Hurricane Laura - Lowest Sea Level Pressure Guess

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Laura lowest MSLP Guess

Poll ended at Tue Aug 25, 2020 9:33 pm

950 or higher
7
13%
945
10
19%
940
6
11%
935
16
30%
930
7
13%
925
3
6%
920 or lower
5
9%
 
Total votes: 54

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LarryWx
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Re: Hurricane Laura - Lowest Sea Level Pressure Guess

#21 Postby LarryWx » Tue Aug 25, 2020 12:31 am

951 for lowest on the entire path; 956 on landfall
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Re: Hurricane Laura - Lowest Sea Level Pressure Guess

#22 Postby mrbagyo » Tue Aug 25, 2020 1:00 am

932 to 936.
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Re: Hurricane Laura - Lowest Sea Level Pressure Guess

#23 Postby Kingarabian » Tue Aug 25, 2020 1:13 am

I mean if the Euro is showing 940 landfall... It could very well be sub 920s.
Also Cycloneye and chaser1, we should give folks a 12 more hours to vote and then lock it up so people can't cheat in 24 hours :D
Gonna go with a 895mb to spice things up. THIS IS NOT AN OFFICIAL FORECAST!
Last edited by Kingarabian on Tue Aug 25, 2020 6:39 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: Hurricane Laura - Lowest Sea Level Pressure Guess

#24 Postby Blinhart » Tue Aug 25, 2020 1:35 am

I'm thinking about 918
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Re: Hurricane Laura - Lowest Sea Level Pressure Guess

#25 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Tue Aug 25, 2020 1:47 am

945. cat 3/4
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Re: Hurricane Laura - Lowest Sea Level Pressure Guess

#26 Postby Extratropical94 » Tue Aug 25, 2020 1:56 am

946 apparently

Image
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Re: Hurricane Laura - Lowest Sea Level Pressure Guess

#27 Postby BadLarry95 » Tue Aug 25, 2020 1:59 am

932/150 mph
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Re: Hurricane Laura - Lowest Sea Level Pressure Guess

#28 Postby HurricaneEnzo » Tue Aug 25, 2020 6:27 am

957
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Re: Hurricane Laura - Lowest Sea Level Pressure Guess

#29 Postby chaser1 » Tue Aug 25, 2020 6:38 am

Extratropical94 wrote:946 apparently

https://i.imgur.com/doCoEx9.jpg


wait, aren't those dice saying "846" lol?
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Re: Hurricane Laura - Lowest Sea Level Pressure Guess

#30 Postby Nuno » Tue Aug 25, 2020 1:38 pm

AxaltaRacing24 wrote:945. cat 3/4


More or less my prediction as well.
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Re: Hurricane Laura - Lowest Sea Level Pressure Guess

#31 Postby tolakram » Tue Aug 25, 2020 1:44 pm

My guess is 945
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Re: Hurricane Laura - Lowest Sea Level Pressure Guess

#32 Postby Do_For_Love » Tue Aug 25, 2020 2:48 pm

People already took all the 930's it seems like :P 937 seems like a good number though, so I will second chris90 on that one
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Re: Hurricane Laura - Lowest Sea Level Pressure Guess

#33 Postby chaser1 » Tue Aug 25, 2020 4:58 pm

I've gotta admit, I originally thought we'd be seeing Laura in a RI trend by now. It's structure is certainly improving but so far not close to the pace where I'd still expect to see prior low-ball HWRF forecast pressures verify.
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Re: Hurricane Laura - Lowest Sea Level Pressure Guess

#34 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Aug 25, 2020 10:21 pm

941 is my guess.
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Re: Hurricane Laura - Lowest Sea Level Pressure Guess

#35 Postby tolakram » Wed Aug 26, 2020 8:19 am

My guess is at risk of being too high, unfortunately.
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Re: Hurricane Laura - Lowest Sea Level Pressure Guess

#36 Postby Chris90 » Wed Aug 26, 2020 8:18 pm

Chris90 wrote:937mb/120kts, sometime during the Advisory #28 period.


So while Laura is probably going to get more intense than my guess, and already beat my 120kts, I said 937mb during Advisory #28 period. We’re currently in the advisory #28 period and the update from NHC has the pressure at 937mb, so I nailed that and I’m feeling real good about that forecast, even if I end up being off on peak intensity.

I’m taking the win because I don’t get them often in my amateur forecasting. :lol:
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