ATL: DELTA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Hurricane Mike]

Early morning video update on Delta
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qit8k8hZquU

[GCANE]

Another very dense set of core lightning strikes

[GCANE]

Starting to take a look at conditions in the GoM and the effects of the colder water being discussed.
Currently 4000 CAPE.
At this time the colder water hasn't effected the instability of the air.

[SconnieCane]

That 4000j/kg pocket is where the waters are still quite warm.

The 26°C isotherm is located nearer the north coast.

[Keldeo1997]

[GCANE]

Massive rotating eyewall hot tower firing strong lightning

[RL3AO]

We know the WMO has said Greek names won't be retired, but they're gonna have to put that to a real test with Delta it appears.

[NDG]

Such a tiny eye, the eyewall is about the size of the Cayman Islands.

[GCANE]

Kermit on the way in.

[Keldeo1997]

[Buck]

We know the WMO has said Greek names won't be retired, but they're gonna have to put that to a real test with Delta it appears.

And what gets me about that is that Delta is the one Greek letter that doubles as an actual name (in the Atlantic basin) and sounds like an old school hurricane name anyway.

[aspen]

If Delta keeps up the 4 mb/hr pressure drop mentioned in the 5am update, it’ll be around 895-900 mbar by late tonight, assuming an EWRC doesn’t begin. There’s a non-zero chance Delta could become one of the strongest TCs in the Atlantic basin. Buckle up folks, we’ve got a crazy day ahead of us.

[Keldeo1997]

here comes the Pinhole...

[kevin]

The dreaded pinhol eye has arrived...

[plasticup]

Delta is reminding me a lot of 2002 Lili. Fast moving storm that reached its peak in the central gulf before weakening prior to landfall. The increased organization were seeing today already is pretty concerning.

Chances growing this becomes strongest storm of the season

That would be in conflict with the NHC and every global/ensemble/mesoscale hurricane model.

20 hours later, I would like to withdraw this comment

[HurricaneEnzo]

Little buzzsaw with a pinhole eye bombing out. Gonna be an interesting day.

https://tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satloop ... product=ir

[St0rmTh0r]

Chances growing this becomes strongest storm of the season

That would be in conflict with the NHC and every global/ensemble/mesoscale hurricane model.

20 hours later, I would like to withdraw this comment

Yea unfortunately this is going to be a monster!

[aspen]

The last center reading was at 7:56z. It’s currently a little after 11:00z, and Kermit won’t arrive for another half hour or so. With at least 4 hours between passes, we could be looking at a massive pressure drop soon, especially with a pinhole eye starting to pop out on IR.

Also, the pinhole has been obscured by a massive hot tower rotating around the center. It seems like the CDO is in the process of getting bigger, and the eye will start clearing out again in a few hours.

[Meteophile]

Let's hope it will not hagibis too much.

[FLpanhandle91]

Recent hot tower firing in the southern eyewall will likely keep the eye obscured for a bit longer.