Tropical Wave East of Lesser Antilles

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abajan
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Tropical Wave East of Lesser Antilles

#1 Postby abajan » Sun Aug 02, 2020 7:53 am

Seems to be some swirling taking place in that ball of convection near 10N 37W. Been following it since yesterday evening.

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Last edited by abajan on Mon Aug 03, 2020 5:06 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Tropical Wave midway almost between Africa and Lesser Antilles

#2 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 02, 2020 8:08 am

Hi mi friend. I modified the title to a more general one to describe the location better. You had 37W but the wave is moving and the title has to be changed constantly when there are longitudes.
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Re: Tropical Wave almost midway between Africa and Lesser Antilles

#3 Postby Monsoonjr99 » Sun Aug 02, 2020 1:37 pm

Is this what the CMC is trying to develop?
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Re: Tropical Wave almost midway between Africa and Lesser Antilles

#4 Postby EquusStorm » Sun Aug 02, 2020 2:39 pm

Looks like it to me. We'll see if other models start picking up on it as well
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Re: Tropical Wave almost midway between Africa and Lesser Antilles

#5 Postby CFLHurricane » Sun Aug 02, 2020 4:42 pm

EquusStorm wrote:Looks like it to me. We'll see if other models start picking up on it as well


I agree it’s something to watch, but maybe the models don’t develop it due to all the Saharan dust north of it. It may be a dark horse if it stays diminutive until closer to CONUS.

Edit- upon inspection of TPW, the wave just behind it at 30W is the one more concerning to me because of how embedded in tropical moisture it is.
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Re: Tropical Wave East of Lesser Antilles

#6 Postby StPeteMike » Sun Aug 02, 2020 6:45 pm

With how these waves have been in July, I am afraid to see what they will do in a more ideal climate now moving into August and September. I’m thinking we will see a train of canes more than once this season.
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Re: Tropical Wave East of Lesser Antilles

#7 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 02, 2020 6:48 pm

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 43W from
02N to 16N, moving westward at 15 kt. This wave marks the leading
edge of a pool of deep atmospheric moisture. Isolated showers
and thunderstorms are within 180 nm east of the wave axis from
04N to 13N. This activity could increase during the overnight
hours.
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Re: Tropical Wave East of Lesser Antilles

#8 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 03, 2020 5:31 am

8 AM TWD:

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 47W from
02N-15N, moving west at 10-15 kt. Isolated moderate convection is
found related to this wave near the ITCZ associated with this
wave.
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Re: Tropical Wave East of Lesser Antilles

#9 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 05, 2020 7:36 am

8 AM TWD:

An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 52W-53W, from 17N
southward, moving westward 15 to 20 knots. Scattered moderate
convection is see from 10N to 14N between 50W and 54W.


After being almost devoided of convection,it has flared a little bit today.

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Re: Tropical Wave East of Lesser Antilles

#10 Postby GCANE » Wed Aug 05, 2020 7:43 am

I saw this too.
Good 850mb vort.
However, a strong UL jet is forecast by GFS over the entire Carib as the wave moves thru.
IMHO, slim chances for development unless GFS is wrong.
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