ATL: ZETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[MGC]

Lots of dry air over the Gulf....lets hope it keeps Zeta in check. Starting to get prepared for landfall......MGC

[Iceresistance]

I am still here, just waiting for the models.

[underthwx]

I plotted the hour-by hour (interpolated) NHC track. Center reaches the coast south of New Orleans 7pm Wednesday. It passes just east of New Orleans at 9:30pm. This is about 4 hrs later due to more NW movement across the Gulf before the NNE-NE turn. I'd say that if the track is adjusted, then landfall has a better chance of being farther west than farther east. Not a lot farther west.

After landfall, Zeta should be moving quickly to the NE, correct?

I have it moving at 25+ mph at landfall and 30-40 mph across southern MS to northern GA Thursday morning.

Thankyou for your reply 57....I know you are busy...thanks for taking time to reply to me....

[underthwx]

Lots of dry air over the Gulf....lets hope it keeps Zeta in check. Starting to get prepared for landfall......MGC

I'm here hoping right along with you MGC...yall be prepared, and safe...

[aspen]

Another massive hot tower is exploding over the CoC. I guess Zeta is mad that its LLC was pushed so far out.

[GCANE]

Another massive hot tower is exploding over the CoC. I guess Zeta is mad that its LLC was pushed so far out.

Increased lightning with this one.
Looks like its strengthening.

[GCANE]

Winds gusting to 58 knots at the Yucatan Buoy

[xironman]

Lots of dry air over the Gulf....lets hope it keeps Zeta in check. Starting to get prepared for landfall......MGC

The huge 500mb low over texas will flood the gulf with moisture.

[kevin]

Zeta indeed looks to be strengthening again, but considering how it currently looks and the little time left before the Yucatan landfall I'm not sure if it will reach hurricane strength before its 1st landfall. What is the expected time until landfall?

[Steve]

I am still here, just waiting for the models.

lol

They're out there if you want them.

[Iceresistance]

Zeta indeed looks to be strengthening again, but considering how it currently looks and the little time left before the Yucatan landfall I'm not sure if it will reach hurricane strength before its 1st landfall. What is the expected time until landfall?

24-36 hours

[Shawee]

O.T. Why isn't a symbol for #Zeta on the map on the S2K homepage? The only system I'm seeing is a #TD27 out in the #Atlantic. #AskingForAFriend

wishful thinking?

[Do_For_Love]

24-36 hours

Before the Yucatan Landfall? I think it's more like 12-18 based on the NHC forecast. I think that's enough time for Zeta to make Cat 1, it's already knocking on the door.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.

[ColdMiser123]

First pass indicates pressure has likely fallen to sub 990 mb.

[kevin]

987.9 mbar Extrapolated Sfc. Pressure during this pass.

[bella_may]

Should be a hurricane now

[NDG]

986 mb extrap pressure.

173730 1923N 08535W 6953 03068 9860 +151 +108 090027 031 021 000 00

[Iceresistance]

Extrapolated pressure at the center: 986 MB.

[aspen]

There’s a rather tight pressure slope in the exact CoC, and the center of the LLC is within the newest hot tower. This might finally be stacking and recovering.

[GCANE]

They are flying at 700mb, hurricane mode.
Lowest extrap was 986mb at 30 knt FL
987.5mb at 5 knt FL