Giant Envelope Onshore Africa

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ConvergenceZone
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Re: Giant Envelope Onshore Africa

#21 Postby ConvergenceZone » Wed Aug 05, 2020 1:45 pm

DestinHurricane wrote:If this develops it will probably be a fish but islands should watch.


Yea, we are probably going to need a low rider for it to make it all the way across the Atlantic. Good for ACE though. Plus, we need a break!
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Re: Giant Envelope Onshore Africa

#22 Postby GCANE » Wed Aug 05, 2020 2:26 pm

Looks like this hits the water late Friday EDT
Holds up well crossing the pond


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Re: Giant Envelope Onshore Africa

#23 Postby ConvergenceZone » Wed Aug 05, 2020 2:31 pm

GCANE wrote:Looks like this hits the water late Friday EDT
Holds up well crossing the pond


https://imgur.com/1mj0Ago


Regarding your map. Do there suppose to be that many lows crossing the Atlantic? lol
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Re: Giant Envelope Onshore Africa

#24 Postby GCANE » Wed Aug 05, 2020 2:32 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:
GCANE wrote:Looks like this hits the water late Friday EDT
Holds up well crossing the pond


https://imgur.com/1mj0Ago


Regarding your map. Do there suppose to be that many lows crossing the Atlantic? lol


These are ensemble members
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Re: Giant Envelope Onshore Africa

#25 Postby GCANE » Wed Aug 05, 2020 2:34 pm

Hmm, let me see now.
It hits the water on the 7th.
14 days later, per Wxman57's rule of thumb, it should hit the GoM on the 21st.
Check

Image
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Re: Giant Envelope Onshore Africa

#26 Postby ConvergenceZone » Wed Aug 05, 2020 2:42 pm

GCANE wrote:Hmm, let me see now.
It hits the water on the 7th.
14 days later, per Wxman57's rule of thumb, it should hit the GoM on the 21st.
Check

https://i.imgur.com/SCUGJAW.png


Wow! I’m surprised it doesn’t have it as a Fish since it’s so far North... I must be missing something?
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Re: Giant Envelope Onshore Africa

#27 Postby AutoPenalti » Wed Aug 05, 2020 2:48 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:
GCANE wrote:Hmm, let me see now.
It hits the water on the 7th.
14 days later, per Wxman57's rule of thumb, it should hit the GoM on the 21st.
Check

https://i.imgur.com/SCUGJAW.png


Wow! I’m surprised it doesn’t have it as a Fish since it’s so far North... I must be missing something?

Doesn't necessarily develop until it's close proximity to the Antilles.
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Re: Giant Envelope Onshore Africa

#28 Postby GCANE » Thu Aug 06, 2020 8:11 am

Very active ITCZ south of CV Islands to African Coast.
Convection firing in a big, elongated 700mb vort.
All globals forecasting a surface low to form in the area anywhere from today to Monday.
Stay tuned.
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