2020 WPAC Season

[euro6208]

Truly a west based season so far typically seen during cool neutral/la nina.

Only system that didn't affect land was TS 06W which develop north of the Marianas. East of it was a Subtropical system that JTWC never upgraded but classified as a TD by JMA.

The coastlines better watch out.

[euro6208]

90W THREAD

Another west based system develops and has model support.

[Hayabusa]

https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/1294638686710173697

Well then, get ready for the upgraded Megi (profile pic related)

[euro6208]

Rapidly intensifying typhoon at landfall.

4th TC in August.

Higos

[euro6208]

Just like the start of the month where 3 TC developed, the models are hinting of another triplets. EURO has a well defined vorticity. GFS makes it quite strong.

EURO



00Z GFS




06Z GFS

[gatorcane]

Not seeing much on the Euro as far as WPAC activity beyond the current area of interest. It continues to be awfully quiet there (for WPAC standards) even during a developing La Niña.

[Hayabusa]

What a difference, that's what you get for being inactive

[Ed_2001]

What a difference, that's what you get for being inactive

https://i.imgur.com/dRZaGkX.png

https://i.imgur.com/3vHYmgg.png

What really gets me is the absolutely immense amount of cyclone fuel just south of Japan, what if a typhoon tapped into all that on its way north before the first major cold front of the season starts to dispel the warmth...

Wow, think of a sub 890 something potentially happening that far North.

[doomhaMwx]

Based on posts last week, we are supposed to be having a quiet time now, but a typhoon just came ashore near Macau today and another one could develop during the weekend or early next week...

[euro6208]

What a difference, that's what you get for being inactive

To be fair though, at this time last year, we've already seen one cat 5, one cat 1, one cat 4, and one cat 3 with many long trackers thus the lower potential while 2020's has mostly remained untouched.

[euro6208]

Going by JTWC numbers, this season is at 8/3/1

Higos was highly likely a typhoon and observations in Macau supports it.

Should be 8/4/1.

Scary to think that all 4 typhoons including a major made landfall and were rapidly intensifying.

[euro6208]

Just like the start of the month where 3 TC developed, the models are hinting of another triplets. EURO has a well defined vorticity. GFS makes it quite strong.

Latest runs has a weaker system. Still strong signals on another system to end the month.

[euro6208]

The formation of Higos on the 18th tied it for the 4th latest 08W system on record.

1) 1998 27 TC's TY 08W Stella September 12 (!)
2) 2010 20 TC's TS 08W Komapasu August 28
3) 1983 25 TC's TS 08W Dom August 19
4) 1975 25 TC's TY 08W Rita August 18
4) 2020 N/A August 18 TY Higos

Based on posts last week, we are supposed to be having a quiet time now, but a typhoon just came ashore near Macau today and another one could develop during the weekend or early next week...

Looking forward to more valuable records from NWS when the next storm develops.

[euro6208]

https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/1294638686710173697

Yes I mentioned this before. Makes you wonder if overall global cyclone activity (and I am taking ACE not number of storms) will be down this year including lower than expected ACE in the Atlantic. Either that or the Atlantic will make up for it in a big way.

Or the WPAC makes it up in a big way in another blockbuster finish?

[mrbagyo]

90C INVEST 200820 0000 10.0N 172.1W CPAC 25 1007
another 8° of longitude and we'll have another invest (an imported one)

[1900hurricane]

90W is clearly the headliner, but it looks like the other invests have at least a chance to get in on some of the action and develop, if only marginally.

[Hayabusa]

Huh ICON?

[euro6208]

90W is clearly the headliner, but it looks like the other invests have at least a chance to get in on some of the action and develop, if only marginally.

Indeed. Here is 90W right now aka Bavi.



45 knots? I don't think so.

[euro6208]

 https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/1296820612204306432




 https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/1296201454575685633

[euro6208]

 https://twitter.com/EarthUncutTV/status/1296784392606498816