Development is unlikely at this time

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cycloneye
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Development is unlikely at this time

#1 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 29, 2003 11:38 am

http://www.tormenta.net/frame_page.asp? ... BNT20.KNHC

Those words are from TPC at their outlook and I agree with them because the thunderstorms are well east of the low pressure.Will it develop only time will tell but upper conditions will improve somewhat in comming days but will there be something left of that low in the atlantic is the question.
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#2 Postby Josephine96 » Wed Oct 29, 2003 11:54 am

Thanks Luis. We have 1 month to go. Things could get very interesting or they could stay eerily quiet. I hope we get at least 1 more storm. Seasons' been too quiet to just go out with a quiet lull..
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#3 Postby Steve H. » Wed Oct 29, 2003 12:13 pm

Actually, the TPC says development is unlikely attm. Down the road a day or two the evolving pattern could realize some development. Here's the other weather guru's synopsis:


TROPICAL WEATHER SUMMARY

It would be easy to forget about the remnant circulation of Tropical Storm Nicholas, sitting over the Sargasso Sea in seeming chaos with its thunderstorms displaced well east of the center. But that would be unwise. After the current storm over the eastern Seaboard speeds off into LBR and beyond, a strong yet retrogressive heat ridge will form over the Bermuda position. Latest runs of the GFS, GBL, and UKMET versions strongly suggest that this anticyclone will improve convective outflow over a warm water pool, and steer the "quasi-Nicholas" toward the Bahamas, FL Peninsula and/or Cuba with a possible landfall around Days 5 or 6. Let me repeat what I said yesterday: the synoptic environment will be quite favorable for warm-core cyclogenesis and eventual landfall of an organized tropical feature, possibly a hurricane. Stay tuned.
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#4 Postby Typhoon_Willie » Wed Oct 29, 2003 12:23 pm

Sounds interesting! I guess we will have to wait and see what happens!
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#5 Postby Steve H. » Wed Oct 29, 2003 2:00 pm

Seems like a center of Low pressure is forming at 25N/57W. Check it out :wink:
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#6 Postby JCT777 » Wed Oct 29, 2003 2:11 pm

Steve H. - Yup, LC has been all over this the past few days. For once, I think he might be on to something.
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