2020 WPAC Season

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euro6208

Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#301 Postby euro6208 » Sat Aug 29, 2020 3:51 am

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Hayabusa
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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#302 Postby Hayabusa » Sat Aug 29, 2020 6:03 am

EPS for the rest w/o Maysak
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically

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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#303 Postby 1900hurricane » Sat Aug 29, 2020 9:04 am

Even in the most quiet of seasons, this is when things begin to pick up.

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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#304 Postby gatorcane » Sat Aug 29, 2020 11:57 am

CMC animation of the next possible Typhoon:

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Last edited by gatorcane on Sat Aug 29, 2020 12:40 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#305 Postby Hayabusa » Sat Aug 29, 2020 12:26 pm

gatorcane wrote:GFS animation of the next possible Typhoon:

https://i.postimg.cc/y8N0XpcS/gem-mslp-pcpn-wpac-fh96-192.gif


Umm but that model animation is from the CMC :D
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically

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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#306 Postby gatorcane » Sat Aug 29, 2020 12:41 pm

Hayabusa wrote:
gatorcane wrote:GFS animation of the next possible Typhoon:

https://i.postimg.cc/y8N0XpcS/gem-mslp-pcpn-wpac-fh96-192.gif


Umm but that model animation is from the CMC :D


Indeed, nice catch. Here is the GFS: :D

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euro6208

Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#307 Postby euro6208 » Sat Aug 29, 2020 9:16 pm

95W Thread

Models are pretty happy with this.
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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#308 Postby mrbagyo » Sun Aug 30, 2020 12:20 pm

ensemble model is starting to pick up some signal from the lower lats - south of Guam

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euro6208

Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#309 Postby euro6208 » Mon Aug 31, 2020 6:33 am

GFS keeps the basin alive during September. EURO more tame.
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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#310 Postby euro6208 » Mon Aug 31, 2020 6:49 am

Here comes the WPAC.

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euro6208

Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#311 Postby euro6208 » Mon Aug 31, 2020 7:12 am

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Before August, WPAC was at 3/1/1.

Now it's at 10/5/3, unofficially at 10/6/3.

All 6 typhoons made landfall.

Looking at our 5th straight typhoon and 3rd straight major with future Haishen.
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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#312 Postby 1900hurricane » Mon Aug 31, 2020 11:12 pm

ACE at the end of August is 4th lowest to date. Only (in order from most to least) 1977, 1998, and 2010 had lower ACE at the conclusion of August.
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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#313 Postby mrbagyo » Tue Sep 01, 2020 12:16 am

" [Press release] (R2.9.1) The sea surface temperature is much higher than normal, mainly in the south of Japan, and there are some sea areas where the monthly mean sea surface temperature in August was the highest since 1982, when there is an analysis value. "

 https://twitter.com/JMA_kishou/status/1300662779003547648


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euro6208

Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#314 Postby euro6208 » Tue Sep 01, 2020 7:35 am

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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#315 Postby doomhaMwx » Tue Sep 01, 2020 7:56 am

mrbagyo wrote:" [Press release] (R2.9.1) The sea surface temperature is much higher than normal, mainly in the south of Japan, and there are some sea areas where the monthly mean sea surface temperature in August was the highest since 1982, when there is an analysis value. "

https://twitter.com/JMA_kishou/status/1300662779003547648?s=20

Now this is a timely press release with models very aggressive for Haishen in that area.
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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#316 Postby Hayabusa » Tue Sep 01, 2020 10:21 am

mrbagyo wrote:" [Press release] (R2.9.1) The sea surface temperature is much higher than normal, mainly in the south of Japan, and there are some sea areas where the monthly mean sea surface temperature in August was the highest since 1982, when there is an analysis value. "

https://twitter.com/JMA_kishou/status/1300662779003547648?s=20


Hmmm :double:
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically

euro6208

Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#317 Postby euro6208 » Wed Sep 02, 2020 9:28 am

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For week-2, Lastly, TC tools are beginning to indicate elevated probabilities for TC formation to the east of Hainan in the western Pacific in week-2. However, due to a lack of support from ensemble and deterministic guidance at this time, no TC area is included but this area will continue to be monitored in upcoming outlooks.
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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#318 Postby Hayabusa » Wed Sep 02, 2020 11:37 am

Haha another high latitude one? :roll:
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically

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Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#319 Postby gatorcane » Wed Sep 02, 2020 3:24 pm

Wow active WPAC and landfalling typhoons to boot :eek:

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euro6208

Re: 2020 WPAC Season

#320 Postby euro6208 » Fri Sep 04, 2020 8:05 am

Seeing some weak signals amongst the models.
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