Hmmm..... 12Z tropicals

Scott_inVA · #1 Postby **Scott_inVA** » Tue Oct 28, 2003 12:50 pm

link below

Scott

stormchazer · #2 Postby **stormchazer** » Tue Oct 28, 2003 1:59 pm

Look at the BAMM! That will give some Space Coast folks a little jolt. It will never happen.

Aimless · #3 Postby **Aimless** » Tue Oct 28, 2003 2:11 pm

I don't see how that would be possible!?!

#4 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Tue Oct 28, 2003 2:11 pm

Jara, why not? Just interested in an analysis.

Steve H. · #5 Postby **Steve H.** » Tue Oct 28, 2003 2:58 pm

Its actually quite plausible, since ridging is expected to build in the western Atlantic. But its hard to get a storm westward this time of year. Then again, that's what the models are showing (BAMMs, ETA, GFS) :wink:

stormchazer · #6 Postby **stormchazer** » Tue Oct 28, 2003 3:45 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:Jara, why not? Just interested in an analysis.

I don't see it happening with a front moving through FL as I type and the beginning of a more fall pattern that keeps Tropical Systems from crossing 65w, especially when the originate that far North to begin with. I know the SOI has flipped negative but I would be shocked to see a system come that far due west at this time of the year. If it approached from lower Lat., such as where Nick was first classified, then it would be more conceiveable . I'm not saying that the shocking thing could not happen but I would bet against it. :shocked!:

ameriwx2003 · #7 Postby **ameriwx2003** » Tue Oct 28, 2003 4:58 pm

Hmm.. very interesting.It is hard to get a storm back west this time of the year.It can happen though and has happened even later then late October.Anyone remember 1985??:):):)

http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atl ... /track.gif

stormchazer · #8 Postby **stormchazer** » Tue Oct 28, 2003 7:33 pm

ameriwx2003 wrote:Hmm.. very interesting.It is hard to get a storm back west this time of the year.It can happen though and has happened even later then late October.Anyone remember 1985??:):):)

http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atl ... /track.gif

Kate approached from a lower Lattitude though. If the remants of Nick work further south, then I agree that things could get interesting.

ColdFront77 · #9 Postby **ColdFront77** » Tue Oct 28, 2003 7:39 pm

The remnants of Nicholas were moving with a southerly component (SW/WSW) a few days ago.

It is true, a ridge building in would move a system westward.

As it looks now, the cold front moving toward Florida's west coast won't pick this disturbance up.

ameriwx2003 · #10 Postby **ameriwx2003** » Tue Oct 28, 2003 9:05 pm

Here is another late season storm track of interest and a link to some November US hurricane strike info.

The Yankee hurricane of 1935:

http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atl ... /track.gif

November US hurricane info:

http://www.usatoday.com/weather/huricane/whnovmajor.htm

rainstorm · #11 Postby **rainstorm** » Tue Oct 28, 2003 9:44 pm

could be interesting

PTrackerLA · #12 Postby **PTrackerLA** » Tue Oct 28, 2003 11:33 pm

If I were in Florida I would definately keep my eyes on it but it will be very difficult for Nick's remants to make it that far west.

JCT777 · #13 Postby **JCT777** » Wed Oct 29, 2003 9:44 am

I think the storm (remnants of Nicholas) will strengthen over the coming days and it has a chance to threaten the Bahamas and Florida.

stormchazer · #14 Postby **stormchazer** » Wed Oct 29, 2003 10:21 am

I did go out and picck up some crow and Jack Daniels BBQ Sauce just in case.

Hmmm..... 12Z tropicals

Hmmm..... 12Z tropicals

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