sticks with 95kt but lowers the pressure to 970mb at its latest advisory.
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1990 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Oct 28, 2020 4:00 pm

NHC has not said anything yet (4 PM CDT)
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1991 Postby AdvAutoBob » Wed Oct 28, 2020 4:00 pm

NOLA webcam

https://www.earthcam.com/usa/louisiana/ ... =catsmeow2
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1992 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Wed Oct 28, 2020 4:01 pm

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE 40SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 180SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1993 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Oct 28, 2020 4:01 pm

NotoSans wrote:NHC sticks with 95kt but lowers the pressure to 970mb at its latest advisory.

You got it spot on! :eek:
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1994 Postby AdvAutoBob » Wed Oct 28, 2020 4:01 pm

Bay St Louis on top of the Silver Slipper cam

https://silverslipper-ms.com/visiting/weather-cam/
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1995 Postby ElectricStorm » Wed Oct 28, 2020 4:02 pm

95kts it is
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1996 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Oct 28, 2020 4:02 pm

Why did they not upgrade this to CAT 3!? This storm met all requirements for CAT 3 strength.
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1997 Postby Stormgodess » Wed Oct 28, 2020 4:02 pm

local news facebook post of vid from Grand Isle 2mins ago

https://www.facebook.com/77990746986/po ... 058496987/
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1998 Postby Javlin » Wed Oct 28, 2020 4:04 pm

Frank P wrote:
Javlin wrote:
MGC wrote:110 mph....so much for the cooler shelf waters and wind shear. Might just make it to Cat-3....hope not.....MGC


I hear yea Frank and I are about 20 miles to your east at least it will be quick speaking of Frank have not seen him on all day?


Yo Jav, had to drive back from Nashville yesterday to do storm preps today, just finished... should be a good test for the beach house in Biloxi as the most winds it has taken on was 70 mph.. wife stayed in Nashville... right now a little breezy tide is creeping up maybe 2-3 feet asl... I expect a surge of at least 9-10 feet and it will put 85% of HWY 90 under water it that comes to fruition...still waiting to see if the NHC updates the storm surge at 4 pm... Amazing storm to track... got genny, food, water, snacks and copious amounts of Crown.. I’m good to go! Good Luck to all, especially the good people of LA, you guys have had the most incredible hurricane season ever...


Hey I got some Glenlivet!
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1999 Postby aspen » Wed Oct 28, 2020 4:04 pm

Looks like Zeta is another contender for a post-season upgrade.
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Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2000 Postby ElectricStorm » Wed Oct 28, 2020 4:04 pm

Iceresistance wrote:Why did they not upgrade this to CAT 3!? This storm met all requirements for CAT 3 strength.

SFMR never got there and I know they weigh that heavily for storms of this strength. But I think it was briefly a Cat 3
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