LLC now developing convection

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Vortex
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4644
Age: 53
Joined: Fri Aug 01, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Hilton Head, SC

LLC now developing convection

#1 Postby Vortex » Fri Oct 31, 2003 7:35 pm

Within the last hour convection has fired on the eastern side of the llc near 26.5N. All day it had been void of convection. Up to this point all convection had been well north of the LLC. Interesting night ahead to see if it continues and more importantly fires over the enter center.
0 likes   

User avatar
Stormsfury
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10549
Age: 53
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 6:27 pm
Location: Summerville, SC

#2 Postby Stormsfury » Fri Oct 31, 2003 7:40 pm

If anything now, it looks like it'll have to be a subtropical system if it does gets classified ... look at the latest WV loop ... still a lot of dry air (but moisture is increasing in the vicinity of the subtropical low and now with a northerly jet getting ready to cut off ... the system may be in a low shear environment (being cut off in a large-scale cyclonic flow)

http://orbit-net.nesdis.noaa.gov/goes/a ... loope.html

SF
0 likes   

User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 23010
Age: 67
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

#3 Postby wxman57 » Fri Oct 31, 2003 8:45 pm

That small thunderstorm appears to have formed near a weak eddy that is rotating around a very broad center. It's no sign of increasing organization. This system is purely cold core now. The center of circulation appears to be close to 28N/68W, 150+ miles from convection.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: cheezyWXguy, duilaslol, emeraldislenc, islandgirl45, Jr0d, Killjoy12, Kingarabian, Sps123, Stratton23, TheBurn, TomballEd and 152 guests