2020 WPAC Season
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
-
mrbagyo
- Category 5
- Posts: 3716
- Age: 33
- Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2012 9:18 am
- Location: 14.13N 120.98E
- Contact:
Re: 2020 WPAC Season
0 likes
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.
-
euro6208
Re: 2020 WPAC Season
Looks like the models are showing a slow September as disturbances struggle to organize.
Last edited by euro6208 on Sun Sep 06, 2020 7:56 am, edited 3 times in total.
0 likes
-
euro6208
Re: 2020 WPAC Season
For a few days now CFS shows very low pressures across the basin starting in October. Even lower than August/September.
0 likes
-
euro6208
Re: 2020 WPAC Season
Busan would be the 3rd largest city in the U.S. Yes we all know most major networks are based in the U.S thus the HYPING but common why ignore?
It's been going on for decades.
It's been going on for decades.
0 likes
-
Florida1118
Re: 2020 WPAC Season
euro6208 wrote:Busan would be the 3rd largest city in the U.S. Yes we all know most major networks are based in the U.S thus the HYPING but common why ignore?
It's been going on for decades.
Do you just repeat whining about the same topics until someone finally engages? Between this and the “lack of recon” bit you do, you’ve certainly beaten a dead horse a thousand times over.
9 likes
Re: 2020 WPAC Season
I have to say, the Euro wins this one showing Haishen in the long range, and if we rely on the Euro based on its Haishen success on future forecast, it looks like it's going to be quiet for a little while probably at least 5 days to a week with high confidence.
0 likes
ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
-
euro6208
Re: 2020 WPAC Season
12Z
18Z
18Z
Last edited by euro6208 on Mon Sep 07, 2020 3:35 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes
Re: 2020 WPAC Season
Another significant change on JMA products
https://twitter.com/homosapieninhk/status/1302868621782183941
https://twitter.com/homosapieninhk/status/1302868621782183941
5 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC and NWS products.
-
mrbagyo
- Category 5
- Posts: 3716
- Age: 33
- Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2012 9:18 am
- Location: 14.13N 120.98E
- Contact:
Re: 2020 WPAC Season
Typhoon Maysak and Haishen left a pretty noticeable cold wake.
0 likes
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.
-
euro6208
Re: 2020 WPAC Season
GFS drops the Philippine Sea system while EURO puts more weight on the dateline systems in about a week.
GFS has some development in 2 weeks time in the P.I sea.
GFS has some development in 2 weeks time in the P.I sea.
0 likes
-
euro6208
-
euro6208
Re: 2020 WPAC Season
2020 tally:
11 TS (15.2)
6 TY (9.0)
4 Major (4.1)
ACE 67.1 (147.0)
I'd say this season is doing darn good despite a lurking nina.
ACE wise, it needs a lot of catching up to do.
Going by WPAC standard, it is extremely slow and out of the norm.
The only system that didn't make landfall was TS 06W last month.
South Korea with a record breaking number of typhoons and pressure records.
Plenty of potential in the last 3 months of the year.
I hate to think what will happen in 2021. (A well known hurricane chaser has already set his return.)
11 TS (15.2)
6 TY (9.0)
4 Major (4.1)
ACE 67.1 (147.0)
I'd say this season is doing darn good despite a lurking nina.
ACE wise, it needs a lot of catching up to do.
Going by WPAC standard, it is extremely slow and out of the norm.
The only system that didn't make landfall was TS 06W last month.
South Korea with a record breaking number of typhoons and pressure records.
Plenty of potential in the last 3 months of the year.
I hate to think what will happen in 2021. (A well known hurricane chaser has already set his return.)
0 likes
-
Florida1118
Re: 2020 WPAC Season
euro6208 wrote:2020 tally:
11 TS (15.2)
6 TY (9.0)
4 Major (4.1)
ACE 67.1 (147.0)
I'd say this season is doing darn good despite a lurking nina.
ACE wise, it needs a lot of catching up to do.
Going by WPAC standard, it is extremely slow and out of the norm.
The only system that didn't make landfall was TS 06W last month.
South Korea with a record breaking number of typhoons and pressure records.
Plenty of potential in the last 3 months of the year.
I hate to think what will happen in 2021. (A well known hurricane chaser has already set his return.)
Yeah, sure seems like you'd hate it alright
I'd hate to think what would happen next year.
I hate to say it but maybe we need a break this year? That brings anxiety to what 2021 might deliver. WPAC never lets down.
Maybe this year the residents can take a break? 2021 looks to be another powerful year.
I hate to think about next year. Rebuilding mode.
Since recon stopped in 1987, i hate to think what this list would look like right now if recon never ended.
I'd hate to think what would happen if the shear was low or non existant...
I'd hate to think what hell will be unleash.
I'd hate to think what the WPAC will be in a couple of months with a possible nino on the horizon.
Very impressive signal. Good thing its only February. Hate to see that later this year.
2 likes
-
doomhaMwx
- Category 5
- Posts: 2454
- Age: 26
- Joined: Tue Apr 18, 2017 4:01 am
- Location: Baguio/Benguet, Philippines
- Contact:
Re: 2020 WPAC Season
Some Euro ens members picking up a new storm near the Marianas by mid next week. Looks interesting.
0 likes
-
euro6208
Re: 2020 WPAC Season
Whether or not these disturbances develop is scary. A sign the WPAC may soon reawaken.
EURO with a couple defined vorticity and GFS has a parade.
EURO with a couple defined vorticity and GFS has a parade.
Last edited by euro6208 on Thu Sep 10, 2020 6:58 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes
Re: 2020 WPAC Season
Euro ensemble getting active
0 likes
ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 33 guests