ATL: ISAIAS - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[emeraldislenc]

Very calm here on Emerald Isle. Very hot and humid outside.

[southportwxfan]

I was just outside making a last sweep around the house, and I can tell you that the humidity here (just SE of Raleigh 15 miles) is super high. It's also DEAD calm out there. Not a leaf moving.

Yet!

Now that you mention...it is very calm outside. Like eerily calm and quiet. I'm not even seeing birds, hearing any dogs barking or cows moo'ing.

I am closer to Raleigh at the moment, but birds are chirping and flying around, squirrels are monopolizing our bird feeders,bees are buzzing and the wind is blowing gently through the trees. I think it will miss us here, but I'm concerned about Southport and points east

[Okibeach]

Nothing more than a gentle breeze here but very humid. One band of heavy rain at dawn but nothing since. "The calm before the storm" for sure.

[GCANE]

There is some convection rotating around the southern half of the CoC.
However IR showing warm cloud tops and Visible shows it going under the cirrus to its north.

[cainjamin]

Isaias and his little sister

[Vdogg]

Pressure down to 997, moving generally NNE

[aspen]

Looks somewhat better on visible. Pressure is dropping and it’s moving NNE again. Maybe 12 hours left over open waters.

[emeraldislenc]

Will be interesting to see where landfall occurs. I am thinking closer to cape fear than the NC/SC border.

[tolakram]

saved loop

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1290343903976140800

[Vdogg]

 https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1290341978983616512

[GCANE]

Picking up some helicity on shore.
The closer this gets to landfall, and once landfall occurs, tornadoes could be a real possibility.
Helicity has been unusually high with this system.

[tolakram]

[EquusStorm]

The intensity history of this storm is basically just gonna be a sine wave

[TheHurricaneGod]

Certainly is rapidly reorganizing. Would probably expect a farther east track as a stronger storm looks likely if it doesn't become a mess again.

[MGC]

Yeah, Isaias is looking a bit better. All depends on how organized it is on the surface. Isaias has had a history of having a real good looking satellite presentation yet at the surface is a train wreck....MGC

[wxman57]

Mid-level center moving NE now. NHC may need to adjust their track east a bit for landfall.

[Steejo91]

Isaias really looking like she is trying to close off all of her South Quadrants at the moment with deep convection wrapping around the COC! Radar presentation from KCLX looking better by the scan with intense convection with lightning in the North Quad. Looking more likely we should see a hurricane by the 8PM Advisory if not the 5PM Advisory, and I'm starting to lean more towards 5PM.

[NXStumpy_Robothing]

Mid-level center moving NE now. NHC may need to adjust their track east a bit for landfall.

I wouldn't be surprised to see Isaias make landfall a little stronger than predicted around Cape Fear. Not too much to stop the center other than time.

[HurricaneEnzo]

Overall motion looks NNE. Making a run for the border it's just wobbling around because the system is a lopsided mess.

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