ATL: LAURA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[eastcoastFL]

https://twitter.com/DBrownie23/status/1167998619615522817

Thanks for posting that. It explains a lot

[AutoPenalti]

Jeff has 100k viewers right now. His intensity is a good match for Laura and he looks like he’s in a good spot for when it heats up. Wish I could keep my eyes open long enough to watch.

Please share the link. The link!!!!

Periscope link: https://www.pscp.tv/Jeff_Piotrowski/1rmxPYqmYpVKN

This will be my bedtime ASMR

[wx98]

how much longer till her landfall? she seems awefully close. I thought tomorrow morning, I am thinking maybe overnight (?)

1-2 hours.

It was always supposed to happen around 1 am CDT. Gonna be right on schedule.

[wx98]

how much longer till her landfall? she seems awefully close. I thought tomorrow morning, I am thinking maybe overnight (?)

Somewhere between 230am and 4am Central time

Well before then. Only 25 miles out from Cameron now.

[cfisher]

Pressure at Calcasieu Pass down to 981. Gusting to 77kts

[Hypercane_Kyle]

https://twitter.com/DBrownie23/status/1167998619615522817

In that case, the reduction from the mean boundary layer from that sonde was 134 knots and the average 150m was 151 knots. However, the low SFMR and flight level winds suggests that we're really looking at 135 knots IMO.

[wicked_wx_watcher]

People here have asked why would anyone stay? Ignorance. Survivors often say, "I thought it would not be that bad....." Famous last words. You chose not to educate yourself of the risks.

Today, a reporter asked a national guardsman in Beaumont, TX, why there wasn’t a greater number of people taking advantage of organized evacuations. He said, “They are scared of catching COVID and many said they would rather take their chances with the storm.”

[GeneratorPower]

I’m thinking Cameron gets the highest winds but highest surge may be to the east.

[Highteeld]

FL winds up to 148 knots

[meriland29]

She looks to be potentially weakening on IR. Maybe due to approaching land perhaps now?

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Starting to get some higher flight level winds. This is the highest found yet.

148 knots
(~ 170.3 mph)

[Steve]

https://www.weather.gov/lch/

Edit flash flood warnings

[FLpanhandle91]

Looks like recon is done. One last 148kt FL wind. Highest SFMR she ever kicked out was 133kt.

[galaxy401]

This is the point now we are going to hear of rapidly worse conditions. That very intense northern eyewall is moving ashore now. Hope the Surge isn't as high as feared.

[Kingarabian]

Starting to get some higher flight level winds. This is the highest found yet.

148 knots
(~ 170.3 mph)

It's getting very close. Flight level winds by themselves will support Cat.5 at this rate.

[cfisher]

She looks to be potentially weakening on IR. Maybe due to approaching land perhaps now?

It's friction with the land, but it can cause last-minute strengthening as well

[NDG]

Calcasieu Pass in Cameron now reporting winds gusting to 82 mph.

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/times ... aw=0&w=325

[FLpanhandle91]

Man with that FL wind, the last dropsonde, extrapolated pressures in the mid 930s, and radar velocities that's about as close to the edge of cat 5 as it gets.

[tolakram]

Eyewall coming on shore

[Hypercane_Kyle]

VDM shows eye has contracted a bit.