2020 WPAC Season

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euro6208

Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#441 Postby euro6208 » Thu Oct 08, 2020 8:23 pm

euro6208 wrote:Seems likely the southern coast of China/Hainan will be impacted by a possible typhoon early next week as GFS and EURO hasn't budge from previous forecasts.



EURO scraps the system behind 92W. GFS still has it but incredibly weak.
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euro6208

Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#442 Postby euro6208 » Thu Oct 08, 2020 8:25 pm

Super long range GFS with a Marianas threat.

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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#443 Postby mrbagyo » Thu Oct 08, 2020 10:10 pm

1900hurricane wrote:Here comes a death TUTT.

https://i.imgur.com/Wi7KSyl.gif

that's quite massive
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euro6208

Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#444 Postby euro6208 » Fri Oct 09, 2020 7:04 am

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Will be interesting if this verifies.
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euro6208

Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#445 Postby euro6208 » Fri Oct 09, 2020 7:39 pm

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Although outside of this updated spatial map, TC development is imminent across the South China Sea and is likely to bring heavy rainfall to Vietnam. Model guidance supports moderate confidence of TC development to the east of the Philippines through October 13 and this area is expanded to include the South China Sea for the October 14 to 20 period.
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euro6208

Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#446 Postby euro6208 » Fri Oct 09, 2020 7:42 pm

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Lowest pressure thus far.
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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#447 Postby mrbagyo » Fri Oct 09, 2020 10:38 pm

Another LPA in the Philippines Sea - not yet tagged
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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#448 Postby mrbagyo » Sat Oct 10, 2020 7:32 pm

Here comes another LPA - not yet tagged but guidance likes it.

East of Palau -
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euro6208

Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#449 Postby euro6208 » Sun Oct 11, 2020 6:36 am

euro6208 wrote:
euro6208 wrote:Seems likely the southern coast of China/Hainan will be impacted by a possible typhoon early next week as GFS and EURO hasn't budge from previous forecasts.



EURO scraps the system behind 92W. GFS still has it but incredibly weak.




93W Thread
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Hayabusa
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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#450 Postby Hayabusa » Sun Oct 11, 2020 6:37 am

Euro joins with the GFS on the Marianas TC.

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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically

euro6208

Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#451 Postby euro6208 » Sun Oct 11, 2020 6:42 am

mrbagyo wrote:Here comes another LPA - not yet tagged but guidance likes it.

East of Palau.


94W Thread
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euro6208

Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#452 Postby euro6208 » Sun Oct 11, 2020 6:47 am

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Not just the Marianas system but another SCS system is forecast.
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euro6208

Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#453 Postby euro6208 » Sun Oct 11, 2020 7:08 am

06z GFS now bottoms it out at 938 mb with development starting around 200 hours.

Past few runs had other systems including a low latitude system southwest of Guam but drops it.
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euro6208

Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#454 Postby euro6208 » Sun Oct 11, 2020 9:00 pm

:eek:

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euro6208

Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#455 Postby euro6208 » Sun Oct 11, 2020 9:16 pm

The globals...CMC, NAVGEM, JMA, ICON, EURO...all show a TC or pressures dropping during the same time frame.
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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#456 Postby Hayabusa » Sun Oct 11, 2020 9:38 pm

Image
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically

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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#457 Postby Keldeo1997 » Mon Oct 12, 2020 8:10 pm

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Woah what happened here lool
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euro6208

Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#458 Postby euro6208 » Tue Oct 13, 2020 7:48 pm

EURO back on board

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euro6208

Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#459 Postby euro6208 » Tue Oct 13, 2020 7:49 pm

GFS also brings back the Luzon system. Makes landfall at 987 mb on the 20th.
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euro6208

Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#460 Postby euro6208 » Tue Oct 13, 2020 7:51 pm

After making landfall, it deepens it significantly in the SCS. Also develops 2 other systems behind it. The Marianas system is still there but timeframe pushed back.

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