How many named storms will form in the Atlantic in August (Poll is open for voting until July 31)

[CyclonicFury]

I'm going to go with 4, one in the first half of the month, and 3 in the second half.

[Evan_Wilson]

I honestly have no clue, but once the lid comes off there's truly not much stopping 4+ storms from forming.

[TheHurricaneGod]

I'm going to go with anywhere between 3-5 named storms, two hurricanes and one major. Bonus if the actual number is higher. Just gonna go with a conservative estimate right now.

[cycloneye]

Made a poll with this question that will be open until July 31 at 2:15 PM EDT.

[Evan_Wilson]

Conservative: 1-3
Realistic: 2-4
Unrealistic but it's 2020 and nothing would surprise me at this point: 4-7

[aspen]

I’m going with 4. August 2020 could be comparable to that of 2017, with three storms in the heart of the month and an eventual long-tracking major forming at the very very end (Irma ‘17, Florence ‘18).

[CyclonicFury]

I’m going with 4. August 2020 could be comparable to that of 2017, with three storms in the heart of the month and an eventual long-tracking major forming at the very very end (Irma ‘17, Florence ‘18).

I agree with the idea of a long-track major hurricane forming sometime in the last third of August. In recent years, the first major hurricane has typically formed in the last week of August.

[FireRat]

3 is my prediction, of which one becomes a hurricane and also a major. One TS during first half of Aug, the other 2 systems in the 2nd half of August in the MDR most likely, and one of these will be the major cane that could last into September. This may be a bit conservative but IMO it's the most realistic. Sept should be much busier.

[TheStormExpert]

I’m going with five. Three of them being hurricanes with one or two of them majors.

[toad strangler]

I went with six or more to offset the dude who eventually goes with one

[CrazyC83]

5, of which 2 become hurricanes and 1 major hurricane.

* Hurricane Gonzalo (MDR - cat 2)
* Tropical Storm Hanna (subtropics)
* Tropical Storm Isaias (subtropics)
* Tropical Storm Josephine (GOM)
* Major Hurricane Kyle (MDR - cat 5)

[floridasun78]

the way going we will have busy aug we have less shear very warm water and no dry air kill them

[hurricanehunter69]

I really wanted to go with 6, but dry air is usually still hangin around in the first half of the month. Being the common sense conservative I am......5/3/1

[Shell Mound]

7 NS / 4 H / 2 MH

[St0rmTh0r]

I'm going 10 named storms 8 hurricanes 3 majors. The back half of August I think will be hyperactive with the beginning of the month ramping up the activity

[northjaxpro]

I went conservative wth voting for 4 , but I would niot be shocked at all to see up to least 5 to 6 named storms in August.

I think we will get at least one major TC to potentially threaten the CONUS by late August.

[Monsoonjr99]

I voted 5; thinking 2 in the first 2/3 of the month and 3 more on or after the bell-ringing August 20. Though I wouldn't be surprised if there are more storms during that final third of the month (i.e. MDR train like 1995). I also wouldn't be surprised if the month ends with a significant major spinning out in the MDR or in the Caribbean.

[aspen]

At the rate the Atlantic is pumping storms out and with a favorable atmospheric setup coming up soon, I think 5 named storms is a better guess for August, and even that might be a bit conservative. Isaias has a decent shot of forming by the end of the month, and the MDR will become more favorable as the weeks go on. I think 5/3/1 is a decent guess for August activity. The single major hurricane could end up as a Cat 4.

Also, if Isaias forms before the end of July, August sees 5 storms, September sees 6, and the rest of the year only sees 3, that’ll still be a total of 23 named storms by the end of the 2020 season, well within the Greeks.

[CFLHurricane]

I see no reason to not go whole hog heading into peak season with a prediction of six or more storms.

Furthermore I think we will see three CONUS landfalls, one being a major.

[TheStormExpert]

At this rate considering we’ve already seen four named storms this month and there’s still a week left of July I wouldn’t be surprised if we saw six or more storms next month.

Though I voted for five the other day.