2020 WPAC Season

[euro6208]

 https://twitter.com/EarthUncutTV/status/1296999066799202304

[euro6208]

Looks like September and onwards could be quite active.

 https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/1296450666081267712

[euro6208]

Area southeast of the Marianas is on and off from the models, GFS, EURO, NAVGEM, ICON.

[dexterlabio]

The Indian Ocean could see a surge in TC activity by the 2nd week of September, as per GFS ensembles. Based on my personal observation, the WPAC usually becomes active shortly after the burst in activity in Indian Ocean. The second half of September could be WPAC's chance to show might. Although, we could still see some unexpected small surprises, like Bavi, until we get to the supposed main event.

[euro6208]

Area southeast of the Marianas is on and off from the models, GFS, EURO, NAVGEM, ICON.

00z absorbs a weaker system to the west.

[euro6208]

Next 5 names on the list:

Maysak
Haishen
Noul
Dolphin
Kujira

[euro6208]

The Indian Ocean could see a surge in TC activity by the 2nd week of September, as per GFS ensembles. Based on my personal observation, the WPAC usually becomes active shortly after the burst in activity in Indian Ocean. The second half of September could be WPAC's chance to show might. Although, we could still see some unexpected small surprises, like Bavi, until we get to the supposed main event.

Literally untapped waters.

Forecast has another significant MJO moving through 2nd half of September and a ER (Equatorial Rossby wave) which is known to produce TC's and is currently on an westward track to the WPAC.

[Hayabusa]

GFS wants to develop something starting in 3 days.

[mrbagyo]

GFS wants to develop something starting in 3 days.
https://i.imgur.com/PapyIwh.png

Northeast of Palau

[euro6208]

That was the Marianas system I mention 3 days ago.

[euro6208]

 https://twitter.com/EarthUncutTV/status/1298120597621190656

[euro6208]

GFS goes bezerk with it.

[Hayabusa]

UKMET too for a storm that's not an invest yet, it's showing a very strong typhoon

[aspen]

GFS is still berserk with that upcoming system, and forms it in only a few days. This should be an invest soon.

Also, the next available name is Maysak. The last holder of that name was a powerful Category 5 Super Typhoon. Maysak 2020 might end up as yet another powerful system.

[Hayabusa]

Ofcourse the other one is long range... but double trouble?

[1900hurricane]

It's getting to be that time of year.

[euro6208]

94W Thread

Now up.

[euro6208]

Typhoon Bavi's formation on August 21 was the 5th latest 09W on record.

Now on to our next storm 10W and already labeled an invest 94W and has good model support.

1) 1998 27 TC's STY 10W Todd September 16
2) 1977 21 TC's STY 10W Babe September 2
2) 1975 25 TC's TY 10W Tess September 2
4) 2010 20 TC's TS 10W Malou September 1
5) 1969 23 TC's TY 10W Doris August 31
6) 1983 25 TC's TY 10W Ellen August 29
7) 2007 27 TC's TY 10W Fitow August 28
8) 2020 N/A August 26 (or later)

[euro6208]

Haishen brewing.

12Z




00Z

[euro6208]

Interesting.

Nothing from GFS.