ATL: HANNA - Remnants - Discussion

[jaguars_22]

Would anyone throw in the possibility of the storm doing a loop and staying off coast lol who knows with her and you know ladies jk

[Aric Dunn]

The core is definitely building up and nearly closed off.

[Steve]

Would anyone throw in the possibility of the storm doing a loop and staying off coast lol who knows with her and you know ladies jk

You should probably make the drive south, because you know you're wanting a piece of this.

[Aric Dunn]

Would anyone throw in the possibility of the storm doing a loop and staying off coast lol who knows with her and you know ladies jk

You should probably make the drive south, because you know you're wanting a piece of this.

there is also that possibility.. the wsw turns happens sooner. brings it closer to brownsville.

both HWRF and HMON have a rapidly deepening hurricane making landfall in 30 hours.. yes still 30 hours roughly. a lot of time.

[Ivanhater]

Almost all models deepen this pretty substantial right before landfall. A hurricane is definitely in play imo

[jaguars_22]

I just wants some rain and Harvey was fun to witness

[Aric Dunn]

DArn KGUL missed the center.. it went just to its south. winds have switched to ese at 25mph. pressure still 1001mb.

So we wont get an actual central pressure..

but 998mb is probably about right.

[davidiowx]

Harvey was fun to witness

No thanks! I had water in my place for 2 weeks during Harvey. I don't want to deal with that again! I would certainly like some rain, heck even some heavy rains, but I don't want to experience that ever again.

[jaguars_22]

Yes lots of devastation and that is never fun! And people lost their lives too! Just on a weather lover “type of fun”

[xironman]

A sheared lopsided storm that wants to develop an eyewall... Well at least it is interesting.

[texsn95]

Odds on the ridge not building as strong as expected? Haven't heard much about that either way.

[HurricaneAndre2008]

Current Intensity Analysis



UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 9.0
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 24 JUL 2020 Time : 165024 UTC
Lat : 27:16:17 N Lon : 93:28:26 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
3.3 / 990.4mb/ 51.0kt

[NDG]

Saved radar loop. Looks like the LLC and MLC have now stacked up together.

[wx98]

Current Intensity Analysis



UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 9.0
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 24 JUL 2020 Time : 165024 UTC
Lat : 27:16:17 N Lon : 93:28:26 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
3.3 / 990.4mb/ 51.0kt

That keeps creeping on up there...

[wxman57]

89 meters seem to be way too high to put anemometer on a ship.

Anemometers are placed above anything that might obstruct the wind, and that's always at the highest point. Otherwise, the wind would be blocked from some directions. On the offshore platforms, that's usually at the top of the derrick. That's why they record much higher winds than 10m above the water.

By the way, I've been in contact with Josh Morgerman. He's left his Mississippi summer rental home and is on his way to intercept Hanna.

[tiger_deF]

Hanna is looking pretty good for a midrange TS right now, no one should underestimate the amount of time she has over water

[Steve]

Odds on the ridge not building as strong as expected? Haven't heard much about that either way.

Run the 500mb's. I'll post expected for tomorrow at 12z so 24 hours from today:

GFS:


CMC:


ICON:

[eastcoastFL]

Current Intensity Analysis



UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 9.0
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 24 JUL 2020 Time : 152024 UTC
Lat : 27:12:46 N Lon : 93:14:57 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
3.2 / 991.7mb/ 49.0kt

991mb?! Is that at the surface?

[eastcoastFL]

Well I am sure others have said it.

but regardless if it becomes a hurricane.. looks like it will be heading to very sparsly populated area..

HUrricane Bret territory.

I’m just hoping it doesn’t shut down any COVID testing sites for too long. We had a rainy weekend here last month and they were closed the whole weekend because they’re done outside.

[NDG]

89 meters seem to be way too high to put anemometer on a ship.

Anemometers are placed above anything that might obstruct the wind, and that's always at the highest point. Otherwise, the wind would be blocked from some directions. On the offshore platforms, that's usually at the top of the derrick. That's why they record much higher winds than 10m above the water.

By the way, I've been in contact with Josh Morgerman. He's left his Mississippi summer rental home and is on his way to intercept Hanna.

I was playing devil's advocate with him last night on Twitter to go intercept Hanna, glad he did. I got a feeling he wouldn't regret it.