Tropical Wave in Cabo Verde Islands

[ClarCari]

Hopefully this wave that had a strong chance then went “poof” WON’T be used an an excuse to prematurely bust this season. 2005 and 2017 had plenty of “poofs”.....

[chaser1]

NEXT!!!

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Aug 22 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Laura, located just south of Puerto Rico, and on
Tropical Storm Marco, located near the Yucatan Channel.

Showers and thunderstorms have diminished this morning in
association with a tropical wave near the the Cabo Verde Islands.
Development is no longer expected to occur as environmental
conditions are forecast to be unfavorable as the system moves
westward over the tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

Wait 5 or so days...... THIS may well be what's next.

[AnnularCane]

NEXT!!!

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Aug 22 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Laura, located just south of Puerto Rico, and on
Tropical Storm Marco, located near the Yucatan Channel.

Showers and thunderstorms have diminished this morning in
association with a tropical wave near the the Cabo Verde Islands.
Development is no longer expected to occur as environmental
conditions are forecast to be unfavorable as the system moves
westward over the tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

Wait 5 or so days...... THIS may well be what's next.

What makes you think so?

[Blinhart]

NEXT!!!

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Aug 22 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Laura, located just south of Puerto Rico, and on
Tropical Storm Marco, located near the Yucatan Channel.

Showers and thunderstorms have diminished this morning in
association with a tropical wave near the the Cabo Verde Islands.
Development is no longer expected to occur as environmental
conditions are forecast to be unfavorable as the system moves
westward over the tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

Wait 5 or so days...... THIS may well be what's next.

What makes you think so?

A lot of the models are showing this coming back to life when it gets closer to the Lesser Antilles.

[chaser1]

NEXT!!!

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Aug 22 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Laura, located just south of Puerto Rico, and on
Tropical Storm Marco, located near the Yucatan Channel.

Showers and thunderstorms have diminished this morning in
association with a tropical wave near the the Cabo Verde Islands.
Development is no longer expected to occur as environmental
conditions are forecast to be unfavorable as the system moves
westward over the tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

Wait 5 or so days...... THIS may well be what's next.

What makes you think so?

Because this largely replicates what has occurred thus far this season. Whether a more active northern part of the wave axis or perhaps it's further south extension, these waves have coughed, hacked, sputtered their way west all season. Sure, a few early on were quasi tropical home-grown's but the African wave train has been active from early on. Conditions for initial development have been largely good, but developing T.D.'s and T.S.'s have continuously had to stave off dry air and/or undercutting mid level (or easterly) wind shear. I'd be very surprised if this wave doesn't suddenly wake up on approach to the Islands or points west in the Caribbean where conditions have been more favorable.

[TheStormExpert]

Wait 5 or so days...... THIS may well be what's next.

What makes you think so?

Because this largely replicates what has occurred thus far this season. Whether a more active northern part of the wave axis or perhaps it's further south extension, these waves have coughed, hacked, sputtered their way west all season. Sure, a few early on were quasi tropical home-grown's but the African wave train has been active from early on. Conditions for initial development have been largely good, but developing T.D.'s and T.S.'s have continuously had to stave off dry air and/or undercutting mid level (or easterly) wind shear. I'd be very surprised if this wave doesn't suddenly wake up on approach to the Islands or points west in the Caribbean where conditions have been more favorable.

Could be a sleeper system, but for now there's no model support.

[St0rmTh0r]

Heading into the peak of the season everything needs to be watched closely the story ain't over for this one either

[EquusStorm]

The Euro picked up it while it was still looking pretty imposing a few days ago, so I'll be interested to see if it picks it up again as it gets further west into less hostile conditions a while from now. Euro seems to be getting a more decent grasp on waves than it usually does the last few days.