ATL: VICKY - Remnants
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- HurricaneAndre2008
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion
000
WTNT21 KNHC 140947
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212020
1000 UTC MON SEP 14 2020
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 28.3W AT 14/1000Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 28.3W AT 14/1000Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 28.2W
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 19.6N 28.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 20.5N 29.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 21.3N 30.9W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 21.9N 32.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 22.4N 34.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 22.8N 36.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 23.4N 41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 28.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART/BEVEN
WTNT21 KNHC 140947
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212020
1000 UTC MON SEP 14 2020
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 28.3W AT 14/1000Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 28.3W AT 14/1000Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 28.2W
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 19.6N 28.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 20.5N 29.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 21.3N 30.9W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 21.9N 32.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 22.4N 34.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 22.8N 36.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 23.4N 41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 28.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART/BEVEN
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- Extratropical94
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Re: ATL: TWENTY - ONE - Tropical Depression
AL, 21, 202009140600, 10, DVTS, CI, , 1720N, 2860W, , 3, 35, 2, 1005, 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, MMT, I, 5, 2525 /////, , , GOES16, CSC, T,
T2.5/2.5 from TAFB earlier today
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54° 11' 59'' N, 9° 9' 20'' E
Boomer Sooner!
Go Broncos! Go Cards! Go Niners!
- Daniel
Boomer Sooner!
Go Broncos! Go Cards! Go Niners!
- Daniel
Re: ATL: TWENTY - ONE - Tropical Depression
Extratropical94 wrote:AL, 21, 202009140600, 10, DVTS, CI, , 1720N, 2860W, , 3, 35, 2, 1005, 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, MMT, I, 5, 2525 /////, , , GOES16, CSC, T,
T2.5/2.5 from TAFB earlier today
Are they really going to name this one?
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- Extratropical94
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Re: ATL: TWENTY - ONE - Tropical Depression
Fancy1001 wrote:Extratropical94 wrote:AL, 21, 202009140600, 10, DVTS, CI, , 1720N, 2860W, , 3, 35, 2, 1005, 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, MMT, I, 5, 2525 /////, , , GOES16, CSC, T,
T2.5/2.5 from TAFB earlier today
Are they really going to name this one?
If they wanted to name it based on a single Dvorak fix, they could've done so in the special advisory. 21 will need to show more proof to get a name IMO.
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54° 11' 59'' N, 9° 9' 20'' E
Boomer Sooner!
Go Broncos! Go Cards! Go Niners!
- Daniel
Boomer Sooner!
Go Broncos! Go Cards! Go Niners!
- Daniel
Re: ATL: TWENTY - ONE - Tropical Depression
Boy Twenty-one is looking messsayyy. Polar opposite of stacked. Even I wasn't this messy at 21. .....oh wait I turn 21 in January. Maybe just scrap Vicky and name this Tropical Storm Ryan cause I know my 21st will be messy and I definitely won't be stacked cause I'll probably still be laid off
PS for those who may point out it should be a female name, Ryan is traditionally a unisex name, just watch the movie, Gravity.
Aight, nuff Netflix. I'm going to bed!
PS for those who may point out it should be a female name, Ryan is traditionally a unisex name, just watch the movie, Gravity.
Aight, nuff Netflix. I'm going to bed!
Last edited by Ryxn on Mon Sep 14, 2020 7:51 am, edited 1 time in total.
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- HurricaneEnzo
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Re: ATL: TWENTY - ONE - Tropical Depression
Surprised they classified this one honestly. Unless it looked significantly better yesterday evening and I missed it.
While there appears to be an LLC it looks pretty horrible.
While there appears to be an LLC it looks pretty horrible.
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Bertha 96' - Fran 96' - Bonnie 98' - Dennis 99' - Floyd 99' - Isabel 03' - Alex 04' - Ophelia 05' - Irene 11' - Arthur 14' - Matthew 16' - Florence 18' - Dorian 19' - Isaias 20' (countless other tropical storms and Hurricane swipes)
I am not a Professional Met just an enthusiast. Get your weather forecasts from the Pros!
I am not a Professional Met just an enthusiast. Get your weather forecasts from the Pros!
- Extratropical94
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Re: ATL: TWENTY - ONE - Tropical Depression
We have TS VICKY!
AL, 21, 2020091412, , BEST, 0, 184N, 283W, 40, 1002, TS, 34, NEQ, 90, 70, 0, 0, 1012, 120, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, VICKY
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54° 11' 59'' N, 9° 9' 20'' E
Boomer Sooner!
Go Broncos! Go Cards! Go Niners!
- Daniel
Boomer Sooner!
Go Broncos! Go Cards! Go Niners!
- Daniel
- HurricaneEnzo
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Re: ATL: TWENTY - ONE - Tropical Depression
Extratropical94 wrote:We have TS VICKY!AL, 21, 2020091412, , BEST, 0, 184N, 283W, 40, 1002, TS, 34, NEQ, 90, 70, 0, 0, 1012, 120, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, VICKY
Wow wasn't expecting that. Unless I am looking in the wrong place doesn't appear to have a single LLC any longer. Multiple little areas of spin in there. Looks like we will have 5 named storms at once though. Impressive.
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Bertha 96' - Fran 96' - Bonnie 98' - Dennis 99' - Floyd 99' - Isabel 03' - Alex 04' - Ophelia 05' - Irene 11' - Arthur 14' - Matthew 16' - Florence 18' - Dorian 19' - Isaias 20' (countless other tropical storms and Hurricane swipes)
I am not a Professional Met just an enthusiast. Get your weather forecasts from the Pros!
I am not a Professional Met just an enthusiast. Get your weather forecasts from the Pros!
- ouragans
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Re: ATL: TWENTY - ONE - Tropical Depression
Incredible 5 named storms at the same time
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Personal forecast disclaimer
This post is a personal point of view, not an information. Please refer to official statements for life-threatening decisions.
David '79, Frederic '79, Hugo '89, Iris, Luis & Marilyn '95, Georges '98, Lenny '99, Dean '07, Irma '17, Maria '17, Fiona '22, Philippe '23, Tammy '23
16°13'33.3,"6N -61°36'39.5"W
This post is a personal point of view, not an information. Please refer to official statements for life-threatening decisions.
David '79, Frederic '79, Hugo '89, Iris, Luis & Marilyn '95, Georges '98, Lenny '99, Dean '07, Irma '17, Maria '17, Fiona '22, Philippe '23, Tammy '23
16°13'33.3,"6N -61°36'39.5"W
Re: ATL: TWENTY - ONE - Tropical Depression
Extratropical94 wrote:Fancy1001 wrote:Extratropical94 wrote:AL, 21, 202009140600, 10, DVTS, CI, , 1720N, 2860W, , 3, 35, 2, 1005, 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, MMT, I, 5, 2525 /////, , , GOES16, CSC, T,
T2.5/2.5 from TAFB earlier today
Are they really going to name this one?
If they wanted to name it based on a single Dvorak fix, they could've done so in the special advisory. 21 will need to show more proof to get a name IMO.
Probably based off this ASCAT pass.
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Kendall -> SLO -> PBC
Memorable Storms: Katrina (for its Florida landfall...) Wilma Matthew Irma
Memorable Storms: Katrina (for its Florida landfall...) Wilma Matthew Irma
Re: ATL: TWENTY - ONE - Tropical Depression
Extratropical94 wrote:We have TS VICKY!AL, 21, 2020091412, , BEST, 0, 184N, 283W, 40, 1002, TS, 34, NEQ, 90, 70, 0, 0, 1012, 120, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, VICKY
Fine Vicky.... you win let's have a drink sometime. We can be a hot mess together Just don't think you make any hot towers just cause of some liquid courage. Your waters aren't that warm hun
But holy crop 5 named storms (4 tropical storms) all simultaneously spinning. Insaneee
Last edited by Ryxn on Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:39 am, edited 3 times in total.
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Re: ATL: TWENTY - ONE - Tropical Depression
I never really cared if storms like this got named, but this year when these weak fishes get named, it's aggravating lol. Only one name left!!! It's September 14th!!!!!
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Not an meteorologist! Just someone who is interested in weather. Please refer to the NHC and local weather officials to make decisions.
-Jack
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Re: ATL: VICKY - Tropical Storm
Nhc really wants to get to Hurricane Omega this year
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I am in no way a professional. Take what I say with a grain of salt as I could be totally wrong. Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
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- northjaxpro
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Re: ATL: VICKY - Tropical Storm
Yeah absolutely increduous virtually getting through all but one name left on the list and we are just getting to mid-September.
This 2020 year is definitely.one of the most atypical years I have ever seen.
This 2020 year is definitely.one of the most atypical years I have ever seen.
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NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
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Re: ATL: VICKY - Tropical Storm
Without a doubt, we’ll likely have at least 3 greek cyclones before October 1st.
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: VICKY - Tropical Storm
Does anyone has the record of the letter V when it was and now Vicky surpasses?
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Re: ATL: VICKY - Tropical Storm
Boy the Atlantic is fertile this year. She's been having twins after twins after twins since July 21 and now she be like let's shake things up and have quintuplets sheesh maybe give a few rascals up for adoption, I know the EPAC would gladly take
...This really becomes dark once you realize poor mama Atlantic lost 15 children including 4 sets of twins, it just, it just breaks my heart. But take Rene, he a rascal who refuseth to die. Don't take Vicky tho, she my girl
...This really becomes dark once you realize poor mama Atlantic lost 15 children including 4 sets of twins, it just, it just breaks my heart. But take Rene, he a rascal who refuseth to die. Don't take Vicky tho, she my girl
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Re: ATL: VICKY - Tropical Storm
cycloneye wrote:Does anyone has the record of the letter V when it was and now Vicky surpasses?
Vince: the 9th of October, 2005.
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- Hypercane_Kyle
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Re: ATL: VICKY - Tropical Storm
At this rate we will handily beat 2005 as the most active hurricane season on record (in terms of named storm count).
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