ATL: LAURA - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion
Watching Brett Adair... Not as bad as Mexico Beach, but still crazy.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion
Are we sure that sign is still there? Hard to tell anything now.
Too bad this didn't make landfall during the day.
Too bad this didn't make landfall during the day.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion
Jeff Piotrowski a couple of minutes ago called for Lake Charles to take a direct hit by the eyewall.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion
It remains to be seen but if it keeps this trajectory with the eastern eyewall just east of Calcasieu lake, the city of lake Charles May see slightly less than worst case surge. Something to watch. It will be bad no matter what...but a few feet could make a big difference in some areas.
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- HurricaneEdouard
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion
Fancy1001 wrote:Looks like we'll have to wait till the post to see if Laura was a cat 5. They better not up it to only 155 in the post.
That's my honest assessment of the current intensity. There's arguments to be made for 130 knots, 135 knots or 140 knots, but a blend of data most supports 135 knots IMO; the 142 knot dropsonde measurement was a snapshot in time (not necessarily sustained), the highest unflagged SFMR reading was 133 knots, and the 148 knot FL winds would indicate 133 knots. I think this is simply, genuinely a 135-knot hurricane.
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You know you're a hurricane nut, when your main source of adrenaline is reading old hurricane advisories...
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion
sbcc wrote:Jeff Piotrowski a couple of minutes ago called for Lake Charles to take a direct hit by the eyewall.
Downtown is 20-25 miles from the northern eyewall now. Moving straight for them. If anything they get the NE/E side.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion
bob rulz wrote:Are we sure that sign is still there? Hard to tell anything now.
Too bad this didn't make landfall during the day.
I want to believe it's still there...
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion
Miamimeetro wrote:can someone repost the cameron video link
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w3bwtnmk1lA&feature=youtu.be
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion
Calcasieu Pass now with a gust to 92kts. Sustained at 72kts.
Previous water level reading of 7.4ft may have been an error reading 6.36ft now. Barometer stuck at 981mb an hour ago unfortunately.
Previous water level reading of 7.4ft may have been an error reading 6.36ft now. Barometer stuck at 981mb an hour ago unfortunately.
Last edited by Tyler Penland on Thu Aug 27, 2020 12:08 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion
Miamimeetro wrote:can someone repost the cameron video link
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w3bwtnm ... e=youtu.be
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion
HurricaneEdouard wrote:Fancy1001 wrote:Looks like we'll have to wait till the post to see if Laura was a cat 5. They better not up it to only 155 in the post.
That's my honest assessment of the current intensity. There's arguments to be made for 130 knots, 135 knots or 140 knots, but a blend of data most supports 135 knots IMO; the 142 knot dropsonde measurement was a snapshot in time (not necessarily sustained), the highest unflagged SFMR reading was 133 knots, and the 148 knot FL winds would indicate 133 knots. I think this is simply, genuinely a 135-knot hurricane.
Based on all data, my estimate is 135 kt. Not conclusive enough for an upgrade.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion
Steve wrote:sbcc wrote:EnnisTx wrote:
It's on a pole with ratchet straps, not sure how high it is though.
Whatever the parish stuck that sign pole into is doing great, too. So far.
haha. That landfall has been intense. Wish there could be more light.
Cameron lost power early.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion
HurricaneEdouard wrote:Fancy1001 wrote:Looks like we'll have to wait till the post to see if Laura was a cat 5. They better not up it to only 155 in the post.
That's my honest assessment of the current intensity. There's arguments to be made for 130 knots, 135 knots or 140 knots, but a blend of data most supports 135 knots IMO; the 142 knot dropsonde measurement was a snapshot in time (not necessarily sustained), the highest unflagged SFMR reading was 133 knots, and the 148 knot FL winds would indicate 133 knots. I think this is simply, genuinely a 135-knot hurricane.
Better in the history books to be one of the stronger CAT-4’s to make landfall then to be one of the weakest/most borderline CAT-5’s imo.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion
HurryKane wrote:Miamimeetro wrote:can someone repost the cameron video link
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w3bwtnmk1lA&feature=youtu.be
many thanks amigo
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion
Texas Snowman wrote:Jeff Linder reporting 110 mph gust at Cameron weather station...
I'm fairly certain the sustained wind is higher than that right now.
https://youtu.be/w3bwtnmk1lA
Last edited by EnnisTx on Thu Aug 27, 2020 12:12 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion
Whether a 140kt Cat5 or not is immaterial. IMO 130 to 135kt sounds about right but you just wouldn't tell the difference in terms of devastation between a 135kt or a 140kt hurricane.
Only sure thing is that there would be some historic damage along the way.
Only sure thing is that there would be some historic damage along the way.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion
TallahasseeMan wrote:HurricaneEdouard wrote:Fancy1001 wrote:Looks like we'll have to wait till the post to see if Laura was a cat 5. They better not up it to only 155 in the post.
That's my honest assessment of the current intensity. There's arguments to be made for 130 knots, 135 knots or 140 knots, but a blend of data most supports 135 knots IMO; the 142 knot dropsonde measurement was a snapshot in time (not necessarily sustained), the highest unflagged SFMR reading was 133 knots, and the 148 knot FL winds would indicate 133 knots. I think this is simply, genuinely a 135-knot hurricane.
Better in the history books to be one of the stronger CAT-4’s to make landfall then to be one of the weakest/most borderline CAT-5’s imo.
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No it's not, that's worse.
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