ATL: MARCO - Remnants - Discussion

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Cpv17
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Re: ATL: MARCO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1061 Postby Cpv17 » Sat Aug 22, 2020 1:03 pm

Man, this is such a mess. I thought for sure I’d at least get a couple inches of rain from this here in southeast TX.
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Re: ATL: MARCO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1062 Postby Nederlander » Sat Aug 22, 2020 1:26 pm

Image

Marco is about to get a haircut it seems
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Re: ATL: MARCO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1063 Postby Cpv17 » Sat Aug 22, 2020 1:32 pm

Nederlander wrote:https://i.ibb.co/qNLktB9/47-E3-FF1-B-1610-494-F-838-A-5-F665-AB4902-B.gif

Marco is about to get a haircut it seems


Woah that’s some high shear.
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Re: ATL: MARCO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1064 Postby StPeteMike » Sat Aug 22, 2020 1:37 pm

Shear should die off pretty soon, shouldn’t be an issue.
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Re: ATL: MARCO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1065 Postby crimi481 » Sat Aug 22, 2020 1:38 pm

Marco seems to be moving NNE?
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Re: ATL: MARCO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1066 Postby TallahasseeMan » Sat Aug 22, 2020 1:55 pm

crimi481 wrote:Marco seems to be moving NNE?


Looks like it, 12z Euro is way off already.
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Re: ATL: MARCO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1067 Postby MississippiWx » Sat Aug 22, 2020 2:01 pm

TallahasseeMan wrote:
crimi481 wrote:Marco seems to be moving NNE?


Looks like it, 12z Euro is way off already.


Lol. As crazy as it sounds, I think even the Panhandle of FL could still be impacted by Marco. This is the craziest stuff.

It could also still hit Western Louisiana. :ggreen:
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Re: ATL: MARCO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1068 Postby GCANE » Sat Aug 22, 2020 2:01 pm

Outflow boundary shot out to the NW.
The effect of mixing in the stable air I mentioned that is to the NE.
See how he does in a few more hours as the Yucatan is fixin to fire off popups and the low CAPE pocket gets slowly taken out by convection and WISHE.
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Re: ATL: MARCO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1069 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat Aug 22, 2020 2:06 pm

Nederlander wrote:https://i.ibb.co/qNLktB9/47-E3-FF1-B-1610-494-F-838-A-5-F665-AB4902-B.gif

Marco is about to get a haircut it seems


No surviving that. Marco will probably peak quite soon unless it moves northeast.
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Re: ATL: MARCO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1070 Postby GCANE » Sat Aug 22, 2020 2:08 pm

Theta-E ridge building NE BoC.
Need to watch how deep that pushes into the GoM and how well Marco can track into it.

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Re: ATL: MARCO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1071 Postby EquusStorm » Sat Aug 22, 2020 2:15 pm

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Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
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Re: ATL: MARCO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1072 Postby GCANE » Sat Aug 22, 2020 2:16 pm

Anticyclone has moved SW of the CoC.
Shear seems to be retreating to the north a bit, keeping about the same pace as Marco moving to the north for the past 3 hours or so.
Would be interesting if the Anticyclone keeps rotating CW around Marco and gets to the West and then NW.
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Re: ATL: MARCO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1073 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 22, 2020 2:17 pm

The apparent drift to the NE is more likely shear starting to hit the system and tilting NE IMO. MLC will also be moving NE as it starts to tilt with height. Can't wait for recon!

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Re: ATL: MARCO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1074 Postby psyclone » Sat Aug 22, 2020 2:20 pm

Marco looks like a June slop fest headed for the big bend. Not suggesting that's going to happen but it does have that look. we have been under a pall of overcast and rain for days here on the west coast of fl. it's been nice to catch up on needed rainfall and break the heat..
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Re: ATL: MARCO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1075 Postby drezee » Sat Aug 22, 2020 2:22 pm

 https://twitter.com/andretrotter/status/1297252169674977280


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Re: ATL: MARCO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1076 Postby Portastorm » Sat Aug 22, 2020 2:22 pm

Cpv17 wrote:Man, this is such a mess. I thought for sure I’d at least get a couple inches of rain from this here in southeast TX.


Yep. In 24 hours in computer model land, Texas went from a potential Double Tropical Whammy to the Nada Enchilada. :lol:
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Re: ATL: MARCO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1077 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 22, 2020 2:23 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: MARCO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1078 Postby StPeteMike » Sat Aug 22, 2020 2:23 pm

psyclone wrote:Marco looks like a June slop fest headed for the big bend. Not suggesting that's going to happen but it does have that look. we have been under a pall of overcast and rain for days here on the west coast of fl. it's been nice to catch up on needed rainfall and break the heat..

Oh it’s been nice! I can enjoy my windows down for more than a couple minutes haha
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Re: ATL: MARCO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1079 Postby GCANE » Sat Aug 22, 2020 2:25 pm

Convection over the IoT and south of the MS Delta could tighten up the ARWB.
Deep convection over Yucatan would likely get the Anticyclone to move west of the CoC.


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Re: ATL: MARCO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1080 Postby GCANE » Sat Aug 22, 2020 2:35 pm

A little rest, refill the jug with high OHC water and Marco maybe ready for the 2nd set of heavy lifting.
10 lbs more on all machines and free weights.
3500 CAPE now to the E and S.
See what happens.

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