ATL: ISAIAS - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Monsoonjr99]

There might even be a small chance of both Isaias and Josephine forming from this system if Hispaniola separates the two competing lobes and they both develop.

[STRiZZY]

There might even be a small chance of both Isaias and Josephine forming from this system if Hispaniola separates the two competing lobes and they both develop.

That would be historically accurate considering it's 2020 and it's been one crazy thing after the other.

[Aric Dunn]

I found the center likepretty 100 percent positive..

[MGC]

Convection is splitting SW to NE. No convection where the NHC center is. Which lobe will win out and spin or neither?.....MGC

[AutoPenalti]

Are we getting upper air sampling tonight?

[Blown Away]

I found the center likepretty 100 percent positive..

https://i.ibb.co/1np7s16/99887766.gif

Can you provide coordinates?

[AutoPenalti]

I found the center likepretty 100 percent positive..

https://i.ibb.co/1np7s16/99887766.gif

That looks like an eddy

[Hammy]

It can't seem to consolidate, too big. Not thinking this will get named.

It's more than likely closed at the moment.

[St0rmTh0r]

I found the center likepretty 100 percent positive..

https://i.ibb.co/1np7s16/99887766.gif

Bullseye! now we wait.

[NorthPalm-Rainman]

I see it @15.5N 65.0W I think it further south than where the NHC has it but they are the experts.

Why would the NHC not know where it is? I hear many say it is farther south, or even north. Seems there are big outbursts from Southwest, west, north, and east. I would think the center is in the middle?

[Evil Jeremy]

Are we getting upper air sampling tonight?

I believe the first G-IV upper air mission is tomorrow afternoon, with data to be used for the 00z runs tomorrow night.

[ScottNAtlanta]

Next recon lifts off in 1 hour

000
NOUS42 KNHC 282100
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0500 PM EDT TUE 28 JULY 2020
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 29/1100Z TO 30/1100Z JULY 2020
TCPOD NUMBER.....20-063 CORRECTION

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINE
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 73 FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 72
A. 29/2330Z,30/0530Z A. 30/1130Z,1730Z
B. AFXXX 0409A CYCLONE B. AFXXX 0509A CYCLONE
C. 29/2300Z C. 30/1030Z
D. 17.3N 64.0W D. 18.8N 67.6W
E. 29/2300Z TO 30/0530Z E. 30/1100Z TO 30/1730Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:
A. CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES IF SYSTEM DEVELOPS.
B. POSSIBLE NOAA G-IV SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE MISSIONS AROUND
THE SYSTEM FOR 31/0000Z, DEPARTING KLAL AT 30/1730Z,
AND FOR 31/1200Z, DEPARTING KLAL AT 31/0530Z.
C. POSSIBLE NOAA P-3 TDR MISSION FOR 31/12Z DEPARTING KLAL
AT 31/08Z.

3. REMARK: CORRECTED FLIGHT ONE MISSION ID.

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

$$
WJM

NNNN

Could someone decode this, please? Sorry...missed the top line

[Aric Dunn]

I found the center likepretty 100 percent positive..

https://i.ibb.co/1np7s16/99887766.gif

Can you provide coordinates?

16.1N 65.3W

[ScottNAtlanta]

There might even be a small chance of both Isaias and Josephine forming from this system if Hispaniola separates the two competing lobes and they both develop.

That would make them Fraternal Twins!

[CronkPSU]

here for the Fujiwara discussion!!!

[Evil Jeremy]

Could someone decode this, please?

Next recon flight takes off in an hour (I believe from Puerto Rico?), will be in the system quickly, and should spend about 5 hours in the system.

Next mission after that takes off at 6:30am.

Tomorrow, we're getting a Gulfstream-IV upper air mission to help out the computer models.

[tropicwatch]

I found the center likepretty 100 percent positive..

https://i.ibb.co/1np7s16/99887766.gif

Can you provide coordinates?

16.1N 65.3W

https://i.ibb.co/tzZ5LWN/Capture.png

Hopefully HH finds it so forecast models can initiate correctly.

[sgastorm]

Are we getting upper air sampling tonight?

I believe the first G-IV upper air mission is tomorrow afternoon, with data to be used for the 00z runs tomorrow night.

The G-IV flights are no longer mentioned on today's POD. Looks like decision was made to not have them. I would have preferred they be flown, but I don't get a vote.

[Evil Jeremy]

Are we getting upper air sampling tonight?

I believe the first G-IV upper air mission is tomorrow afternoon, with data to be used for the 00z runs tomorrow night.

The G-IV flights are no longer mentioned on today's POD. Looks like decision was made to not have them. I would have preferred they be flown, but I don't get a vote.

Well that's a shame.

[ScottNAtlanta]

Could someone decode this, please?

Next recon flight takes off in an hour (I believe from Puerto Rico?), will be in the system quickly, and should spend about 5 hours in the system.

Next mission after that takes off at 6:30am.

Tomorrow, we're getting a Gulfstream-IV upper air mission to help out the computer models.

Thank you (who says your evil )