ATL: TEDDY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Beef Stew
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#721 Postby Beef Stew » Fri Sep 18, 2020 10:43 pm

Teddy's wind field is going to be huge by the time he makes final approach to what's looking like a Nova Scotia or Newfoundland landfall. An event comparable to Igor certainly isn't out of the question. I really hope coastal Canada is prepping for this- while Teddy will probably have transitioned to an extratropical storm by then, that won't keep the damage from being any less significant.
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#722 Postby PavelGaborik10 » Sat Sep 19, 2020 12:09 am

Beef Stew wrote:Teddy's wind field is going to be huge by the time he makes final approach to what's looking like a Nova Scotia or Newfoundland landfall. An event comparable to Igor certainly isn't out of the question. I really hope coastal Canada is prepping for this- while Teddy will probably have transitioned to an extratropical storm by then, that won't keep the damage from being any less significant.


Most models are showing him slow down significantly and lose a lot of intensity in the ocean. If that happens a decent chunk away from the coast it could prevent a lot of damage.
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#723 Postby Chris90 » Sat Sep 19, 2020 5:24 am

That large eye that was predicted looks like it’s going to manifest based on microwave imagery. Inner eyewall is eroding and I’d guess should be gone within 12 hours. Winds have probably come down significantly due to the pressure gradient getting blown up with the ERC, but this is going to have a huge wind field. This might be one of the more interesting ERCs I’ve witnessed in the past couple years.
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#724 Postby dukeblue219 » Sat Sep 19, 2020 7:59 am

Was it HWRF that was modeling a massive eye developing? Interesting...
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#725 Postby Kazmit » Sat Sep 19, 2020 8:32 am

It's almost donut time.

Image
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#726 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Sat Sep 19, 2020 1:24 pm

Beautiful EWRC with Teddy right now.
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#727 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat Sep 19, 2020 2:17 pm

Storms with huge eyes tend to be weaker wind wise than Dvorak suggests. I would go with 95 kt for the current intensity right now.
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#728 Postby Kazmit » Sat Sep 19, 2020 3:06 pm

Another win for the HWRF.

Image

Image
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#729 Postby sikkar » Sat Sep 19, 2020 3:22 pm

That symmetrical outflow on visible is some eye candy 8-) . Teddy may still have some honey in his system.
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#730 Postby Blinhart » Sat Sep 19, 2020 3:24 pm

How much ACE has he generated so far?
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#731 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Sat Sep 19, 2020 3:24 pm

EWRC looks nearly finished.

Image
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#732 Postby Blinhart » Sat Sep 19, 2020 3:28 pm

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:EWRC looks nearly finished.

https://i.imgur.com/DHlKcTE.jpg


If true, I think he has plenty of time to make the run for Cat 5, especially if the large eye starts contracting without doing another EWRC.
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#733 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Sat Sep 19, 2020 3:33 pm

Blinhart wrote:
Hypercane_Kyle wrote:EWRC looks nearly finished.

https://i.imgur.com/DHlKcTE.jpg


If true, I think he has plenty of time to make the run for Cat 5, especially if the large eye starts contracting without doing another EWRC.


Not sure if the bar is quite that high anymore, but Cat 4 again is possible.
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#734 Postby Keldeo1997 » Sat Sep 19, 2020 3:35 pm

Image

Huge Eyewall
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#735 Postby ElectricStorm » Sat Sep 19, 2020 3:38 pm


Geez. This has been a fun storm to track
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#736 Postby supercane4867 » Sat Sep 19, 2020 3:43 pm

WPAC grade mega eye
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#737 Postby Kazmit » Sat Sep 19, 2020 4:07 pm

Blinhart wrote:How much ACE has he generated so far?

17.8
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#738 Postby aspen » Sat Sep 19, 2020 4:42 pm


I can’t wait for that to fully clear.
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#739 Postby Do_For_Love » Sat Sep 19, 2020 5:21 pm

Kazmit wrote:Another win for the HWRF.


Has the HWRF always been this good with structure or is that new? Very impressive either way
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Re: ATL: TEDDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#740 Postby wx98 » Sat Sep 19, 2020 6:09 pm

Finding Cat 4 FL winds in the NE eyewall.
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